L’École des cotes

Felix Auger-Aliassime v Alexander Shevchenko

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-29 16:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local)

Prévision 93.22%1.07cote équitable
EV -1.19%
Avantage -1.12%
Kelly -19.85%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
90.74%93.19%93.21%96.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.001.021.021.06100.00%97.59%98.04%94.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alexander Shevchenko (Visiteur)

Prévision 6.78%14.74cote équitable
EV +69.61%
Avantage +2.78%
Kelly +2.90%
Croissance +2.02%

avec la cote maximale 25.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
3.92%6.81%6.79%9.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
10.0014.0313.4025.0010.00%7.13%7.46%4.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.02I 98.04%NM 96.08%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.92%EV +69.61%E +2.78%K +2.90%G +2.02%2.0%2026-06-29 16:00
BetAnything1.02I 98.04%NM 95.25%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%20.45I 4.89%NM 4.75%EV +38.74%E +1.89%K +1.99%G +0.772%2.9%2026-06-29 16:00
Pinnacle1.03I 97.09%NM 94.67%EV -3.99%E -3.87%K -132.92%G +0.000%18.28I 5.47%NM 5.33%EV +24.02%E +1.31%K +1.39%G +0.334%2.6%2026-06-29 15:59
Bovada1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -5.85%E -5.79%K -585.21%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +22.12%E +1.23%K +1.30%G +0.288%4.6%2026-06-29 15:49
DraftKings1.00I 100.00%NM 94.74%EV -6.78%E -6.78%K +0.000%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.26%EV +22.12%E +1.23%K +1.30%G +0.288%5.6%2026-06-29 16:00
Marathon Bet1.00I 100.00%NM 94.59%EV -6.78%E -6.78%K +0.000%G +0.000%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.41%EV +18.72%E +1.07%K +1.13%G +0.212%5.7%2026-06-29 16:00
BoyleSports1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.99%E -3.87%K -132.92%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +15.33%E +0.902%K +0.958%G +0.147%3.0%2026-06-29 16:01
Winamax (DE)1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +15.33%E +0.902%K +0.958%G +0.147%3.9%2026-06-29 16:01
William Hill1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +15.33%E +0.902%K +0.958%G +0.147%3.9%2026-06-29 16:00
888sport1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.85%E -5.79%K -585.21%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +15.33%E +0.902%K +0.958%G +0.147%4.9%2026-06-29 16:00
Mr Green (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.85%E -5.79%K -585.21%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +15.33%E +0.902%K +0.958%G +0.147%4.9%2026-06-29 16:00
888sport (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.85%E -5.79%K -585.21%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +15.33%E +0.902%K +0.958%G +0.147%4.9%2026-06-29 16:00
Unibet (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +8.55%E +0.534%K +0.570%G +0.049%4.3%2026-06-29 16:00
Codere (IT)1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +8.55%E +0.534%K +0.570%G +0.049%4.3%2026-06-29 16:01
NetBet (FR)1.00I 100.00%NM 94.12%EV -6.78%E -6.78%K +0.000%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.88%EV +8.55%E +0.534%K +0.570%G +0.049%6.3%2026-06-29 16:01
PlayUp1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.99%E -3.87%K -132.92%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +1.76%E +0.118%K +0.126%G +0.002%3.8%2026-06-29 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.99%E -3.87%K -132.92%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +1.76%E +0.118%K +0.126%G +0.002%3.8%2026-06-29 16:01
Coral1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.99%E -3.87%K -132.92%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +1.76%E +0.118%K +0.126%G +0.002%3.8%2026-06-29 16:01
Paddy Power1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.99%E -3.87%K -132.92%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +1.76%E +0.118%K +0.126%G +0.002%3.8%2026-06-29 15:59
Sky Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.99%E -3.87%K -132.92%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +1.76%E +0.118%K +0.126%G +0.002%3.8%2026-06-29 16:00
Dabble (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.99%E -3.87%K -132.92%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +1.76%E +0.118%K +0.126%G +0.002%3.8%2026-06-29 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.85%E -5.79%K -585.21%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +1.76%E +0.118%K +0.126%G +0.002%5.7%2026-06-29 16:00
Neds1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.85%E -5.79%K -585.21%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +1.76%E +0.118%K +0.126%G +0.002%5.7%2026-06-29 16:01
Coolbet1.04I 96.15%NM 93.31%EV -3.06%E -2.94%K -76.39%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.69%EV -1.63%E -0.112%K -0.121%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-29 16:00
Winamax (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -5.02%E -0.359%K -0.386%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 16:00
Betsson1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -5.02%E -0.359%K -0.386%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 16:00
NordicBet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -5.02%E -0.359%K -0.386%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 16:01
Betclic (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -5.85%E -5.79%K -585.21%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -5.02%E -0.359%K -0.386%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 16:00
GTbets1.06I 94.34%NM 92.95%EV -1.19%E -1.12%K -19.85%G +0.000%13.98I 7.15%NM 7.05%EV -5.16%E -0.369%K -0.397%G +0.000%1.5%2026-06-29 16:00
FanDuel1.03I 97.09%NM 93.05%EV -3.99%E -3.87%K -132.92%G +0.000%13.80I 7.25%NM 6.95%EV -6.38%E -0.462%K -0.498%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 16:00
PointsBet (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -11.81%E -0.908%K -0.984%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 16:00
Everygame1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -11.81%E -0.908%K -0.984%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 16:00
betfred_uk1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -11.81%E -0.908%K -0.984%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 16:00
SportsBet1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -11.81%E -0.908%K -0.984%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 16:00
theScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -11.81%E -0.908%K -0.984%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 16:00
Caesars1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.85%E -5.79%K -585.21%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -11.81%E -0.908%K -0.984%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 16:00
Unibet (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -15.20%E -1.22%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 16:00
Betr (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -15.20%E -1.22%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 16:00
Betway1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.99%E -3.87%K -132.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -18.59%E -1.55%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 16:01
Tipico (DE)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -18.59%E -1.55%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 15:56
Fanatics1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -18.59%E -1.55%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 16:01
BetMGM1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -18.59%E -1.55%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 15:59
Unibet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.06%E -2.94%K -76.39%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:00
BetRivers1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.06%E -2.94%K -76.39%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:00
TABtouch1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.06%E -2.94%K -76.39%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:00
Grosvenor1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.06%E -2.94%K -76.39%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:00
LeoVegas1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.06%E -2.94%K -76.39%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:01
Casumo1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.06%E -2.94%K -76.39%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:00
Unibet (NL)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.06%E -2.94%K -76.39%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:00
Unibet (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.06%E -2.94%K -76.39%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.06%E -2.94%K -76.39%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:00
Bally Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.06%E -2.94%K -76.39%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:00
Svenska Spel1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.06%E -2.94%K -76.39%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:00
betPARX1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.06%E -2.94%K -76.39%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:00
ATG (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.06%E -2.94%K -76.39%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:01
PMU (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 16:01
LiveScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 16:00
Virgin Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -21.98%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 16:00
TAB1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -25.37%E -2.31%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 16:01
Bet Victor1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -4.92%E -4.82%K -246.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -32.16%E -3.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 15:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37%0.6%2026-06-29 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.49%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.51%0.8%2026-06-29 16:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.49%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.51%0.8%2026-06-29 16:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.49%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.51%0.8%2026-06-29 16:00
ProphetX1.05I 95.24%NM 94.49%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.51%0.8%2026-06-29 16:01
Novig1.05I 95.24%NM 93.61%15.38I 6.50%NM 6.39%1.7%2026-06-29 16:01
Smarkets1.03I 97.09%NM 94.44%17.51I 5.71%NM 5.56%2.8%2026-06-29 16:00