Szkoła Kursów

Ethan Quinn v Luciano Darderi

Początek: 2026-06-29 15:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

62 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Ethan Quinn (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 62.97%1.59kurs godziwy
EV +2.63%
Przewaga +1.62%
Kelly +4.18%
Wzrost +0.110%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.63

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
58.31%63.01%62.50%66.27%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.401.501.501.6371.43%66.88%66.67%61.35%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Luciano Darderi (Goście)

Prognoza 37.03%2.70kurs godziwy
EV +1.85%
Przewaga +0.671%
Kelly +1.05%
Wzrost +0.019%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.75

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
33.73%36.99%37.50%41.69%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.252.542.552.7544.44%39.34%39.22%36.36%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (62 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV +2.63%E +1.62%K +4.18%G +0.110%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -15.56%E -6.83%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 13:59
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV +0.745%E +0.465%K +1.24%G +0.009%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -8.52%E -3.45%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-29 14:10
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.14%E -0.729%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -11.86%E -4.98%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 14:02
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -1.14%E -0.729%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -12.97%E -5.52%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 14:04
BetAnything1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -1.77%E -1.14%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-29 14:08
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -2.40%E -1.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -1.12%E -0.419%K -0.669%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-29 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.40%E -1.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 14:01
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.40%E -1.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 14:01
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.40%E -1.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -11.12%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 14:06
Dabble (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.40%E -1.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -11.12%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 14:05
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.03%E -1.97%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 14:11
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.66%E -2.39%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 14:00
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.66%E -2.39%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 14:11
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.66%E -2.39%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.41%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 14:10
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.66%E -2.39%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 14:05
ReBet1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.29%E -2.82%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 13:59
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.29%E -2.82%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -6.30%E -2.49%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 14:10
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%EV -4.29%E -2.82%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.72%EV -7.04%E -2.81%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:10
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.29%E -2.82%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -11.12%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 14:10
SportsBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.92%E -3.26%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.82%E -1.88%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 14:06
MyBookie.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.86%E -0.701%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 14:10
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 14:10
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 13:59
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:11
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.41%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 14:10
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.41%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 14:10
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.41%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 14:10
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.41%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 14:10
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.41%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 14:10
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.41%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 14:10
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.41%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 14:10
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -12.97%E -5.52%K -9.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-29 14:10
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.09%EV -6.18%E -4.15%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.91%EV -9.64%E -3.95%K -6.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-29 14:10
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 62.09%EV -6.18%E -4.15%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.91%EV -9.64%E -3.95%K -6.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-29 14:10
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -6.18%E -4.15%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -12.97%E -5.52%K -9.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-29 14:10
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.004%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 14:10
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -2.60%E -0.988%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:10
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -2.60%E -0.988%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:10
Svenska Spel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -2.60%E -0.988%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:10
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -2.60%E -0.988%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:10
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.41%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 14:00
Betclic (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.66%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -11.86%E -4.98%K -8.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-29 14:10
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -7.44%E -5.06%K -15.83%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -2.60%E -0.988%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 14:10
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -7.44%E -5.06%K -15.83%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -2.60%E -0.988%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 14:11
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -7.44%E -5.06%K -15.83%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -2.60%E -0.988%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 14:10
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.44%E -5.06%K -15.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 14:10
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.44%E -5.06%K -15.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 14:10
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -8.07%E -5.53%K -17.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 14:10
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -8.07%E -5.53%K -17.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 14:10
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.65%EV -8.07%E -5.53%K -17.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -16.67%E -7.41%K -13.34%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-29 14:10
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.70%E -6.00%K -19.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -1.86%E -0.701%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 14:10
PMU (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.70%E -6.00%K -19.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 14:11
Bally Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.70%E -6.00%K -19.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 14:10
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -9.33%E -6.48%K -21.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +1.85%E +0.671%K +1.05%G +0.019%5.8%2026-06-29 14:10
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -9.33%E -6.48%K -21.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +1.85%E +0.671%K +1.05%G +0.019%5.8%2026-06-29 14:10
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.33%E -6.48%K -21.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.97%E -1.13%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 14:10
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.33%E -6.48%K -21.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.97%E -1.13%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 14:10
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -9.96%E -6.96%K -23.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.004%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 14:10
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -9.96%E -6.96%K -23.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-29 14:11
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -9.96%E -6.96%K -23.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-29 14:10
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -10.59%E -7.46%K -25.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV +1.85%E +0.671%K +1.05%G +0.019%6.8%2026-06-29 14:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -11.85%E -8.46%K -29.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +1.85%E +0.671%K +1.05%G +0.019%7.8%2026-06-29 14:10
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%0.8%2026-06-29 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%1.0%2026-06-29 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%2.7%2026-06-29 14:10
ProphetX1.51I 66.23%NM 64.47%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.53%2.7%2026-06-29 14:11
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%2.9%2026-06-29 14:11
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%4.0%2026-06-29 14:10
Novig1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%4.0%2026-06-29 14:11