Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alexander Blockx v Alexander Zverev

Kickoff: 2026-06-30 15:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alexander Blockx (Local)

Prediction 13.57%7.37fair odd
EV +15.33%
Edge +1.80%
Kelly +2.04%
Growth +0.314%

assuming max odds 8.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.09%13.57%13.58%15.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.007.187.208.5016.67%13.92%13.89%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alexander Zverev (Visit)

Prediction 86.43%1.16fair odd
EV -3.20%
Edge -2.85%
Kelly -26.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.51%86.43%86.42%88.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.091.081.1295.24%92.08%92.17%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexander Blockx (Local): 13.57%; Alexander Zverev (Visit): 86.43%. For Alexander Blockx (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.37. 28 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.33%.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +15.33%E +1.80%K +2.04%G +0.314%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -8.38%E -7.91%K -139.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 14:29
PlayUp🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +8.55%E +1.07%K +1.22%G +0.104%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -7.52%E -7.03%K -107.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 15:09
DraftKings🎯7.90I 12.66%NM 12.22%EV +7.19%E +0.911%K +1.04%G +0.075%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.78%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.26%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-30 15:10
Codere (IT)🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +5.84%E +0.748%K +0.858%G +0.050%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 14:29
ReBet🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +5.84%E +0.748%K +0.858%G +0.050%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 14:30
Bovada🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV +5.16%E +0.666%K +0.764%G +0.039%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -5.79%E -5.31%K -64.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 15:06
Pinnacle🎯7.61I 13.14%NM 12.73%EV +3.26%E +0.428%K +0.493%G +0.016%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.27%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.92%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-30 14:30
Winamax (DE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +1.77%E +0.235%K +0.272%G +0.005%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.92%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-30 15:09
Unibet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +1.77%E +0.235%K +0.272%G +0.005%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.65%E -6.16%K -83.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 14:29
Unibet (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +1.77%E +0.235%K +0.272%G +0.005%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.65%E -6.16%K -83.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 14:29
William Hill🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +1.77%E +0.235%K +0.272%G +0.005%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.65%E -6.16%K -83.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 14:29
Casumo🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +1.77%E +0.235%K +0.272%G +0.005%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.65%E -6.16%K -83.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 14:29
Unibet (NL)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +1.77%E +0.235%K +0.272%G +0.005%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.65%E -6.16%K -83.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 14:29
BetRivers🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +1.77%E +0.235%K +0.272%G +0.005%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.65%E -6.16%K -83.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 14:29
BetUS🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +1.77%E +0.235%K +0.272%G +0.005%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.65%E -6.16%K -83.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 14:29
ATG (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +1.77%E +0.235%K +0.272%G +0.005%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.65%E -6.16%K -83.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 14:29
Svenska Spel🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +1.77%E +0.235%K +0.272%G +0.005%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.65%E -6.16%K -83.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 14:29
betPARX🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +1.77%E +0.235%K +0.272%G +0.005%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.65%E -6.16%K -83.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 14:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +1.77%E +0.235%K +0.272%G +0.005%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.65%E -6.16%K -83.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 14:29
TABtouch🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV +1.77%E +0.235%K +0.272%G +0.005%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -7.52%E -7.03%K -107.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 15:09
Grosvenor🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV +1.77%E +0.235%K +0.272%G +0.005%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -7.52%E -7.03%K -107.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 15:10
TAB🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV +1.77%E +0.235%K +0.272%G +0.005%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -7.52%E -7.03%K -107.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 15:10
Dabble (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV +1.77%E +0.235%K +0.272%G +0.005%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -7.52%E -7.03%K -107.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 15:10
Virgin Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +1.77%E +0.235%K +0.272%G +0.005%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -8.38%E -7.91%K -139.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 14:29
LiveScore Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +1.77%E +0.235%K +0.272%G +0.005%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -8.38%E -7.91%K -139.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 14:29
Bally Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +1.77%E +0.235%K +0.272%G +0.005%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -8.38%E -7.91%K -139.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 15:10
PMU (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +1.77%E +0.235%K +0.272%G +0.005%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -9.25%E -8.81%K -184.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-30 14:29
LeoVegas🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +1.77%E +0.235%K +0.272%G +0.005%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -9.25%E -8.81%K -184.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-30 15:10
NetBet (FR)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -1.63%E -0.224%K -0.260%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -7.52%E -7.03%K -107.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 14:29
Fanatics🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV -2.30%E -0.320%K -0.372%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 14:49
Unibet (FR)🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -2.30%E -0.320%K -0.372%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 14:29
Betway🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.02%E -0.717%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.02%E -0.717%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 14:29
Coral🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.02%E -0.717%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 14:29
MyBookie.ag🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.02%E -0.717%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 15:10
Unibet (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.02%E -0.717%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 15:10
Coolbet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.02%E -0.717%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 15:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -5.02%E -0.717%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.79%E -5.31%K -64.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 14:49
Betr (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -5.02%E -0.717%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.79%E -5.31%K -64.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 14:49
888sport🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.02%E -0.717%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.65%E -6.16%K -83.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 15:10
betfred_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.02%E -0.717%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.65%E -6.16%K -83.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 14:29
BetMGM🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.02%E -0.717%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.65%E -6.16%K -83.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 15:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.02%E -0.717%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.65%E -6.16%K -83.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 15:10
888sport (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.02%E -0.717%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.65%E -6.16%K -83.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -5.02%E -0.717%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 86.96%EV -9.25%E -8.81%K -184.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-30 15:10
Fliff🎯6.95I 14.39%NM 13.23%EV -5.70%E -0.820%K -0.957%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 86.77%EV -8.38%E -7.91%K -139.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-30 15:10
FanDuel🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -7.73%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 15:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -8.41%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 14:29
Neds🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -8.41%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 14:29
Winamax (FR)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -8.41%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 15:10
SportsBet🎯6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -9.09%E -1.36%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 15:09
Betsson🎯6.67I 14.99%NM 14.05%EV -9.50%E -1.42%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.95%EV -5.79%E -5.31%K -64.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 15:10
NordicBet🎯6.67I 14.99%NM 14.05%EV -9.50%E -1.42%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.95%EV -5.79%E -5.31%K -64.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 15:10
BoyleSports🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -11.80%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.20%E -2.85%K -26.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 15:10
Paddy Power🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.80%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 15:10
Sky Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.80%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 15:10
Caesars🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.80%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 15:09
theScore Bet🎯6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -12.48%E -1.94%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 14:59
Bet Victor🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -18.59%E -3.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 15:09
Betclic (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -18.59%E -3.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -5.79%E -5.31%K -64.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-30 15:08
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.47%1.14I 87.72%NM 87.53%0.2%2026-06-30 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%0.5%2026-06-30 15:10
Matchbook7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%0.5%2026-06-30 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%1.0%2026-06-30 14:40
Novig8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28%1.12I 89.29%NM 87.72%1.8%2026-06-30 15:10
ProphetX7.50I 13.33%NM 13.09%1.13I 88.50%NM 86.91%1.8%2026-06-30 15:10
Smarkets7.60I 13.16%NM 12.84%1.12I 89.29%NM 87.16%2.4%2026-06-30 15:10