مدرسة الاحتمالات

Ethan Quinn v Luciano Darderi

البداية: 2026-06-29 15:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Ethan Quinn (المضيف)

التنبؤ 62.97%1.59السعر العادل
EV +2.63%
الأفضلية +1.62%
Kelly +4.18%
النمو +0.110%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.63

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
58.31%63.01%62.50%66.27%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.401.501.501.6371.43%66.88%66.67%61.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Luciano Darderi (الضيف)

التنبؤ 37.03%2.70السعر العادل
EV +1.85%
الأفضلية +0.671%
Kelly +1.05%
النمو +0.019%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
33.73%36.99%37.50%41.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.252.542.552.7544.44%39.34%39.22%36.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV +2.63%E +1.62%K +4.18%G +0.110%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -15.56%E -6.83%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 13:59
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV +0.745%E +0.465%K +1.24%G +0.009%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -8.52%E -3.45%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-29 14:10
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.14%E -0.729%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -11.86%E -4.98%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 14:02
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -1.14%E -0.729%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -12.97%E -5.52%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 14:04
BetAnything1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -1.77%E -1.14%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-29 14:08
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -2.40%E -1.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -1.12%E -0.419%K -0.669%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-29 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.40%E -1.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 14:01
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.40%E -1.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 14:01
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.40%E -1.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -11.12%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 14:06
Dabble (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.40%E -1.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -11.12%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 14:05
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.03%E -1.97%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 14:11
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.66%E -2.39%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 14:00
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.66%E -2.39%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 14:11
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.66%E -2.39%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.41%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 14:10
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.66%E -2.39%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 14:05
ReBet1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.29%E -2.82%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 13:59
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.29%E -2.82%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -6.30%E -2.49%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 14:10
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%EV -4.29%E -2.82%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.72%EV -7.04%E -2.81%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:10
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.29%E -2.82%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -11.12%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 14:10
SportsBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.92%E -3.26%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.82%E -1.88%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 14:06
MyBookie.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.86%E -0.701%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 14:10
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 14:10
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 13:59
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:11
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.41%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 14:10
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.41%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 14:10
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.41%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 14:10
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.41%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 14:10
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.41%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 14:10
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.41%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 14:10
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.41%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 14:10
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -12.97%E -5.52%K -9.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-29 14:10
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.09%EV -6.18%E -4.15%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.91%EV -9.64%E -3.95%K -6.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-29 14:10
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 62.09%EV -6.18%E -4.15%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.91%EV -9.64%E -3.95%K -6.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-29 14:10
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -6.18%E -4.15%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -12.97%E -5.52%K -9.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-29 14:10
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.004%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 14:10
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -2.60%E -0.988%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:10
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -2.60%E -0.988%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:10
Svenska Spel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -2.60%E -0.988%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:10
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -2.60%E -0.988%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:10
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.41%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 14:00
Betclic (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.66%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -11.86%E -4.98%K -8.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-29 14:10
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -7.44%E -5.06%K -15.83%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -2.60%E -0.988%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 14:10
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -7.44%E -5.06%K -15.83%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -2.60%E -0.988%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 14:11
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -7.44%E -5.06%K -15.83%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -2.60%E -0.988%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 14:10
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.44%E -5.06%K -15.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 14:10
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.44%E -5.06%K -15.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 14:10
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -8.07%E -5.53%K -17.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 14:10
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -8.07%E -5.53%K -17.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 14:10
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.65%EV -8.07%E -5.53%K -17.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -16.67%E -7.41%K -13.34%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-29 14:10
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.70%E -6.00%K -19.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -1.86%E -0.701%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 14:10
PMU (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.70%E -6.00%K -19.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 14:11
Bally Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.70%E -6.00%K -19.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 14:10
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -9.33%E -6.48%K -21.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +1.85%E +0.671%K +1.05%G +0.019%5.8%2026-06-29 14:10
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -9.33%E -6.48%K -21.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +1.85%E +0.671%K +1.05%G +0.019%5.8%2026-06-29 14:10
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.33%E -6.48%K -21.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.97%E -1.13%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 14:10
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.33%E -6.48%K -21.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.97%E -1.13%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 14:10
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -9.96%E -6.96%K -23.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.004%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 14:10
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -9.96%E -6.96%K -23.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-29 14:11
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -9.96%E -6.96%K -23.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-29 14:10
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -10.59%E -7.46%K -25.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV +1.85%E +0.671%K +1.05%G +0.019%6.8%2026-06-29 14:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -11.85%E -8.46%K -29.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +1.85%E +0.671%K +1.05%G +0.019%7.8%2026-06-29 14:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%0.8%2026-06-29 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%1.0%2026-06-29 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%2.7%2026-06-29 14:10
ProphetX1.51I 66.23%NM 64.47%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.53%2.7%2026-06-29 14:11
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%2.9%2026-06-29 14:11
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%4.0%2026-06-29 14:10
Novig1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%4.0%2026-06-29 14:11