La escuela de los momios

Alexander Blockx v Alexander Zverev

Inicio: 2026-06-30 15:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Alexander Blockx (Local)

Predicción 13.57%7.37momio equitativo
EV +15.33%
Ventaja +1.80%
Kelly +2.04%
Crecimiento +0.314%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.09%13.57%13.58%15.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.007.187.208.5016.67%13.92%13.89%11.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Alexander Zverev (Visitante)

Predicción 86.43%1.16momio equitativo
EV -3.20%
Ventaja -2.85%
Kelly -26.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
84.51%86.43%86.42%88.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.051.091.081.1295.24%92.08%92.17%89.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Tipico (DE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +15.33%E +1.80%K +2.04%G +0.314%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -8.38%E -7.91%K -139.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 14:29
PlayUp8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +8.55%E +1.07%K +1.22%G +0.104%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -7.52%E -7.03%K -107.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 15:09
DraftKings7.90I 12.66%NM 12.22%EV +7.19%E +0.911%K +1.04%G +0.075%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.78%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.26%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-30 15:10
Codere (IT)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +5.84%E +0.748%K +0.858%G +0.050%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 14:29
ReBet7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +5.84%E +0.748%K +0.858%G +0.050%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 14:30
Bovada7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV +5.16%E +0.666%K +0.764%G +0.039%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -5.79%E -5.31%K -64.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 15:06
Pinnacle7.61I 13.14%NM 12.73%EV +3.26%E +0.428%K +0.493%G +0.016%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.27%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.92%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-30 14:30
Winamax (DE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +1.77%E +0.235%K +0.272%G +0.005%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.92%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-30 15:09
Unibet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +1.77%E +0.235%K +0.272%G +0.005%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.65%E -6.16%K -83.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 14:29
Unibet (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +1.77%E +0.235%K +0.272%G +0.005%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.65%E -6.16%K -83.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 14:29
William Hill7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +1.77%E +0.235%K +0.272%G +0.005%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.65%E -6.16%K -83.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 14:29
Casumo7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +1.77%E +0.235%K +0.272%G +0.005%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.65%E -6.16%K -83.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 14:29
Unibet (NL)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +1.77%E +0.235%K +0.272%G +0.005%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.65%E -6.16%K -83.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 14:29
BetRivers7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +1.77%E +0.235%K +0.272%G +0.005%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.65%E -6.16%K -83.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 14:29
BetUS7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +1.77%E +0.235%K +0.272%G +0.005%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.65%E -6.16%K -83.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 14:29
ATG (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +1.77%E +0.235%K +0.272%G +0.005%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.65%E -6.16%K -83.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 14:29
Svenska Spel7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +1.77%E +0.235%K +0.272%G +0.005%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.65%E -6.16%K -83.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 14:29
betPARX7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +1.77%E +0.235%K +0.272%G +0.005%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.65%E -6.16%K -83.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 14:29
Hard Rock Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +1.77%E +0.235%K +0.272%G +0.005%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.65%E -6.16%K -83.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 14:29
TABtouch7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV +1.77%E +0.235%K +0.272%G +0.005%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -7.52%E -7.03%K -107.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 15:09
Grosvenor7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV +1.77%E +0.235%K +0.272%G +0.005%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -7.52%E -7.03%K -107.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 15:10
TAB7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV +1.77%E +0.235%K +0.272%G +0.005%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -7.52%E -7.03%K -107.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 15:10
Dabble (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV +1.77%E +0.235%K +0.272%G +0.005%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -7.52%E -7.03%K -107.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 15:10
Virgin Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +1.77%E +0.235%K +0.272%G +0.005%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -8.38%E -7.91%K -139.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 14:29
LiveScore Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +1.77%E +0.235%K +0.272%G +0.005%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -8.38%E -7.91%K -139.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 14:29
Bally Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +1.77%E +0.235%K +0.272%G +0.005%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -8.38%E -7.91%K -139.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 15:10
PMU (FR)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +1.77%E +0.235%K +0.272%G +0.005%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -9.25%E -8.81%K -184.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-30 14:29
LeoVegas7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +1.77%E +0.235%K +0.272%G +0.005%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -9.25%E -8.81%K -184.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-30 15:10
NetBet (FR)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -1.63%E -0.224%K -0.260%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -7.52%E -7.03%K -107.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 14:29
Fanatics7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV -2.30%E -0.320%K -0.372%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 14:49
Unibet (FR)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -2.30%E -0.320%K -0.372%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 14:29
Betway7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.02%E -0.717%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.02%E -0.717%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 14:29
Coral7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.02%E -0.717%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 14:29
MyBookie.ag7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.02%E -0.717%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 15:10
Unibet (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.02%E -0.717%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 15:10
Coolbet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.02%E -0.717%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 15:09
PointsBet (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -5.02%E -0.717%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.79%E -5.31%K -64.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 14:49
Betr (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -5.02%E -0.717%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.79%E -5.31%K -64.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 14:49
888sport7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.02%E -0.717%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.65%E -6.16%K -83.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 15:10
betfred_uk7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.02%E -0.717%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.65%E -6.16%K -83.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 14:29
BetMGM7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.02%E -0.717%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.65%E -6.16%K -83.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 15:10
Mr Green (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.02%E -0.717%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.65%E -6.16%K -83.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 15:10
888sport (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.02%E -0.717%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.65%E -6.16%K -83.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -5.02%E -0.717%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 86.96%EV -9.25%E -8.81%K -184.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-30 15:10
Fliff6.95I 14.39%NM 13.23%EV -5.70%E -0.820%K -0.957%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 86.77%EV -8.38%E -7.91%K -139.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-30 15:10
FanDuel6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -7.73%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 15:09
Ladbrokes (AU)6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -8.41%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 14:29
Neds6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -8.41%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 14:29
Winamax (FR)6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -8.41%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 15:10
SportsBet6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -9.09%E -1.36%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 15:09
Betsson6.67I 14.99%NM 14.05%EV -9.50%E -1.42%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.95%EV -5.79%E -5.31%K -64.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 15:10
NordicBet6.67I 14.99%NM 14.05%EV -9.50%E -1.42%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.95%EV -5.79%E -5.31%K -64.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 15:10
BoyleSports6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -11.80%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.20%E -2.85%K -26.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 15:10
Paddy Power6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.80%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 15:10
Sky Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.80%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 15:10
Caesars6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.80%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 15:09
theScore Bet6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -12.48%E -1.94%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 14:59
Bet Victor6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -18.59%E -3.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 15:09
Betclic (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -18.59%E -3.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -5.79%E -5.31%K -64.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-30 15:08
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.47%1.14I 87.72%NM 87.53%0.2%2026-06-30 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%0.5%2026-06-30 15:10
Matchbook7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%0.5%2026-06-30 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%1.0%2026-06-30 14:40
Novig8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28%1.12I 89.29%NM 87.72%1.8%2026-06-30 15:10
ProphetX7.50I 13.33%NM 13.09%1.13I 88.50%NM 86.91%1.8%2026-06-30 15:10
Smarkets7.60I 13.16%NM 12.84%1.12I 89.29%NM 87.16%2.4%2026-06-30 15:10