Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Adrian Mannarino v Titouan Droguet

Początek: 2026-06-30 10:05 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

65 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Adrian Mannarino (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 61.42%1.63kurs godziwy
EV -1.73%
Przewaga -1.08%
Kelly -2.89%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.60

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
58.97%61.42%61.57%62.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.501.541.531.6066.67%64.85%65.36%62.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Titouan Droguet (Goście)

Prognoza 38.58%2.59kurs godziwy
EV -1.23%
Przewaga -0.479%
Kelly -0.785%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.56

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
37.50%38.58%38.43%41.03%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.302.462.482.5643.48%40.66%40.32%39.06%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Adrian Mannarino (Gospodarze): 61.42%; Titouan Droguet (Goście): 38.58%. Dla wyniku Titouan Droguet (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.59. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 2.56, przy wartości oczekiwanej -1.23%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.

Kursy bukmacherskie (65 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -1.73%E -1.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -11.26%E -4.89%K -8.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 09:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -2.96%E -1.87%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 10:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -2.96%E -1.87%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -11.26%E -4.89%K -8.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%EV -3.58%E -2.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%EV -1.23%E -0.479%K -0.785%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.58%E -2.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -1.61%E -0.632%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.58%E -2.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 10:00
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.58%E -2.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.58%E -2.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 09:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.58%E -2.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 10:00
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.19%E -2.69%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.61%E -0.632%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-30 09:59
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.19%E -2.69%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.19%E -2.69%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 09:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.19%E -2.69%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 10:00
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.19%E -2.69%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 09:59
ReBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.19%E -2.69%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 09:59
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.19%E -2.69%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.31%E -1.74%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 09:59
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.19%E -2.69%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -5.08%E -2.07%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.19%E -2.69%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:00
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.80%E -3.10%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 10:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.80%E -3.10%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.31%E -1.74%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 09:59
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -4.80%E -3.10%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -5.08%E -2.07%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.80%E -3.10%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:00
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.80%E -3.10%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 09:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.80%E -3.10%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 10:00
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.80%E -3.10%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 09:59
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.80%E -3.10%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 09:59
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.80%E -3.10%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 10:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.42%E -3.52%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.61%E -0.632%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 09:59
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -5.42%E -3.52%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -3.15%E -1.26%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 10:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -5.42%E -3.52%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -4.70%E -1.90%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 10:00
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:58
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 10:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 10:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 10:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -5.08%E -2.07%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 09:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 09:59
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 09:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 10:00
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 09:59
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 09:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 09:59
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 09:59
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 09:59
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 09:59
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 09:58
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 10:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 09:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -6.65%E -4.37%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -4.31%E -1.74%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 09:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -6.65%E -4.37%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -4.31%E -1.74%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 09:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.26%E -4.81%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 09:57
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.26%E -4.81%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 09:59
NetBet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.26%E -4.81%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 10:00
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.88%E -5.25%K -15.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 09:59
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-06-30 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-06-30 09:59
ProphetX1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-06-30 10:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-06-30 10:00
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-06-30 10:00
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 63.12%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.88%1.6%2026-06-30 09:57
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%2.0%2026-06-30 10:00