Idioma:Español
Aleksandar Vukic v Zachary Svajda
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Aleksandar Vukic (Local)
Predicción 39.71%2.52momio equitativo
EV -2.72%
Ventaja -1.11%
Kelly -1.88%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.97%39.96%39.67%44.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.352.352.4547.62%42.57%42.55%40.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Zachary Svajda (Visitante)
Predicción 60.29%1.66momio equitativo
EV +1.29%
Ventaja +0.771%
Kelly +1.90%
Crecimiento +0.025%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.56%60.04%60.33%62.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.501.581.571.6866.67%63.31%63.69%59.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Aleksandar Vukic (Local): 39.71%; Zachary Svajda (Visitante): 60.29%. Para Zachary Svajda (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.66. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.68, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.29%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -16.62%E -7.91%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV +1.29%E +0.771%K +1.90%G +0.025% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 20:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -16.62%E -7.91%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV +1.29%E +0.771%K +1.90%G +0.025% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 20:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -14.63%E -6.81%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV +0.692%E +0.414%K +1.03%G +0.007% | 6.4% | 2026-07-27 20:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -14.63%E -6.81%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -0.514%E -0.312%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -14.63%E -6.81%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -0.514%E -0.312%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 19:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.52%E -1.45%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.32%E -1.43%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-27 21:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.32%E -1.43%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-27 21:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.32%E -1.43%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-27 21:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.32%E -1.43%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 20:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.69%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.93%E -1.82%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-27 21:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.69%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.93%E -1.82%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-27 21:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -7.09%E -3.03%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -3.53%E -2.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 21:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.53%E -2.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-27 21:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.91%E -1.62%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.13%E -2.60%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-27 21:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.13%E -2.60%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-27 21:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.13%E -2.60%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-27 20:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.69%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.13%E -2.60%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 19:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.72%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.73%E -3.00%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-27 21:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.72%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.73%E -3.00%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-27 21:43 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.73%E -3.00%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 21:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.69%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.73%E -3.00%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 19:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -7.88%E -3.40%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -4.73%E -3.00%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-27 19:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -7.88%E -3.40%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -4.73%E -3.00%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-27 19:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.73%E -3.00%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-27 20:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.72%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-27 21:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.91%E -1.62%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-27 20:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.91%E -1.62%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-27 21:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 21:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-27 20:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-27 20:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-27 20:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-27 20:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-27 20:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-27 20:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.69%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 19:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.69%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 19:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.69%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 19:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.69%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 19:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.69%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.69%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 19:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.69%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.69%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 19:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.69%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 19:06 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.69%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 19:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.69%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 19:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-27 21:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.94%E -3.81%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 21:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.94%E -3.81%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 21:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.94%E -3.81%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 21:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.94%E -3.81%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 21:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.94%E -3.81%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 21:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -5.94%E -3.81%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-27 19:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.54%E -4.22%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 21:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.97%EV -7.75%E -5.07%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-27 20:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.75%E -5.07%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-27 20:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.75%E -5.07%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-27 20:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.75%E -5.07%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-27 21:18 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.75%E -5.07%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-27 21:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.58%EV -7.88%E -3.40%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.42%EV -8.35%E -5.50%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-27 21:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -2.72%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.56%E -6.37%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-27 21:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-07-27 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-07-27 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-07-27 21:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-07-27 21:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-07-27 21:35 |
| Novig◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.0% | 2026-07-27 21:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.0% | 2026-07-27 21:30 |