Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Felix Auger-Aliassime v Alexander Shevchenko

Início: 2026-06-29 16:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local)

Previsão 93.22%1.07odd justa
EV -1.19%
Vantagem -1.12%
Kelly -19.85%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.06

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
90.74%93.19%93.21%96.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.001.021.021.06100.00%97.59%98.04%94.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Alexander Shevchenko (Visitante)

Previsão 6.78%14.74odd justa
EV +69.61%
Vantagem +2.78%
Kelly +2.90%
Crescimento +2.02%

pressupondo odds máximas de 25.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
3.92%6.81%6.79%9.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
10.0014.0313.4025.0010.00%7.13%7.46%4.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local): 93.22%; Alexander Shevchenko (Visitante): 6.78%. Para Alexander Shevchenko (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 14.74. 23 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 25.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +69.61%.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 96.08%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.92%EV +69.61%E +2.78%K +2.90%G +2.02%2.0%2026-06-29 16:00
BetAnything🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.25%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%20.45I 4.89%NM 4.75%EV +38.74%E +1.89%K +1.99%G +0.772%2.9%2026-06-29 16:00
Pinnacle🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.67%EV -3.99%E -3.87%K -132.92%G +0.000%18.28I 5.47%NM 5.33%EV +24.02%E +1.31%K +1.39%G +0.334%2.6%2026-06-29 15:59
Bovada🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -5.85%E -5.79%K -585.21%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +22.12%E +1.23%K +1.30%G +0.288%4.6%2026-06-29 15:49
DraftKings🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 94.74%EV -6.78%E -6.78%K +0.000%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.26%EV +22.12%E +1.23%K +1.30%G +0.288%5.6%2026-06-29 16:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 94.59%EV -6.78%E -6.78%K +0.000%G +0.000%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.41%EV +18.72%E +1.07%K +1.13%G +0.212%5.7%2026-06-29 16:00
BoyleSports🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.99%E -3.87%K -132.92%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +15.33%E +0.902%K +0.958%G +0.147%3.0%2026-06-29 16:01
Winamax (DE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +15.33%E +0.902%K +0.958%G +0.147%3.9%2026-06-29 16:01
William Hill🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +15.33%E +0.902%K +0.958%G +0.147%3.9%2026-06-29 16:00
888sport🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.85%E -5.79%K -585.21%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +15.33%E +0.902%K +0.958%G +0.147%4.9%2026-06-29 16:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.85%E -5.79%K -585.21%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +15.33%E +0.902%K +0.958%G +0.147%4.9%2026-06-29 16:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.85%E -5.79%K -585.21%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +15.33%E +0.902%K +0.958%G +0.147%4.9%2026-06-29 16:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +8.55%E +0.534%K +0.570%G +0.049%4.3%2026-06-29 16:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +8.55%E +0.534%K +0.570%G +0.049%4.3%2026-06-29 16:01
NetBet (FR)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 94.12%EV -6.78%E -6.78%K +0.000%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.88%EV +8.55%E +0.534%K +0.570%G +0.049%6.3%2026-06-29 16:01
PlayUp🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.99%E -3.87%K -132.92%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +1.76%E +0.118%K +0.126%G +0.002%3.8%2026-06-29 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.99%E -3.87%K -132.92%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +1.76%E +0.118%K +0.126%G +0.002%3.8%2026-06-29 16:01
Coral🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.99%E -3.87%K -132.92%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +1.76%E +0.118%K +0.126%G +0.002%3.8%2026-06-29 16:01
Paddy Power🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.99%E -3.87%K -132.92%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +1.76%E +0.118%K +0.126%G +0.002%3.8%2026-06-29 15:59
Sky Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.99%E -3.87%K -132.92%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +1.76%E +0.118%K +0.126%G +0.002%3.8%2026-06-29 16:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.99%E -3.87%K -132.92%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +1.76%E +0.118%K +0.126%G +0.002%3.8%2026-06-29 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.85%E -5.79%K -585.21%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +1.76%E +0.118%K +0.126%G +0.002%5.7%2026-06-29 16:00
Neds🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.85%E -5.79%K -585.21%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +1.76%E +0.118%K +0.126%G +0.002%5.7%2026-06-29 16:01
Coolbet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.31%EV -3.06%E -2.94%K -76.39%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.69%EV -1.63%E -0.112%K -0.121%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-29 16:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -5.02%E -0.359%K -0.386%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 16:00
Betsson🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -5.02%E -0.359%K -0.386%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 16:00
NordicBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -5.02%E -0.359%K -0.386%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 16:01
Betclic (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -5.85%E -5.79%K -585.21%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -5.02%E -0.359%K -0.386%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 16:00
GTbets🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 92.95%EV -1.19%E -1.12%K -19.85%G +0.000%13.98I 7.15%NM 7.05%EV -5.16%E -0.369%K -0.397%G +0.000%1.5%2026-06-29 16:00
FanDuel🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.05%EV -3.99%E -3.87%K -132.92%G +0.000%13.80I 7.25%NM 6.95%EV -6.38%E -0.462%K -0.498%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 16:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -11.81%E -0.908%K -0.984%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 16:00
Everygame🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -11.81%E -0.908%K -0.984%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 16:00
betfred_uk🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -11.81%E -0.908%K -0.984%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 16:00
SportsBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -11.81%E -0.908%K -0.984%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 16:00
theScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -11.81%E -0.908%K -0.984%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 16:00
Caesars🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.85%E -5.79%K -585.21%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -11.81%E -0.908%K -0.984%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 16:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -15.20%E -1.22%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 16:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -15.20%E -1.22%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 16:00
Betway🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.99%E -3.87%K -132.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -18.59%E -1.55%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 16:01
Tipico (DE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -18.59%E -1.55%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 15:56
Fanatics🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -18.59%E -1.55%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 16:01
BetMGM🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -18.59%E -1.55%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 15:59
Unibet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.06%E -2.94%K -76.39%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:00
BetRivers🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.06%E -2.94%K -76.39%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:00
TABtouch🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.06%E -2.94%K -76.39%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:00
Grosvenor🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.06%E -2.94%K -76.39%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:00
LeoVegas🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.06%E -2.94%K -76.39%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:01
Casumo🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.06%E -2.94%K -76.39%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.06%E -2.94%K -76.39%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.06%E -2.94%K -76.39%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.06%E -2.94%K -76.39%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:00
Bally Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.06%E -2.94%K -76.39%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.06%E -2.94%K -76.39%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:00
betPARX🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.06%E -2.94%K -76.39%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.06%E -2.94%K -76.39%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:01
PMU (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 16:01
LiveScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 16:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 16:00
TAB🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -25.37%E -2.31%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 16:01
Bet Victor🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -32.16%E -3.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 15:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37%0.6%2026-06-29 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.49%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.51%0.8%2026-06-29 16:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.49%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.51%0.8%2026-06-29 16:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.49%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.51%0.8%2026-06-29 16:00
ProphetX1.05I 95.24%NM 94.49%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.51%0.8%2026-06-29 16:01
Novig1.05I 95.24%NM 93.61%15.38I 6.50%NM 6.39%1.7%2026-06-29 16:01
Smarkets1.03I 97.09%NM 94.44%17.51I 5.71%NM 5.56%2.8%2026-06-29 16:00