The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Dane Sweeny v Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

Kickoff: 2026-06-25 10:13 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dane Sweeny (Local)

Prediction 42.25%2.37fair odd
EV +6.05%
Edge +2.41%
Kelly +4.01%
Growth +0.242%

assuming max odds 2.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.33%42.35%42.20%46.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.242.232.5148.78%44.66%44.94%39.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera (Visit)

Prediction 57.75%1.73fair odd
EV +3.95%
Edge +2.19%
Kelly +4.94%
Growth +0.195%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.25%57.65%57.80%61.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.621.611.8065.79%61.65%62.11%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dane Sweeny (Local): 42.25%; Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera (Visit): 57.75%. For Dane Sweeny (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.37. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.51, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.05%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV +6.05%E +2.41%K +4.01%G +0.242%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV -9.91%E -6.35%K -17.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-25 10:10
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +3.51%E +1.43%K +2.42%G +0.085%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -10.49%E -6.77%K -19.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 10:07
Marathon Bet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.83%EV +1.82%E +0.757%K +1.29%G +0.024%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.17%EV -11.64%E -7.61%K -21.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-25 09:59
GTbets🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV +0.134%E +0.056%K +0.098%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -4.14%E -2.49%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-25 09:59
ReBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -0.289%E -0.122%K -0.212%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -7.60%E -4.75%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-25 09:59
NetBet (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.11%EV -4.09%E -1.80%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.89%EV -12.22%E -8.04%K -23.50%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-25 10:00
MyBookie.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.94%E -2.19%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.60%E -4.75%K -12.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-25 10:10
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.05%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.45%E -3.98%K -10.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-25 10:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -7.05%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.98%EV -11.64%E -7.61%K -21.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-25 09:58
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.27%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.56%E -2.13%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-25 10:10
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -12.12%E -5.83%K -11.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -3.56%E -2.13%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-25 10:09
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -13.39%E -6.53%K -12.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV +3.95%E +2.19%K +4.94%G +0.195%4.3%2026-06-25 10:10
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -13.39%E -6.53%K -12.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -0.093%E -0.054%K -0.128%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-25 10:10
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -13.39%E -6.53%K -12.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -3.56%E -2.13%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-25 10:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-06-25 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-06-25 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-06-25 10:10
Smarkets◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%1.2%2026-06-25 10:10
ProphetX◎2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%3.0%2026-06-25 10:10