Language:English
Aleksandar Vukic v Zachary Svajda
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Aleksandar Vukic (Local)
Prediction 39.71%2.52fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -1.88%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.97%39.96%39.67%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.352.352.4547.62%42.57%42.55%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Zachary Svajda (Visit)
Prediction 60.29%1.66fair odd
EV +1.29%
Edge +0.771%
Kelly +1.90%
Growth +0.025%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.56%60.04%60.33%62.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.581.571.6866.67%63.31%63.69%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aleksandar Vukic (Local): 39.71%; Zachary Svajda (Visit): 60.29%. For Zachary Svajda (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.66. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.68, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.29%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -16.62%E -7.91%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV +1.29%E +0.771%K +1.90%G +0.025% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 20:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -16.62%E -7.91%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV +1.29%E +0.771%K +1.90%G +0.025% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 20:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -14.63%E -6.81%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV +0.692%E +0.414%K +1.03%G +0.007% | 6.4% | 2026-07-27 20:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -14.63%E -6.81%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -0.514%E -0.312%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -14.63%E -6.81%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -0.514%E -0.312%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 19:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.52%E -1.45%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.32%E -1.43%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-27 21:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.32%E -1.43%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-27 21:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.32%E -1.43%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-27 21:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.32%E -1.43%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 20:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.69%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.93%E -1.82%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-27 21:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.69%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.93%E -1.82%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-27 21:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -7.09%E -3.03%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -3.53%E -2.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 21:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.53%E -2.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-27 21:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.91%E -1.62%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.13%E -2.60%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-27 21:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.13%E -2.60%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-27 21:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.13%E -2.60%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-27 20:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.69%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.13%E -2.60%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 19:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.72%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.73%E -3.00%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-27 21:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.72%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.73%E -3.00%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-27 21:43 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.73%E -3.00%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 21:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.69%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.73%E -3.00%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 19:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -7.88%E -3.40%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -4.73%E -3.00%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-27 19:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -7.88%E -3.40%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -4.73%E -3.00%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-27 19:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.73%E -3.00%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-27 20:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.72%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-27 21:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.91%E -1.62%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-27 20:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.91%E -1.62%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-27 21:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 21:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-27 20:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-27 20:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-27 20:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-27 20:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-27 20:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-27 20:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.69%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 19:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.69%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 19:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.69%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 19:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.69%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 19:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.69%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.69%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 19:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.69%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.69%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 19:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.69%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 19:06 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.69%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 19:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.69%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 19:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-27 21:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.94%E -3.81%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 21:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.94%E -3.81%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 21:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.94%E -3.81%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 21:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.94%E -3.81%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 21:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.94%E -3.81%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 21:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -5.94%E -3.81%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-27 19:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.54%E -4.22%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 21:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.97%EV -7.75%E -5.07%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-27 20:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.75%E -5.07%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-27 20:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.75%E -5.07%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-27 20:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.75%E -5.07%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-27 21:18 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.75%E -5.07%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-27 21:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.58%EV -7.88%E -3.40%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.42%EV -8.35%E -5.50%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-27 21:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -2.72%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.56%E -6.37%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-27 21:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-07-27 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-07-27 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-07-27 21:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-07-27 21:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-07-27 21:35 |
| Novig◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.0% | 2026-07-27 21:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.0% | 2026-07-27 21:30 |
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