Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Flavio Cobolli v Grigor Dimitrov

2026-10-27 12:30 UTC — ATP Vienna Open

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Flavio Cobolli (Local)

Prediction 63.03%1.59fair odd
EV -3.56%
Edge -2.33%
Kelly -6.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.71%63.02%63.07%64.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.501.511.5369.93%66.72%66.23%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Grigor Dimitrov (Visit)

Prediction 36.97%2.71fair odd
EV -0.185%
Edge -0.069%
Kelly -0.109%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.47%36.98%36.93%38.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.532.502.7041.67%39.56%40.00%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Flavio Cobolli (Local): 63.03%; Grigor Dimitrov (Visit): 36.97%. For Grigor Dimitrov (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.71. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.70, with an expected value of -0.185%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57%EV -3.56%E -2.33%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43%EV -1.29%E -0.485%K -0.775%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-26 05:06
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.56%E -2.33%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-26 05:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.56%E -2.33%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-26 05:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.56%E -2.33%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-26 05:31
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.56%E -2.33%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-26 05:46
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.56%E -2.33%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-26 05:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.72%EV -4.19%E -2.76%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV -1.29%E -0.485%K -0.775%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-26 05:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.72%EV -4.19%E -2.76%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV -1.29%E -0.485%K -0.775%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-26 05:06
Unibet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.19%E -2.76%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.19%E -2.76%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.19%E -2.76%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:55
Neds🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.19%E -2.76%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -9.43%E -3.85%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-26 05:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.19%E -2.76%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -9.43%E -3.85%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-26 05:16
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.82%E -3.19%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -3.14%E -1.20%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-26 05:05
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.82%E -3.19%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -4.62%E -1.79%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-26 06:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.82%E -3.19%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-26 05:05
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.82%E -3.19%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-26 05:05
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.82%E -3.19%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-26 05:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.82%E -3.19%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-26 05:06
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.82%E -3.19%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-26 05:06
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.82%E -3.19%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-26 05:05
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.82%E -3.19%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-26 05:06
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.82%E -3.19%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-26 05:06
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.82%E -3.19%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-26 05:06
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.82%E -3.19%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-26 05:13
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.82%E -3.19%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-26 05:36
BetAnything🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.45%E -3.64%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -0.185%E -0.069%K -0.109%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-26 05:05
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.45%E -3.64%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.03%E -0.767%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-26 05:04
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.45%E -3.64%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.88%E -1.49%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:13
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.45%E -3.64%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.73%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-26 07:05
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.45%E -3.64%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.73%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-26 05:20
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.45%E -3.64%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -6.10%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 05:31
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.45%E -3.64%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-26 05:05
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.45%E -3.64%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-26 05:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.45%E -3.64%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-26 05:15
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -6.08%E -4.08%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -2.40%E -0.910%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-26 05:46
Winamax (DE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -6.08%E -4.08%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -3.88%E -1.49%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 05:31
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.71%E -4.54%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.73%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-26 05:46
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.71%E -4.54%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.73%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-26 05:45
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.71%E -4.54%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-26 05:05
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.71%E -4.54%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-26 05:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.71%E -4.54%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-26 05:49
picklebet_au🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.34%E -5.00%K -15.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-26 05:24
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.34%E -5.00%K -15.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-26 05:55
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.86%EV -7.97%E -5.46%K -17.33%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -4.62%E -1.79%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-26 05:05
ReBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.72%EV -8.60%E -5.93%K -19.12%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.28%EV -9.80%E -4.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-26 05:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -8.60%E -5.93%K -19.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -11.28%E -4.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-26 05:05
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.23%E -6.41%K -20.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.14%E -1.20%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-26 05:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.23%E -6.41%K -20.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -11.28%E -4.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-26 05:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -9.86%E -6.90%K -22.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.34%EV -11.28%E -4.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-26 05:31
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-10-26 05:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%1.4%2026-10-26 07:11
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%1.4%2026-10-26 07:11
Matchbook◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.16%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.84%2.8%2026-10-26 05:06
ProphetX◎1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%3.3%2026-10-26 06:15