语言:简体中文
Dane Sweeny v Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Dane Sweeny (主队)
预测 42.25%2.37公平赔率
EV +6.05%
优势 +2.41%
Kelly +4.01%
增长率 +0.242%
假设最高赔率为 2.51
博彩公司预测分布
38.33%42.35%42.20%46.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.052.242.232.5148.78%44.66%44.94%39.84%最小值均值中位数最大值
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera (客队)
预测 57.75%1.73公平赔率
EV +3.95%
优势 +2.19%
Kelly +4.94%
增长率 +0.195%
假设最高赔率为 1.80
博彩公司预测分布
53.25%57.65%57.80%61.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.521.621.611.8065.79%61.65%62.11%55.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Dane Sweeny (主队)：42.25%；Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera (客队)：57.75%。 对于“Dane Sweeny (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.37。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.51，对应+6.05%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (14 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV +6.05%E +2.41%K +4.01%G +0.242% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV -9.91%E -6.35%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +3.51%E +1.43%K +2.42%G +0.085% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -10.49%E -6.77%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-25 10:07 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.83%EV +1.82%E +0.757%K +1.29%G +0.024% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.17%EV -11.64%E -7.61%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-25 09:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV +0.134%E +0.056%K +0.098%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -4.14%E -2.49%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-25 09:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -0.289%E -0.122%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -7.60%E -4.75%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-25 09:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.11%EV -4.09%E -1.80%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.89%EV -12.22%E -8.04%K -23.50%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-25 10:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.94%E -2.19%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.60%E -4.75%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.05%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.45%E -3.98%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -7.05%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.98%EV -11.64%E -7.61%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-25 09:58 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.27%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.56%E -2.13%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -12.12%E -5.83%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -3.56%E -2.13%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-25 10:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -13.39%E -6.53%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV +3.95%E +2.19%K +4.94%G +0.195% | 4.3% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -13.39%E -6.53%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -0.093%E -0.054%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -13.39%E -6.53%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -3.56%E -2.13%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51% | 1.2% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50% | 3.0% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |