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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Alexander Zverev v Alex de Minaur

2026-10-31 15:30 UTC — ATP Vienna Open

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Alexander Zverev (Local)

Predicción 68.34%1.46momio equitativo
EV -1.59%
Ventaja -1.11%
Kelly -3.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.63%68.29%68.44%71.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.321.381.381.4475.76%72.21%72.46%69.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Alex de Minaur (Visitante)

Predicción 31.66%3.16momio equitativo
EV +7.65%
Ventaja +2.25%
Kelly +3.19%
Crecimiento +0.244%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.12%31.71%31.56%34.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.752.963.003.4036.36%33.80%33.33%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Alexander Zverev (Local): 68.34%; Alex de Minaur (Visitante): 31.66%. Para Alex de Minaur (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.16. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.40, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +7.65%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -9.11%E -6.85%K -27.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +7.65%E +2.25%K +3.19%G +0.244%4.6%2026-10-30 22:09
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.27%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.73%EV -1.53%E -0.491%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-31 01:05
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.84%E -0.595%K -0.878%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-31 01:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.84%E -0.595%K -0.878%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-30 21:50
Pinnacle🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.44%EV -2.96%E -2.09%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.56%EV -2.48%E -0.804%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-31 01:10
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.43%E -1.12%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 21:30
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.43%E -1.12%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 21:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.43%E -1.12%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 21:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.43%E -1.12%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 21:30
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.43%E -1.12%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 21:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.43%E -1.12%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 21:30
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.43%E -1.12%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.43%E -1.12%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 21:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.43%E -1.12%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 21:30
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.43%E -1.12%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 21:30
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.43%E -1.12%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 21:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.43%E -1.12%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 21:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.43%E -1.12%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 21:30
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.43%E -1.12%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 21:30
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.38%E -4.66%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -3.43%E -1.12%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-31 01:29
Fanatics🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.38%E -4.66%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -3.43%E -1.12%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-31 01:29
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.38%E -4.66%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -3.43%E -1.12%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-31 01:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.38%E -4.66%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -3.43%E -1.12%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-31 01:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.64%E -2.59%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -4.06%E -1.34%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-31 01:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.64%E -2.59%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -4.06%E -1.34%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-31 01:14
Coolbet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -5.01%E -3.61%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -4.06%E -1.34%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-31 01:04
Bet Right🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.01%E -3.61%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-31 01:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-31 01:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.06%E -5.19%K -19.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 01:10
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.06%E -5.19%K -19.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 01:30
1xBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -2.96%E -2.09%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV -6.28%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-31 02:00
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.59%E -2.24%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-31 01:30
ReBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.59%E -2.24%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-31 01:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.75%E -5.74%K -22.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.59%E -2.24%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-31 00:51
Marathon Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.59%EV -4.33%E -3.09%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV -7.54%E -2.58%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-31 01:49
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.96%E -2.09%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.18%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-31 01:05
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.33%E -3.09%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.18%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-31 01:02
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.33%E -3.09%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.18%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-31 01:05
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.33%E -3.09%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.18%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-31 01:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.33%E -3.09%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.18%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-31 01:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.33%E -3.09%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.18%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-31 01:05
picklebet_au🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.06%E -5.19%K -19.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.18%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-31 01:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.72%EV -9.80%E -7.42%K -30.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.18%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-30 21:30
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -2.28%E -1.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -8.81%E -3.06%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-31 01:05
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.33%E -3.09%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -9.13%E -3.18%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 01:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.33%E -3.09%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -9.13%E -3.18%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 01:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.18%EV -9.11%E -6.85%K -27.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.82%EV -9.76%E -3.42%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-31 01:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.18%EV -9.11%E -6.85%K -27.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.82%EV -9.76%E -3.42%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-31 01:30
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.14%EV -5.01%E -3.61%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.86%EV -10.08%E -3.55%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 01:05
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -2.96%E -2.09%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -11.34%E -4.05%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-31 01:05
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.33%E -3.09%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.34%E -4.05%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 01:48
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.33%E -3.09%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.34%E -4.05%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 01:56
Unibet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.80%EV -9.11%E -6.85%K -27.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -11.34%E -4.05%K -6.30%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-31 01:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.59%E -1.11%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.93%E -4.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-31 01:05
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.59%E -1.11%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.93%E -4.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-31 01:05
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.96%E -2.09%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -12.93%E -4.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-31 01:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.96%E -2.09%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -12.93%E -4.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-31 01:05
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.33%E -3.09%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.93%E -4.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 01:05
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.33%E -3.09%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.93%E -4.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 01:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-10-31 01:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-10-31 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-10-31 02:00
Matchbook◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-10-31 02:00
Novig◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.49%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.51%1.4%2026-10-31 02:00
ProphetX◎1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.7%2026-10-31 02:00
Smarkets◎1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%3.2%2026-10-31 02:05
Arbitraje (9 combinaciones) +1.16%Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 1.44 (70.2%) / BoyleSports 3.40 (29.8%)Ver las 9 combinaciones
Alexander Zverev (Local)Alex de Minaur (Visitante)Margen
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 1.44 (70.2%)BoyleSports🎯 3.40 (29.8%)+1.16%
Betway🎯 1.44 (70.2%)BoyleSports🎯 3.40 (29.8%)+1.16%
FanDuel🎯 1.43 (70.4%)BoyleSports🎯 3.40 (29.6%)+0.663%
Pinnacle🎯 1.42 (70.5%)BoyleSports🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.166%
1xBet🎯 1.42 (70.5%)BoyleSports🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.166%
TAB🎯 1.42 (70.5%)BoyleSports🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.166%
PlayUp🎯 1.42 (70.5%)BoyleSports🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.166%
Neds🎯 1.42 (70.5%)BoyleSports🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.166%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.42 (70.5%)BoyleSports🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.166%