Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dalibor Svrcina v Learner Tien

Kickoff: 2026-06-29 10:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dalibor Svrcina (Local)

Prediction 13.48%7.42fair odd
EV +13.20%
Edge +1.57%
Kelly +1.78%
Growth +0.236%

assuming max odds 8.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.39%13.55%13.53%15.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.007.007.008.4016.67%14.29%14.29%11.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Learner Tien (Visit)

Prediction 86.52%1.16fair odd
EV -3.09%
Edge -2.76%
Kelly -25.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.39%86.45%86.47%88.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.101.101.1294.34%91.29%90.91%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dalibor Svrcina (Local): 13.48%; Learner Tien (Visit): 86.52%. For Dalibor Svrcina (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.42. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.20%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV +13.20%E +1.57%K +1.78%G +0.236%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV -6.55%E -6.07%K -81.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 09:59
Marathon Bet🎯8.10I 12.35%NM 11.67%EV +9.16%E +1.13%K +1.29%G +0.118%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.33%EV -7.42%E -6.93%K -106.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Paddy Power🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +7.81%E +0.976%K +1.12%G +0.087%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.55%E -6.07%K -81.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Sky Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +7.81%E +0.976%K +1.12%G +0.087%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.55%E -6.07%K -81.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
SportsBet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +7.81%E +0.976%K +1.12%G +0.087%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.55%E -6.07%K -81.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Coolbet🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.53%EV +4.44%E +0.573%K +0.658%G +0.029%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.47%EV -3.96%E -3.57%K -35.99%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Codere (IT)🎯7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV +2.42%E +0.319%K +0.367%G +0.009%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 10:00
ReBet🎯7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV +2.42%E +0.319%K +0.367%G +0.009%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Winamax (DE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +1.07%E +0.143%K +0.165%G +0.002%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.96%E -3.57%K -35.99%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +1.07%E +0.143%K +0.165%G +0.002%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 10:00
BetUS🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +1.07%E +0.143%K +0.165%G +0.002%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.55%E -6.07%K -81.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 09:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +1.07%E +0.143%K +0.165%G +0.002%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.55%E -6.07%K -81.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 10:00
Pinnacle🎯7.45I 13.42%NM 12.97%EV +0.400%E +0.054%K +0.062%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.03%EV -3.96%E -3.57%K -35.99%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-29 10:00
Betclic (FR)🎯7.40I 13.51%NM 12.74%EV -0.274%E -0.037%K -0.043%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.26%EV -6.55%E -6.07%K -81.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 09:58
Bovada🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -2.30%E -0.317%K -0.367%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 09:46
NetBet (FR)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -2.30%E -0.317%K -0.367%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -7.42%E -6.93%K -106.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-29 09:47
MyBookie.ag🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -2.97%E -0.412%K -0.479%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Tipico (DE)🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -2.97%E -0.412%K -0.479%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -6.55%E -6.07%K -81.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:00
GTbets🎯7.14I 14.01%NM 13.45%EV -3.78%E -0.529%K -0.615%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.55%EV -3.96%E -3.57%K -35.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 09:47
DraftKings🎯7.10I 14.08%NM 13.31%EV -4.32%E -0.608%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.69%EV -5.69%E -5.22%K -63.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Fliff🎯7.10I 14.08%NM 12.99%EV -4.32%E -0.608%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.01%EV -8.29%E -7.82%K -138.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-29 09:59
1xBet🎯7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -5.26%E -0.748%K -0.872%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Unibet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.66%E -0.809%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet (NL)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.66%E -0.809%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:00
Casumo🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.66%E -0.809%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:00
TABtouch🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.66%E -0.809%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:00
Grosvenor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.66%E -0.809%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:00
LeoVegas🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.66%E -0.809%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:00
BetRivers🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.66%E -0.809%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 09:59
BoyleSports🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.66%E -0.809%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.66%E -0.809%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Betway🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.66%E -0.809%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 09:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.66%E -0.809%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Bally Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.66%E -0.809%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:00
betPARX🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.66%E -0.809%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 09:58
ATG (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.66%E -0.809%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Svenska Spel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.66%E -0.809%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.66%E -0.809%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 09:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -5.66%E -0.809%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.69%E -5.22%K -63.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Betr (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -5.66%E -0.809%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.69%E -5.22%K -63.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 10:00
TAB🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.66%E -0.809%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.55%E -6.07%K -81.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 10:00
betfred_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.66%E -0.809%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.55%E -6.07%K -81.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 10:00
Unibet (FR)🎯6.90I 14.49%NM 13.64%EV -7.01%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.36%EV -5.69%E -5.22%K -63.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Winamax (FR)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -9.03%E -1.34%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 09:59
LiveScore Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -9.03%E -1.34%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -6.55%E -6.07%K -81.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 10:00
Virgin Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -9.03%E -1.34%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -6.55%E -6.07%K -81.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 09:59
PMU (FR)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -9.03%E -1.34%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.32%EV -7.42%E -6.93%K -106.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-29 09:59
NordicBet🎯6.67I 14.99%NM 14.05%EV -10.11%E -1.52%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.95%EV -5.69%E -5.22%K -63.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 10:00
Betsson🎯6.67I 14.99%NM 14.05%EV -10.11%E -1.52%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.95%EV -5.69%E -5.22%K -63.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -11.06%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -3.96%E -3.57%K -35.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:00
Neds🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -11.06%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -3.96%E -3.57%K -35.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:00
BetAnything🎯6.55I 15.27%NM 14.49%EV -11.73%E -1.79%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.51%EV -3.96%E -3.57%K -35.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:00
888sport🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -12.40%E -1.91%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.96%E -3.57%K -35.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 09:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -12.40%E -1.91%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.96%E -3.57%K -35.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 09:59
888sport (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -12.40%E -1.91%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.96%E -3.57%K -35.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 09:59
Everygame🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -12.40%E -1.91%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 09:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -12.40%E -1.91%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 09:59
Coral🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -12.40%E -1.91%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 10:00
BetMGM🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -12.40%E -1.91%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 09:58
theScore Bet🎯6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -13.08%E -2.03%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -3.96%E -3.57%K -35.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 10:00
PlayUp🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.77%E -2.52%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.09%E -2.76%K -25.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 09:59
Fanatics🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.04%EV -17.79%E -2.92%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 84.96%EV -6.55%E -6.07%K -81.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Dabble (AU)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -19.14%E -3.19%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.96%E -3.57%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Caesars🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -19.14%E -3.19%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.96%E -3.57%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 09:58
Bet Victor🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -19.14%E -3.19%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 09:58
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%0.9%2026-06-29 09:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%0.9%2026-06-29 10:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%0.9%2026-06-29 10:00
Matchbook7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%0.9%2026-06-29 10:00
ProphetX7.30I 13.70%NM 13.51%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.49%1.4%2026-06-29 10:00
Novig8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28%1.12I 89.29%NM 87.72%1.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Smarkets7.60I 13.16%NM 12.84%1.12I 89.29%NM 87.16%2.4%2026-06-29 10:00