A Escola das Odds

Adrian Mannarino v Titouan Droguet

Início: 2026-06-30 10:05 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Adrian Mannarino (Local)

Previsão 61.42%1.63odd justa
EV -1.73%
Vantagem -1.08%
Kelly -2.89%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.97%61.42%61.57%62.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.501.541.531.6066.67%64.85%65.36%62.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Titouan Droguet (Visitante)

Previsão 38.58%2.59odd justa
EV -1.23%
Vantagem -0.479%
Kelly -0.785%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.50%38.58%38.43%41.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.302.462.482.5643.48%40.66%40.32%39.06%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -1.73%E -1.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -11.26%E -4.89%K -8.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 09:59
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -2.96%E -1.87%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 10:00
Dabble (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -2.96%E -1.87%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -11.26%E -4.89%K -8.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%EV -3.58%E -2.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%EV -1.23%E -0.479%K -0.785%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.58%E -2.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -1.61%E -0.632%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.58%E -2.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 10:00
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.58%E -2.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.58%E -2.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 09:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.58%E -2.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 10:00
BetAnything1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.19%E -2.69%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.61%E -0.632%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-30 09:59
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.19%E -2.69%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.19%E -2.69%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 09:59
Codere (IT)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.19%E -2.69%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 10:00
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.19%E -2.69%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 09:59
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.19%E -2.69%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 09:59
GTbets1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.19%E -2.69%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.31%E -1.74%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 09:59
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.19%E -2.69%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -5.08%E -2.07%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.19%E -2.69%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:00
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.80%E -3.10%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 10:00
MyBookie.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.80%E -3.10%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.31%E -1.74%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 09:59
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -4.80%E -3.10%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -5.08%E -2.07%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.80%E -3.10%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:00
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.80%E -3.10%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 09:59
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.80%E -3.10%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 10:00
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.80%E -3.10%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 09:59
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.80%E -3.10%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 09:59
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.80%E -3.10%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 10:00
Unibet (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.42%E -3.52%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.61%E -0.632%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 09:59
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -5.42%E -3.52%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -3.15%E -1.26%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 10:00
Marathon Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -5.42%E -3.52%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -4.70%E -1.90%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 10:00
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:58
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 10:00
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 10:00
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
Bally Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 10:00
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -5.08%E -2.07%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 09:59
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 09:59
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 09:59
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 10:00
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 09:59
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 09:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 09:59
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 09:59
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 09:59
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 09:59
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 09:58
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 10:00
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 09:59
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -6.65%E -4.37%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -4.31%E -1.74%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 09:59
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -6.65%E -4.37%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -4.31%E -1.74%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 09:59
Betclic (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.26%E -4.81%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 09:57
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.26%E -4.81%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 09:59
NetBet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.26%E -4.81%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 10:00
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.88%E -5.25%K -15.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 09:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-06-30 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-06-30 09:59
ProphetX1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-06-30 10:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-06-30 10:00
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-06-30 10:00
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 63.12%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.88%1.6%2026-06-30 09:57
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%2.0%2026-06-30 10:00