مدرسة الاحتمالات

Felix Auger-Aliassime v Novak Djokovic

البداية: 2026-07-07 16:41 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Felix Auger-Aliassime (المضيف)

التنبؤ 43.27%2.31السعر العادل
EV +6.00%
الأفضلية +2.45%
Kelly +4.14%
النمو +0.249%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.97%43.26%43.38%47.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.952.182.162.4551.28%45.83%46.30%40.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Novak Djokovic (الضيف)

التنبؤ 56.73%1.76السعر العادل
EV +2.12%
الأفضلية +1.18%
Kelly +2.65%
النمو +0.056%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.56%56.74%56.62%62.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.501.671.651.8066.67%59.95%60.42%55.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +6.00%E +2.45%K +4.14%G +0.249%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -14.90%E -9.93%K -29.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 16:40
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +6.00%E +2.45%K +4.14%G +0.249%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -14.90%E -9.93%K -29.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 16:40
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV +3.84%E +1.60%K +2.74%G +0.105%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -7.53%E -4.62%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-07 16:28
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +3.84%E +1.60%K +2.74%G +0.105%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -8.09%E -5.00%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-07 16:19
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV +3.84%E +1.60%K +2.74%G +0.105%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -9.23%E -5.77%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 16:20
MyBookie.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV +3.84%E +1.60%K +2.74%G +0.105%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -9.23%E -5.77%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 16:40
Codere (IT)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV +3.84%E +1.60%K +2.74%G +0.105%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -9.23%E -5.77%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 16:20
ReBet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV +3.84%E +1.60%K +2.74%G +0.105%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -9.23%E -5.77%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 16:20
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV +3.84%E +1.60%K +2.74%G +0.105%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -13.20%E -8.63%K -24.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-07 16:39
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV +1.68%E +0.714%K +1.24%G +0.021%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-07 16:30
Marathon Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV +1.68%E +0.714%K +1.24%G +0.021%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -7.53%E -4.62%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-07 16:19
BetAnything2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.68%E +0.714%K +1.24%G +0.021%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.66%E -5.38%K -14.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 16:20
NetBet (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV +0.380%E +0.164%K +0.288%G +0.001%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -10.36%E -6.56%K -17.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 16:19
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -0.486%E -0.211%K -0.373%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.96%E -4.24%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 16:39
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.486%E -0.211%K -0.373%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.53%E -4.62%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 16:35
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.486%E -0.211%K -0.373%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.09%E -5.00%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 16:20
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.486%E -0.211%K -0.373%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.09%E -5.00%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 16:29
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.486%E -0.211%K -0.373%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.09%E -5.00%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 16:40
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -0.486%E -0.211%K -0.373%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -9.23%E -5.77%K -15.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-07 16:20
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -0.486%E -0.211%K -0.373%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -9.23%E -5.77%K -15.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-07 16:35
Dabble (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -0.486%E -0.211%K -0.373%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -10.36%E -6.56%K -17.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-07 16:35
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -0.918%E -0.401%K -0.712%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -6.96%E -4.24%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 16:33
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.65%E -1.18%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.82%E -3.51%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 16:30
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.65%E -1.18%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.09%E -5.00%K -13.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 16:19
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.65%E -1.18%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.09%E -5.00%K -13.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.65%E -1.18%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.09%E -5.00%K -13.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 16:19
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.65%E -1.18%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.09%E -5.00%K -13.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 16:34
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -2.65%E -1.18%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.93%E -6.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-07 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.81%E -2.19%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.39%E -3.87%K -9.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 16:40
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.81%E -2.19%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.09%E -5.00%K -13.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-07 16:39
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.81%E -2.19%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.66%E -5.38%K -14.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-07 16:40
Unibet (NL)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.54%E -3.03%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.55%E -2.09%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 16:40
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.54%E -3.03%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.55%E -2.09%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 16:40
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.98%E -3.24%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.55%E -2.09%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 16:40
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.98%E -3.24%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.12%E -2.44%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-07 16:40
Unibet (UK)2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -7.84%E -3.68%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -1.85%E -1.07%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 16:40
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -8.27%E -3.90%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 16:40
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -9.14%E -4.35%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -0.718%E -0.410%K -0.957%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 16:40
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.14%E -4.35%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 16:40
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.14%E -4.35%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 16:40
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.14%E -4.35%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 16:40
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -10.00%E -4.81%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -2.42%E -1.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 16:40
PointsBet (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -10.00%E -4.81%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.55%E -2.09%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-07 16:40
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -10.44%E -5.04%K -9.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-07 16:40
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -11.30%E -5.51%K -10.76%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -0.718%E -0.410%K -0.957%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-07 16:40
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -11.30%E -5.51%K -10.76%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -6.39%E -3.87%K -9.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-07 16:40
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -11.30%E -5.51%K -10.76%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -6.39%E -3.87%K -9.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-07 16:40
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -11.73%E -5.75%K -11.28%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV +0.984%E +0.553%K +1.26%G +0.012%5.2%2026-07-07 16:40
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -11.73%E -5.75%K -11.28%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV +0.984%E +0.553%K +1.26%G +0.012%5.2%2026-07-07 16:40
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -11.73%E -5.75%K -11.28%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV +0.984%E +0.553%K +1.26%G +0.012%5.2%2026-07-07 16:40
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -11.73%E -5.75%K -11.28%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV +0.984%E +0.553%K +1.26%G +0.012%5.2%2026-07-07 16:40
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -11.73%E -5.75%K -11.28%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV +0.984%E +0.553%K +1.26%G +0.012%5.2%2026-07-07 16:40
DraftKings2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -12.60%E -6.24%K -12.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV +2.12%E +1.18%K +2.65%G +0.056%5.1%2026-07-07 16:40
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -12.60%E -6.24%K -12.35%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV +0.417%E +0.236%K +0.542%G +0.002%6.0%2026-07-07 16:40
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -12.60%E -6.24%K -12.35%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV +0.417%E +0.236%K +0.542%G +0.002%6.0%2026-07-07 16:40
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -13.47%E -6.73%K -13.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +2.12%E +1.18%K +2.65%G +0.056%5.6%2026-07-07 16:40
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -13.47%E -6.73%K -13.47%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -0.718%E -0.410%K -0.957%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 16:40
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -13.47%E -6.73%K -13.47%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -0.718%E -0.410%K -0.957%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 16:40
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -13.47%E -6.73%K -13.47%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -0.718%E -0.410%K -0.957%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 16:40
Bally Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -13.47%E -6.73%K -13.47%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -0.718%E -0.410%K -0.957%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 16:40
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -13.47%E -6.73%K -13.47%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -4.69%E -2.79%K -6.90%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-07 16:40
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.30%EV -14.33%E -7.24%K -14.62%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.70%EV -6.96%E -4.24%K -10.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-07 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88%EV -15.20%E -7.75%K -15.83%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.12%EV -1.85%E -1.07%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-07 16:40
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -15.63%E -8.01%K -16.45%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -0.150%E -0.085%K -0.198%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-07 16:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%0.5%2026-07-07 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-07-07 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%1.2%2026-07-07 16:40
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%1.8%2026-07-07 16:40
ProphetX2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%2.4%2026-07-07 16:40
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%2.6%2026-07-07 16:40
Novig2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%8.2%2026-07-07 16:40