La escuela de los momios

Adrian Mannarino v Titouan Droguet

Inicio: 2026-06-30 10:05 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Adrian Mannarino (Local)

Predicción 61.42%1.63momio equitativo
EV -1.73%
Ventaja -1.08%
Kelly -2.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.97%61.42%61.57%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.541.531.6066.67%64.85%65.36%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Titouan Droguet (Visitante)

Predicción 38.58%2.59momio equitativo
EV -1.23%
Ventaja -0.479%
Kelly -0.785%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.50%38.58%38.43%41.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.462.482.5643.48%40.66%40.32%39.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -1.73%E -1.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -11.26%E -4.89%K -8.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 09:59
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -2.96%E -1.87%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 10:00
Dabble (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -2.96%E -1.87%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -11.26%E -4.89%K -8.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%EV -3.58%E -2.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%EV -1.23%E -0.479%K -0.785%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.58%E -2.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -1.61%E -0.632%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.58%E -2.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 10:00
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.58%E -2.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.58%E -2.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 09:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.58%E -2.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 10:00
BetAnything1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.19%E -2.69%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.61%E -0.632%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-30 09:59
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.19%E -2.69%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.19%E -2.69%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 09:59
Codere (IT)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.19%E -2.69%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 10:00
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.19%E -2.69%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 09:59
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.19%E -2.69%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 09:59
GTbets1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.19%E -2.69%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.31%E -1.74%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 09:59
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.19%E -2.69%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -5.08%E -2.07%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.19%E -2.69%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:00
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.80%E -3.10%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 10:00
MyBookie.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.80%E -3.10%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.31%E -1.74%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 09:59
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -4.80%E -3.10%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -5.08%E -2.07%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.80%E -3.10%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:00
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.80%E -3.10%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 09:59
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.80%E -3.10%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 10:00
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.80%E -3.10%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 09:59
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.80%E -3.10%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 09:59
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.80%E -3.10%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 10:00
Unibet (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.42%E -3.52%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.61%E -0.632%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 09:59
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -5.42%E -3.52%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -3.15%E -1.26%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 10:00
Marathon Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -5.42%E -3.52%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -4.70%E -1.90%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 10:00
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:58
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 10:00
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 10:00
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
Bally Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 10:00
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -5.08%E -2.07%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 09:59
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 09:59
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 09:59
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 10:00
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 09:59
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 09:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 09:59
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 09:59
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 09:59
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 09:59
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 09:58
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 10:00
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.03%E -3.94%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 09:59
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -6.65%E -4.37%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -4.31%E -1.74%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 09:59
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -6.65%E -4.37%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -4.31%E -1.74%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 09:59
Betclic (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.26%E -4.81%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 09:57
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.26%E -4.81%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 09:59
NetBet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.26%E -4.81%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 10:00
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.88%E -5.25%K -15.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 09:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-06-30 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-06-30 09:59
ProphetX1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-06-30 10:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-06-30 10:00
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-06-30 10:00
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 63.12%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.88%1.6%2026-06-30 09:57
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%2.0%2026-06-30 10:00