La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Ethan Quinn v Luciano Darderi
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ethan Quinn (Local)
Predicción 62.97%1.59momio equitativo
EV +2.63%
Ventaja +1.62%
Kelly +4.18%
Crecimiento +0.110%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.63
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.31%63.01%62.50%66.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.501.501.6371.43%66.88%66.67%61.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Luciano Darderi (Visitante)
Predicción 37.03%2.70momio equitativo
EV +1.85%
Ventaja +0.671%
Kelly +1.05%
Crecimiento +0.019%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.73%36.99%37.50%41.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.542.552.7544.44%39.34%39.22%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV +2.63%E +1.62%K +4.18%G +0.110% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -15.56%E -6.83%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 13:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV +0.745%E +0.465%K +1.24%G +0.009% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -8.52%E -3.45%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| betfred_uk | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.14%E -0.729%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -11.86%E -4.98%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 14:02 |
| Everygame | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -1.14%E -0.729%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -12.97%E -5.52%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 14:04 |
| BetAnything | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -1.77%E -1.14%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-29 14:08 |
| 1xBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -2.40%E -1.55%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -1.12%E -0.419%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-06-29 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.40%E -1.55%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 14:01 |
| Neds | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.40%E -1.55%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 14:01 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.40%E -1.55%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -11.12%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 14:06 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.40%E -1.55%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -11.12%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 14:05 |
| Bovada | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.03%E -1.97%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 14:11 |
| BetUS | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.66%E -2.39%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.66%E -2.39%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 14:11 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.66%E -2.39%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.41%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.66%E -2.39%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 14:05 |
| ReBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.29%E -2.82%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 13:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.29%E -2.82%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -6.30%E -2.49%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%EV -4.29%E -2.82%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.72%EV -7.04%E -2.81%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| TAB | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.29%E -2.82%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -11.12%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.92%E -3.26%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.82%E -1.88%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 14:06 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.86%E -0.701%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 13:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:11 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.41%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| Coral | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.41%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.41%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.41%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.41%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.41%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.41%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| Fliff | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -12.97%E -5.52%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.09%EV -6.18%E -4.15%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.91%EV -9.64%E -3.95%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| Betsson | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.09%EV -6.18%E -4.15%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.91%EV -9.64%E -3.95%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -6.18%E -4.15%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -12.97%E -5.52%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.004%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -2.60%E -0.988%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| Unibet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -2.60%E -0.988%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -2.60%E -0.988%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| betPARX | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -2.60%E -0.988%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.41%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 14:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.66%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -11.86%E -4.98%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| Casumo | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -7.44%E -5.06%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -2.60%E -0.988%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -7.44%E -5.06%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -2.60%E -0.988%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 14:11 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -7.44%E -5.06%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -2.60%E -0.988%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.44%E -5.06%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.44%E -5.06%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -8.07%E -5.53%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -8.07%E -5.53%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.65%EV -8.07%E -5.53%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -16.67%E -7.41%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.70%E -6.00%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -1.86%E -0.701%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.70%E -6.00%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-29 14:11 |
| Bally Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.70%E -6.00%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -9.33%E -6.48%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +1.85%E +0.671%K +1.05%G +0.019% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -9.33%E -6.48%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +1.85%E +0.671%K +1.05%G +0.019% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.33%E -6.48%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.97%E -1.13%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.33%E -6.48%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.97%E -1.13%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -9.96%E -6.96%K -23.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.004%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -9.96%E -6.96%K -23.16%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-29 14:11 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -9.96%E -6.96%K -23.16%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| Caesars | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -10.59%E -7.46%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV +1.85%E +0.671%K +1.05%G +0.019% | 6.8% | 2026-06-29 14:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -11.85%E -8.46%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +1.85%E +0.671%K +1.05%G +0.019% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86% | 1.0% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17% | 2.7% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| ProphetX | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.47% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.53% | 2.7% | 2026-06-29 14:11 |
| Smarkets | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21% | 2.9% | 2026-06-29 14:11 |
| Matchbook | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89% | 4.0% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| Novig | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56% | 4.0% | 2026-06-29 14:11 |