Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Taylor Fritz v Zizou Bergs

Início: 2026-07-27 19:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Taylor Fritz (Local)

Previsão 77.76%1.29odd justa
EV -2.80%
Vantagem -2.24%
Kelly -11.21%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
75.25%77.70%77.80%79.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.181.221.221.2584.75%81.91%81.97%80.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Zizou Bergs (Visitante)

Previsão 22.24%4.50odd justa
EV +1.42%
Vantagem +0.312%
Kelly +0.399%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.97%22.30%22.20%24.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.804.204.204.5626.32%23.82%23.81%21.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Taylor Fritz (Local): 77.76%; Zizou Bergs (Visitante): 22.24%. Para Zizou Bergs (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.50. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.56, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.42%.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.03%EV -5.91%E -4.89%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.97%EV +1.42%E +0.312%K +0.399%G +0.006%4.6%2026-07-27 18:55
Pinnacle🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.55%EV -3.58%E -2.89%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.45%EV +0.977%E +0.215%K +0.276%G +0.003%2.7%2026-07-27 18:45
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.13%E -4.21%K -23.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +0.087%E +0.019%K +0.025%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 18:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.35%EV -4.36%E -3.54%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -1.02%E -0.230%K -0.297%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-27 18:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.35%EV -4.36%E -3.54%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -1.02%E -0.230%K -0.297%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-27 18:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.35%EV -4.36%E -3.54%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -1.02%E -0.230%K -0.297%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-27 18:45
1xBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -5.13%E -4.21%K -23.34%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -1.02%E -0.230%K -0.297%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-27 18:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.36%E -3.54%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.14%E -0.486%K -0.628%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-27 18:45
ReBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.13%E -4.21%K -23.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.14%E -0.486%K -0.628%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 18:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.13%E -4.21%K -23.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.14%E -0.486%K -0.628%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 18:45
Fanatics🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.91%E -4.89%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -3.25%E -0.747%K -0.970%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 18:35
betfred_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.69%E -5.57%K -33.45%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.69%E -0.853%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 18:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.36%E -3.54%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -4.36%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 18:48
BetAnything🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.13%E -4.21%K -23.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.36%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 18:45
Bet Right🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.13%E -4.21%K -23.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.36%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 18:46
FanDuel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.91%E -4.89%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.36%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 18:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.91%E -4.89%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.36%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 18:45
Betsson🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.91%E -4.89%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.36%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 18:46
NordicBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.91%E -4.89%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.36%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 18:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.58%E -2.89%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.47%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 18:40
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.13%E -4.21%K -23.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.47%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 09:20
BetUS🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.13%E -4.21%K -23.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.47%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 15:10
theScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.91%E -4.89%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -5.47%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 18:45
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.69%E -5.57%K -33.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.47%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 02:35
Bally Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.36%E -3.54%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 18:41
ATG (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.36%E -3.54%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 18:40
betPARX🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.36%E -3.54%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 18:40
Casumo🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.36%E -3.54%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 18:40
Grosvenor🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.36%E -3.54%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.36%E -3.54%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 18:40
TABtouch🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.36%E -3.54%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 18:40
Unibet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.36%E -3.54%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 18:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.36%E -3.54%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 18:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.36%E -3.54%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 18:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.36%E -3.54%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 18:40
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.36%E -3.54%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 18:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.13%E -4.21%K -23.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 18:46
Fliff🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.91%E -4.89%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-27 18:40
TAB🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.69%E -5.57%K -33.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 17:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -8.25%E -6.99%K -45.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 18:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.13%E -4.21%K -23.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -8.81%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 09:25
BetMGM🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.13%E -4.21%K -23.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -8.81%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 09:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.13%E -4.21%K -23.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -8.81%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.13%E -4.21%K -23.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -8.81%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 18:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.91%E -4.89%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -8.81%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 18:40
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.80%E -2.24%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.03%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 05:29
PlayUp🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.58%E -2.89%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.03%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.13%E -4.21%K -23.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.03%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 07:05
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.13%E -4.21%K -23.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.03%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.13%E -4.21%K -23.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.03%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.13%E -4.21%K -23.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.03%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 18:55
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.13%E -4.21%K -23.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.03%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 09:40
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.13%E -4.21%K -23.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.03%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.13%E -4.21%K -23.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.03%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 09:41
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.69%E -5.57%K -33.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.03%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 08:11
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.69%E -5.57%K -33.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.03%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 08:35
Bet Victor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.69%E -5.57%K -33.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.03%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 18:45
betano_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.69%E -5.57%K -33.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.03%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 18:39
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.80%E -2.24%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -15.48%E -4.07%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 09:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.80%E -2.24%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -15.48%E -4.07%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 09:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%0.4%2026-07-27 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%0.4%2026-07-27 18:55
Matchbook1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%0.4%2026-07-27 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-07-27 18:55
ProphetX1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-07-27 18:55
Smarkets1.23I 81.30%NM 79.26%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.74%2.6%2026-07-27 18:55
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 79.08%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.92%2.8%2026-07-27 18:54