StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Dalibor Svrcina v Learner Tien

Spielbeginn: 2026-06-29 10:05 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

65 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Dalibor Svrcina (Heim)

Prognose 13.48%7.42faire Quote
EV +13.20%
Vorteil +1.57%
Kelly +1.78%
Wachstum +0.236%

bei einer Höchstquote von 8.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
11.39%13.55%13.53%15.61%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
6.007.007.008.4016.67%14.29%14.29%11.90%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Learner Tien (Auswärts)

Prognose 86.52%1.16faire Quote
EV -3.09%
Vorteil -2.76%
Kelly -25.78%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.12

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
84.39%86.45%86.47%88.61%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.061.101.101.1294.34%91.29%90.91%89.29%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Dalibor Svrcina (Heim): 13.48%; Learner Tien (Auswärts): 86.52%. Für Dalibor Svrcina (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 7.42. 13 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 8.40 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +13.20%.

Wettanbieterquoten (65 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
FanDuel🎯8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV +13.20%E +1.57%K +1.78%G +0.236%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV -6.55%E -6.07%K -81.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 09:59
Marathon Bet🎯8.10I 12.35%NM 11.67%EV +9.16%E +1.13%K +1.29%G +0.118%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.33%EV -7.42%E -6.93%K -106.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Paddy Power🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +7.81%E +0.976%K +1.12%G +0.087%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.55%E -6.07%K -81.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Sky Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +7.81%E +0.976%K +1.12%G +0.087%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.55%E -6.07%K -81.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
SportsBet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +7.81%E +0.976%K +1.12%G +0.087%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.55%E -6.07%K -81.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Coolbet🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.53%EV +4.44%E +0.573%K +0.658%G +0.029%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.47%EV -3.96%E -3.57%K -35.99%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Codere (IT)🎯7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV +2.42%E +0.319%K +0.367%G +0.009%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 10:00
ReBet🎯7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV +2.42%E +0.319%K +0.367%G +0.009%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Winamax (DE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +1.07%E +0.143%K +0.165%G +0.002%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.96%E -3.57%K -35.99%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +1.07%E +0.143%K +0.165%G +0.002%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 10:00
BetUS🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +1.07%E +0.143%K +0.165%G +0.002%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.55%E -6.07%K -81.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 09:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +1.07%E +0.143%K +0.165%G +0.002%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.55%E -6.07%K -81.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 10:00
Pinnacle🎯7.45I 13.42%NM 12.97%EV +0.400%E +0.054%K +0.062%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.03%EV -3.96%E -3.57%K -35.99%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-29 10:00
Betclic (FR)🎯7.40I 13.51%NM 12.74%EV -0.274%E -0.037%K -0.043%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.26%EV -6.55%E -6.07%K -81.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 09:58
Bovada🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -2.30%E -0.317%K -0.367%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 09:46
NetBet (FR)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -2.30%E -0.317%K -0.367%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -7.42%E -6.93%K -106.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-29 09:47
MyBookie.ag🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -2.97%E -0.412%K -0.479%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Tipico (DE)🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -2.97%E -0.412%K -0.479%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -6.55%E -6.07%K -81.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:00
GTbets🎯7.14I 14.01%NM 13.45%EV -3.78%E -0.529%K -0.615%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.55%EV -3.96%E -3.57%K -35.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 09:47
DraftKings🎯7.10I 14.08%NM 13.31%EV -4.32%E -0.608%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.69%EV -5.69%E -5.22%K -63.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Fliff🎯7.10I 14.08%NM 12.99%EV -4.32%E -0.608%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.01%EV -8.29%E -7.82%K -138.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-29 09:59
1xBet🎯7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -5.26%E -0.748%K -0.872%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Unibet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.66%E -0.809%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet (NL)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.66%E -0.809%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:00
Casumo🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.66%E -0.809%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:00
TABtouch🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.66%E -0.809%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:00
Grosvenor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.66%E -0.809%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:00
LeoVegas🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.66%E -0.809%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:00
BetRivers🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.66%E -0.809%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 09:59
BoyleSports🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.66%E -0.809%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.66%E -0.809%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Betway🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.66%E -0.809%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 09:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.66%E -0.809%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Bally Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.66%E -0.809%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:00
betPARX🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.66%E -0.809%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 09:58
ATG (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.66%E -0.809%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Svenska Spel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.66%E -0.809%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.66%E -0.809%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 09:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -5.66%E -0.809%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.69%E -5.22%K -63.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Betr (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -5.66%E -0.809%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.69%E -5.22%K -63.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 10:00
TAB🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.66%E -0.809%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.55%E -6.07%K -81.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 10:00
betfred_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.66%E -0.809%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.55%E -6.07%K -81.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 10:00
Unibet (FR)🎯6.90I 14.49%NM 13.64%EV -7.01%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.36%EV -5.69%E -5.22%K -63.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Winamax (FR)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -9.03%E -1.34%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 09:59
LiveScore Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -9.03%E -1.34%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -6.55%E -6.07%K -81.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 10:00
Virgin Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -9.03%E -1.34%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -6.55%E -6.07%K -81.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 09:59
PMU (FR)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -9.03%E -1.34%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.32%EV -7.42%E -6.93%K -106.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-29 09:59
NordicBet🎯6.67I 14.99%NM 14.05%EV -10.11%E -1.52%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.95%EV -5.69%E -5.22%K -63.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 10:00
Betsson🎯6.67I 14.99%NM 14.05%EV -10.11%E -1.52%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.95%EV -5.69%E -5.22%K -63.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -11.06%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -3.96%E -3.57%K -35.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:00
Neds🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -11.06%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -3.96%E -3.57%K -35.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:00
BetAnything🎯6.55I 15.27%NM 14.49%EV -11.73%E -1.79%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.51%EV -3.96%E -3.57%K -35.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:00
888sport🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -12.40%E -1.91%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.96%E -3.57%K -35.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 09:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -12.40%E -1.91%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.96%E -3.57%K -35.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 09:59
888sport (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -12.40%E -1.91%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.96%E -3.57%K -35.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 09:59
Everygame🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -12.40%E -1.91%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 09:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -12.40%E -1.91%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 09:59
Coral🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -12.40%E -1.91%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 10:00
BetMGM🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -12.40%E -1.91%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 09:58
theScore Bet🎯6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -13.08%E -2.03%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -3.96%E -3.57%K -35.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 10:00
PlayUp🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -15.77%E -2.52%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.09%E -2.76%K -25.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 09:59
Fanatics🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.04%EV -17.79%E -2.92%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 84.96%EV -6.55%E -6.07%K -81.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Dabble (AU)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -19.14%E -3.19%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.96%E -3.57%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Caesars🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -19.14%E -3.19%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.96%E -3.57%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 09:58
Bet Victor🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -19.14%E -3.19%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.82%E -4.39%K -48.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 09:58
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%0.9%2026-06-29 09:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%0.9%2026-06-29 10:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%0.9%2026-06-29 10:00
Matchbook7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%0.9%2026-06-29 10:00
ProphetX7.30I 13.70%NM 13.51%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.49%1.4%2026-06-29 10:00
Novig8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28%1.12I 89.29%NM 87.72%1.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Smarkets7.60I 13.16%NM 12.84%1.12I 89.29%NM 87.16%2.4%2026-06-29 10:00