Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alexander Zverev v Alex de Minaur

2026-10-31 15:30 UTC — ATP Vienna Open

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

69%

31%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alexander Zverev (Local)

Prediction 68.52%1.46fair odd

EV -1.32%

Edge -0.920%

Kelly -3.01%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

65.63%68.51%68.60%71.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.301.381.381.4476.92%72.46%72.46%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alex de Minaur (Visit)

Prediction 31.48%3.18fair odd

EV +7.02%

Edge +2.06%

Kelly +2.92%

Growth +0.205%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

28.12%31.49%31.40%34.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.752.983.003.4036.36%33.55%33.33%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Alexander Zverev (Local): 68.52%; Alex de Minaur (Visit): 31.48%. For Alex de Minaur (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.18. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.40, producing a positive expected value of +7.02%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
BoyleSports🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -8.86%E -6.66%K -26.86%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +7.02%E +2.06%K +2.92%G +0.205%	4.6%	2026-10-30 22:09
Sky Bet🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.92%E -8.40%K -36.39%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +0.722%E +0.226%K +0.328%G +0.002%	8.2%	2026-10-30 21:50
Fanatics🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.81%E -5.01%K -18.91%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -0.852%E -0.270%K -0.396%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-31 01:14
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.81%E -5.01%K -18.91%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -0.852%E -0.270%K -0.396%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-31 01:15
DraftKings🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.27%EV -5.44%E -3.94%K -14.31%G +0.000%	3.11I 32.15%NM 30.73%EV -2.11%E -0.679%K -1.00%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-10-31 01:05
Bovada🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.44%E -3.94%K -14.31%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.43%E -0.782%K -1.15%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-10-31 01:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.44%E -3.94%K -14.31%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.43%E -0.782%K -1.15%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-10-30 21:50
Betsson🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.49%E -5.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -2.43%E -0.782%K -1.15%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-10-31 01:14
NordicBet🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.49%E -5.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -2.43%E -0.782%K -1.15%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-10-31 01:15
theScore Bet🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.86%E -6.66%K -26.86%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.43%E -0.782%K -1.15%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-10-31 01:15
Pinnacle🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 68.44%EV -2.70%E -1.90%K -6.42%G +0.000%	3.08I 32.47%NM 31.56%EV -3.05%E -0.992%K -1.47%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-10-31 01:10
Unibet🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.44%E -3.94%K -14.31%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.00%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-30 21:30
BetRivers🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.44%E -3.94%K -14.31%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.00%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-30 21:30
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.44%E -3.94%K -14.31%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.00%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-30 21:30
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.44%E -3.94%K -14.31%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.00%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-30 21:30
Casumo🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.44%E -3.94%K -14.31%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.00%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-30 21:30
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.44%E -3.94%K -14.31%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.00%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-30 21:30
Grosvenor🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.44%E -3.94%K -14.31%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.00%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-30 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.44%E -3.94%K -14.31%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.00%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-30 21:30
Virgin Bet🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.44%E -3.94%K -14.31%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.00%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-30 21:30
TABtouch🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.44%E -3.94%K -14.31%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.00%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-30 21:30
Bally Bet🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.44%E -3.94%K -14.31%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.00%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-30 21:30
Svenska Spel🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.44%E -3.94%K -14.31%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.00%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-30 21:30
ATG (SE)🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.44%E -3.94%K -14.31%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.00%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-30 21:30
betPARX🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.44%E -3.94%K -14.31%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.00%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-30 21:30
LowVig.ag🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.38%E -2.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%	3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -4.63%E -1.53%K -2.28%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-10-31 01:15
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.38%E -2.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%	3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -4.63%E -1.53%K -2.28%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-10-31 01:14
Coolbet🎯	1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -4.75%E -3.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%	3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -4.63%E -1.53%K -2.28%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-10-31 01:04
1xBet🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 68.10%EV -3.38%E -2.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%	3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-10-31 01:05
Bet Right🎯	1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.75%E -3.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.57%E -1.86%K -2.79%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-31 01:05
Betr (AU)🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.44%E -3.94%K -14.31%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.57%E -1.86%K -2.79%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-31 01:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.81%E -5.01%K -18.91%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.57%E -1.86%K -2.79%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-10-31 01:10
LeoVegas🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.49%E -5.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.57%E -1.86%K -2.79%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-10-31 01:19
ReBet🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -8.18%E -6.10%K -24.05%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -5.57%E -1.86%K -2.79%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-10-31 01:15
picklebet_au🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.86%E -6.66%K -26.86%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.57%E -1.86%K -2.79%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-10-31 01:15
Marathon Bet🎯	1.39I 71.94%NM 68.12%EV -4.75%E -3.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%	2.97I 33.67%NM 31.88%EV -6.52%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-10-31 01:20
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.49%E -5.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.15%E -2.42%K -3.66%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-10-31 00:51
TAB🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.70%E -1.90%K -6.42%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.72%E -3.01%K -4.59%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-10-31 01:05
BetMGM🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.07%E -2.90%K -10.16%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.72%E -3.01%K -4.59%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-31 01:02
888sport🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.07%E -2.90%K -10.16%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.72%E -3.01%K -4.59%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-31 01:05
William Hill🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.07%E -2.90%K -10.16%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.72%E -3.01%K -4.59%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-31 01:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.07%E -2.90%K -10.16%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.72%E -3.01%K -4.59%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-31 01:05
888sport (SE)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.07%E -2.90%K -10.16%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.72%E -3.01%K -4.59%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-31 01:05
PMU (FR)🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 68.72%EV -9.55%E -7.23%K -29.84%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.72%E -3.01%K -4.59%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-10-30 21:30
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 68.72%EV -9.55%E -7.23%K -29.84%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.72%E -3.01%K -4.59%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-10-31 01:15
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 68.72%EV -9.55%E -7.23%K -29.84%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.72%E -3.01%K -4.59%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-10-31 01:15
FanDuel🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -2.01%E -1.41%K -4.67%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -9.35%E -3.25%K -4.97%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-10-31 01:05
Coral🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.07%E -2.90%K -10.16%G +0.000%	2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -9.66%E -3.37%K -5.17%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-10-31 01:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.07%E -2.90%K -10.16%G +0.000%	2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -9.66%E -3.37%K -5.17%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-10-31 01:05
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 68.51%EV -10.23%E -7.81%K -33.01%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 31.49%EV -10.29%E -3.61%K -5.56%G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-10-31 01:14
SportsBet🎯	1.39I 71.94%NM 67.14%EV -4.75%E -3.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%	2.84I 35.21%NM 32.86%EV -10.61%E -3.74%K -5.77%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-10-31 01:05
PlayUp🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -2.70%E -1.90%K -6.42%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -11.87%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-10-31 01:05
betano_uk🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.07%E -2.90%K -10.16%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.87%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-10-31 01:14
Bet Victor🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.07%E -2.90%K -10.16%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.87%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-10-31 01:12
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.32%E -0.920%K -3.01%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -13.44%E -4.89%K -7.68%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-31 01:05
Betway🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.32%E -0.920%K -3.01%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -13.44%E -4.89%K -7.68%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-31 01:05
Neds🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.70%E -1.90%K -6.42%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.44%E -4.89%K -7.68%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-10-31 01:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.70%E -1.90%K -6.42%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.44%E -4.89%K -7.68%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-10-31 01:05
Paddy Power🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.07%E -2.90%K -10.16%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.44%E -4.89%K -7.68%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-10-31 01:05

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.44I 69.44%NM 69.16%	3.23I 30.96%NM 30.84%	0.4%	2026-10-31 01:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%	3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%	0.7%	2026-10-31 01:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%	3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%	0.7%	2026-10-31 01:20
Matchbook◎	1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%	3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%	0.7%	2026-10-31 01:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%	3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%	1.2%	2026-10-31 01:15
ProphetX◎	1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%	3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%	1.7%	2026-10-31 01:15
Smarkets◎	1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%	2.7%	2026-10-31 01:15

Arbitrage (8 combinations) +1.16%Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 1.44 (70.2%) / BoyleSports 3.40 (29.8%)Show all 8 combinations

Alexander Zverev (Local)	Alex de Minaur (Visit)	Margin
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 1.44 (70.2%)	BoyleSports🎯 3.40 (29.8%)	+1.16%
Betway🎯 1.44 (70.2%)	BoyleSports🎯 3.40 (29.8%)	+1.16%
FanDuel🎯 1.43 (70.4%)	BoyleSports🎯 3.40 (29.6%)	+0.663%
Pinnacle🎯 1.42 (70.5%)	BoyleSports🎯 3.40 (29.5%)	+0.166%
TAB🎯 1.42 (70.5%)	BoyleSports🎯 3.40 (29.5%)	+0.166%
PlayUp🎯 1.42 (70.5%)	BoyleSports🎯 3.40 (29.5%)	+0.166%
Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)	BoyleSports🎯 3.40 (29.5%)	+0.166%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)	BoyleSports🎯 3.40 (29.5%)	+0.166%