Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Flavio Cobolli v Grigor Dimitrov

2026-10-27 12:30 UTC — ATP Vienna Open

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Flavio Cobolli (Local)

Predicción 63.15%1.58momio equitativo
EV -3.39%
Ventaja -2.21%
Kelly -6.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.71%63.05%63.28%64.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.431.501.511.5369.93%66.71%66.23%65.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Grigor Dimitrov (Visitante)

Predicción 36.85%2.71momio equitativo
EV -0.494%
Ventaja -0.183%
Kelly -0.290%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.47%36.95%36.72%38.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.532.502.7041.67%39.50%40.00%37.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Flavio Cobolli (Local): 63.15%; Grigor Dimitrov (Visitante): 36.85%. Para Grigor Dimitrov (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.71. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.70, con un valor esperado de -0.494%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57%EV -3.39%E -2.21%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43%EV -1.60%E -0.599%K -0.958%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-26 05:06
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.39%E -2.21%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.86%E -3.15%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-26 07:40
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.39%E -2.21%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.86%E -3.15%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-26 05:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.39%E -2.21%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.86%E -3.15%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-26 05:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.39%E -2.21%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.86%E -3.15%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-26 05:31
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.39%E -2.21%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.86%E -3.15%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-26 05:46
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.39%E -2.21%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.86%E -3.15%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-26 05:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.72%EV -4.02%E -2.64%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV -1.60%E -0.599%K -0.958%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-26 05:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.72%EV -4.02%E -2.64%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV -1.60%E -0.599%K -0.958%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-26 05:06
Unibet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.02%E -2.64%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.86%E -3.15%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.02%E -2.64%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.86%E -3.15%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.02%E -2.64%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.86%E -3.15%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:55
Neds🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.02%E -2.64%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -9.71%E -3.96%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-26 05:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.02%E -2.64%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -9.71%E -3.96%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-26 05:16
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.65%E -3.08%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -3.44%E -1.31%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-26 05:05
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.65%E -3.08%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -4.92%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-26 06:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.65%E -3.08%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.86%E -3.15%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-26 05:05
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.65%E -3.08%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.86%E -3.15%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-26 05:05
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.65%E -3.08%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.86%E -3.15%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-26 05:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.65%E -3.08%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.86%E -3.15%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-26 05:06
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.65%E -3.08%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.86%E -3.15%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-26 05:06
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.65%E -3.08%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.86%E -3.15%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-26 05:05
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.65%E -3.08%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.86%E -3.15%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-26 05:06
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.65%E -3.08%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.86%E -3.15%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-26 05:06
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.65%E -3.08%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.86%E -3.15%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-26 05:06
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.65%E -3.08%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.86%E -3.15%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-26 05:13
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.65%E -3.08%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.86%E -3.15%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-26 05:36
BetAnything🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.28%E -3.52%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -0.494%E -0.183%K -0.290%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-26 05:05
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.28%E -3.52%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.34%E -0.882%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-26 05:04
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.28%E -3.52%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.18%E -1.61%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:13
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.28%E -3.52%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.18%E -1.61%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 07:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.28%E -3.52%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.02%E -2.36%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-26 07:05
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.28%E -3.52%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.02%E -2.36%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-26 05:20
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.28%E -3.52%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -6.39%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 05:31
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.28%E -3.52%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.86%E -3.15%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-26 05:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.28%E -3.52%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.86%E -3.15%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-26 05:15
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -5.91%E -3.97%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -2.71%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-26 05:46
Winamax (DE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.91%E -3.97%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.18%E -1.61%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 05:31
Betsson🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.91%E -3.97%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.18%E -1.61%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 07:55
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.91%E -3.97%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.18%E -1.61%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 07:55
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.54%E -4.42%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.02%E -2.36%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-26 05:46
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.54%E -4.42%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.02%E -2.36%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-26 05:45
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.54%E -4.42%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.86%E -3.15%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-26 05:05
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.54%E -4.42%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.86%E -3.15%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-26 05:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.54%E -4.42%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.86%E -3.15%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-26 05:49
picklebet_au🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.18%E -4.88%K -15.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.86%E -3.15%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-26 05:24
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.18%E -4.88%K -15.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.86%E -3.15%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-26 05:55
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.86%EV -7.81%E -5.35%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -4.92%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-26 05:05
ReBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.72%EV -8.44%E -5.82%K -18.75%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.28%EV -10.08%E -4.13%K -7.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-26 05:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -8.44%E -5.82%K -18.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -11.55%E -4.81%K -8.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-26 05:05
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.07%E -6.30%K -20.61%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.44%E -1.31%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-26 05:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.07%E -6.30%K -20.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -11.55%E -4.81%K -8.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-26 05:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -9.70%E -6.78%K -22.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.34%EV -11.55%E -4.81%K -8.25%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-26 05:31
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-10-26 05:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%1.4%2026-10-26 07:11
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%1.4%2026-10-26 07:11
Matchbook◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.16%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.84%2.8%2026-10-26 05:06
ProphetX◎1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%3.3%2026-10-26 06:15