Language:English
Taylor Fritz v Zizou Bergs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Taylor Fritz (Local)
Prediction 77.76%1.29fair odd
EV -2.80%
Edge -2.24%
Kelly -11.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.25%77.70%77.80%79.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.221.221.2584.75%81.91%81.97%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Zizou Bergs (Visit)
Prediction 22.24%4.50fair odd
EV +1.42%
Edge +0.312%
Kelly +0.399%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 4.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.97%22.30%22.20%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.204.204.5626.32%23.82%23.81%21.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Taylor Fritz (Local): 77.76%; Zizou Bergs (Visit): 22.24%. For Zizou Bergs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.50. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.56, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.42%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.03%EV -5.91%E -4.89%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 4.56I 21.93%NM 20.97%EV +1.42%E +0.312%K +0.399%G +0.006% | 4.6% | 2026-07-27 18:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.55%EV -3.58%E -2.89%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.45%EV +0.977%E +0.215%K +0.276%G +0.003% | 2.7% | 2026-07-27 18:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.13%E -4.21%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +0.087%E +0.019%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-27 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.35%EV -4.36%E -3.54%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -1.02%E -0.230%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-27 18:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.35%EV -4.36%E -3.54%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -1.02%E -0.230%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-27 18:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.35%EV -4.36%E -3.54%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -1.02%E -0.230%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-27 18:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -5.13%E -4.21%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -1.02%E -0.230%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-27 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.36%E -3.54%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.14%E -0.486%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-27 18:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.13%E -4.21%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.14%E -0.486%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-27 18:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.13%E -4.21%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.14%E -0.486%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-27 18:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.91%E -4.89%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -3.25%E -0.747%K -0.970%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-27 18:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.69%E -5.57%K -33.45%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.69%E -0.853%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-27 18:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.36%E -3.54%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -4.36%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-27 18:48 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.13%E -4.21%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.36%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 18:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.13%E -4.21%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.36%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 18:46 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.91%E -4.89%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.36%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 18:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.91%E -4.89%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.36%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 18:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.91%E -4.89%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.36%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 18:46 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.91%E -4.89%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.36%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 18:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.58%E -2.89%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.47%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-27 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.13%E -4.21%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.47%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-27 09:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.13%E -4.21%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.47%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-27 15:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.91%E -4.89%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -5.47%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 18:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.69%E -5.57%K -33.45%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.47%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 02:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.36%E -3.54%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 18:41 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.36%E -3.54%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 18:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.36%E -3.54%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 18:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.36%E -3.54%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 18:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.36%E -3.54%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.36%E -3.54%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 18:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.36%E -3.54%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 18:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.36%E -3.54%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.36%E -3.54%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.36%E -3.54%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.36%E -3.54%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 18:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.36%E -3.54%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.13%E -4.21%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 18:46 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.91%E -4.89%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-27 18:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.69%E -5.57%K -33.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 17:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -8.25%E -6.99%K -45.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-27 18:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.13%E -4.21%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -8.81%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-27 09:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.13%E -4.21%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -8.81%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-27 09:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.13%E -4.21%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -8.81%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-27 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.13%E -4.21%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -8.81%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-27 18:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.91%E -4.89%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -8.81%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-27 18:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.80%E -2.24%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.03%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-27 05:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.58%E -2.89%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.03%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-27 18:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.13%E -4.21%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.03%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-27 07:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.13%E -4.21%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.03%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-27 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.13%E -4.21%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.03%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-27 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.13%E -4.21%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.03%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-27 18:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.13%E -4.21%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.03%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-27 09:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.13%E -4.21%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.03%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-27 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.13%E -4.21%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.03%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-27 09:41 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.69%E -5.57%K -33.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.03%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-27 08:11 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.69%E -5.57%K -33.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.03%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-27 08:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.69%E -5.57%K -33.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.03%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-27 18:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.69%E -5.57%K -33.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.03%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-27 18:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.80%E -2.24%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -15.48%E -4.07%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-27 09:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.80%E -2.24%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -15.48%E -4.07%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-27 09:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 0.4% | 2026-07-27 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 0.4% | 2026-07-27 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 0.4% | 2026-07-27 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-07-27 18:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-07-27 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.26% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.74% | 2.6% | 2026-07-27 18:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.08% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.92% | 2.8% | 2026-07-27 18:54 |
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