Idioma:Español
Felix Auger-Aliassime v Alexander Shevchenko
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local)
Predicción 93.22%1.07momio equitativo
EV -1.19%
Ventaja -1.12%
Kelly -19.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.06
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
90.74%93.19%93.21%96.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.001.021.021.06100.00%97.59%98.04%94.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Alexander Shevchenko (Visitante)
Predicción 6.78%14.74momio equitativo
EV +69.61%
Ventaja +2.78%
Kelly +2.90%
Crecimiento +2.02%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 25.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
3.92%6.81%6.79%9.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
10.0014.0313.4025.0010.00%7.13%7.46%4.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local): 93.22%; Alexander Shevchenko (Visitante): 6.78%. Para Alexander Shevchenko (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 14.74. 23 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 25.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +69.61%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 96.08%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.92%EV +69.61%E +2.78%K +2.90%G +2.02% | 2.0% | 2026-06-29 16:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.25%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000% | 20.45I 4.89%NM 4.75%EV +38.74%E +1.89%K +1.99%G +0.772% | 2.9% | 2026-06-29 16:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.67%EV -3.99%E -3.87%K -132.92%G +0.000% | 18.28I 5.47%NM 5.33%EV +24.02%E +1.31%K +1.39%G +0.334% | 2.6% | 2026-06-29 15:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -5.85%E -5.79%K -585.21%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +22.12%E +1.23%K +1.30%G +0.288% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 15:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 94.74%EV -6.78%E -6.78%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.26%EV +22.12%E +1.23%K +1.30%G +0.288% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 16:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 94.59%EV -6.78%E -6.78%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.41%EV +18.72%E +1.07%K +1.13%G +0.212% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 16:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.99%E -3.87%K -132.92%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +15.33%E +0.902%K +0.958%G +0.147% | 3.0% | 2026-06-29 16:01 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +15.33%E +0.902%K +0.958%G +0.147% | 3.9% | 2026-06-29 16:01 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +15.33%E +0.902%K +0.958%G +0.147% | 3.9% | 2026-06-29 16:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.85%E -5.79%K -585.21%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +15.33%E +0.902%K +0.958%G +0.147% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 16:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.85%E -5.79%K -585.21%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +15.33%E +0.902%K +0.958%G +0.147% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 16:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.85%E -5.79%K -585.21%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +15.33%E +0.902%K +0.958%G +0.147% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 16:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +8.55%E +0.534%K +0.570%G +0.049% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 16:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +8.55%E +0.534%K +0.570%G +0.049% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 16:01 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 94.12%EV -6.78%E -6.78%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.88%EV +8.55%E +0.534%K +0.570%G +0.049% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 16:01 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.99%E -3.87%K -132.92%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +1.76%E +0.118%K +0.126%G +0.002% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.99%E -3.87%K -132.92%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +1.76%E +0.118%K +0.126%G +0.002% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 16:01 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.99%E -3.87%K -132.92%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +1.76%E +0.118%K +0.126%G +0.002% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 16:01 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.99%E -3.87%K -132.92%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +1.76%E +0.118%K +0.126%G +0.002% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 15:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.99%E -3.87%K -132.92%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +1.76%E +0.118%K +0.126%G +0.002% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 16:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.99%E -3.87%K -132.92%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +1.76%E +0.118%K +0.126%G +0.002% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.85%E -5.79%K -585.21%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +1.76%E +0.118%K +0.126%G +0.002% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 16:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.85%E -5.79%K -585.21%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +1.76%E +0.118%K +0.126%G +0.002% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 16:01 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.31%EV -3.06%E -2.94%K -76.39%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.69%EV -1.63%E -0.112%K -0.121%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-29 16:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -5.02%E -0.359%K -0.386%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 16:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -5.02%E -0.359%K -0.386%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 16:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -5.02%E -0.359%K -0.386%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 16:01 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -5.85%E -5.79%K -585.21%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -5.02%E -0.359%K -0.386%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 16:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.95%EV -1.19%E -1.12%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 13.98I 7.15%NM 7.05%EV -5.16%E -0.369%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-06-29 16:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.05%EV -3.99%E -3.87%K -132.92%G +0.000% | 13.80I 7.25%NM 6.95%EV -6.38%E -0.462%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 16:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -11.81%E -0.908%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 16:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -11.81%E -0.908%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 16:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -11.81%E -0.908%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 16:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -11.81%E -0.908%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 16:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -11.81%E -0.908%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 16:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.85%E -5.79%K -585.21%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -11.81%E -0.908%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 16:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -15.20%E -1.22%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 16:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -15.20%E -1.22%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 16:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.99%E -3.87%K -132.92%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -18.59%E -1.55%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 16:01 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -18.59%E -1.55%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 15:56 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -18.59%E -1.55%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 16:01 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -18.59%E -1.55%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 15:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.06%E -2.94%K -76.39%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 16:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.06%E -2.94%K -76.39%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 16:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.06%E -2.94%K -76.39%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 16:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.06%E -2.94%K -76.39%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 16:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.06%E -2.94%K -76.39%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 16:01 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.06%E -2.94%K -76.39%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.06%E -2.94%K -76.39%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.06%E -2.94%K -76.39%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 16:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.06%E -2.94%K -76.39%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 16:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.06%E -2.94%K -76.39%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.06%E -2.94%K -76.39%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 16:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.06%E -2.94%K -76.39%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 16:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.06%E -2.94%K -76.39%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 16:01 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 16:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 16:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -25.37%E -2.31%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-29 16:01 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -32.16%E -3.22%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 15:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37% | 0.6% | 2026-06-29 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.49% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.51% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.49% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.51% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 16:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.49% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.51% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 16:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.49% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.51% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 16:01 |
| Novig◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.61% | 15.38I 6.50%NM 6.39% | 1.7% | 2026-06-29 16:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.44% | 17.51I 5.71%NM 5.56% | 2.8% | 2026-06-29 16:00 |