Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zizou Bergs v Botic van de Zandschulp

Kickoff: 2026-09-05 21:35 UTC

Final: Zizou Bergs 2–3 Botic van de Zandschulp

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zizou Bergs (Local)

Prediction 34.75%2.88fair odd
EV -0.968%
Edge -0.339%
Kelly -0.523%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.33%35.10%34.78%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.702.702.8544.44%37.07%37.04%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Botic van de Zandschulp (Visit)

Prediction 65.25%1.53fair odd
EV +5.71%
Edge +3.52%
Kelly +9.21%
Growth +0.525%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%64.90%65.22%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.451.451.6271.43%68.83%68.97%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zizou Bergs (Local): 34.75%; Botic van de Zandschulp (Visit): 65.25%. For Botic van de Zandschulp (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.53. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.62, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.71%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -21.82%E -9.70%K -17.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV +5.71%E +3.52%K +9.21%G +0.525%6.2%2026-09-04 11:20
Neds🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.39%E -4.47%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.12%E -1.41%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 08:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.39%E -4.47%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.12%E -1.41%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 08:55
GTbets🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -3.40%E -1.22%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -2.77%E -1.86%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-04 10:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -4.44%E -1.62%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -2.77%E -1.86%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-04 13:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -4.44%E -1.62%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -2.77%E -1.86%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-04 13:20
Pinnacle🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 34.34%EV -1.66%E -0.587%K -0.908%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.66%EV -3.43%E -2.32%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-04 14:15
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.43%E -2.32%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 08:53
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.43%E -2.32%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 08:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.43%E -2.32%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 08:55
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -0.968%E -0.339%K -0.523%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -4.08%E -2.78%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-04 11:14
1xBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.67%EV -3.75%E -1.35%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.33%EV -4.08%E -2.78%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 13:10
BetUS🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -3.75%E -1.35%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.73%E -3.24%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 13:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.73%E -3.24%K -10.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 10:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.73%E -3.24%K -10.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 13:10
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.73%E -3.24%K -10.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 13:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.73%E -3.24%K -10.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 13:10
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.70%E -0.966%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.38%E -3.71%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 10:47
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.70%E -0.966%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.38%E -3.71%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 10:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.69%EV -5.14%E -1.88%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.31%EV -5.38%E -3.71%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 13:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.38%E -3.71%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 13:14
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.38%E -3.71%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 10:43
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.38%E -3.71%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 10:45
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.38%E -3.71%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 10:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.38%E -3.71%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 13:10
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.38%E -3.71%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 13:10
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.38%E -3.71%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 13:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.38%E -3.71%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 13:05
Bally Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.38%E -3.71%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 13:10
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.38%E -3.71%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 13:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.38%E -3.71%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 13:05
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.38%E -3.71%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 13:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.38%E -3.71%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 13:10
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.38%E -3.71%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 13:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.38%E -3.71%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 13:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.38%E -3.71%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 13:05
MyBookie.ag🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02%EV -6.53%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -5.38%E -3.71%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 10:44
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.92%E -2.99%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.38%E -3.71%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 13:53
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.44%E -1.62%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.04%E -4.19%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 10:35
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.44%E -1.62%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.04%E -4.19%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 10:30
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.44%E -1.62%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.04%E -4.19%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 10:55
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.44%E -1.62%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.04%E -4.19%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 10:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.44%E -1.62%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.04%E -4.19%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 13:10
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.44%E -1.62%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.04%E -4.19%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 10:45
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.44%E -1.62%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.04%E -4.19%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 10:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.44%E -1.62%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.04%E -4.19%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 10:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.44%E -1.62%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.04%E -4.19%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 10:30
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.04%E -4.19%K -13.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 10:45
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.04%E -4.19%K -13.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 10:40
Fanatics🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.04%E -4.19%K -13.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 10:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.92%E -2.99%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.04%E -4.19%K -13.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 12:25
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.04%E -4.19%K -13.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 10:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.44%E -1.62%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.69%E -4.68%K -15.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 13:30
NetBet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.69%E -4.68%K -15.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 10:45
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -7.92%E -2.99%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.69%E -4.68%K -15.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 10:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -8.61%E -3.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -6.69%E -4.68%K -15.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 13:10
DraftKings🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV -1.32%E -0.463%K -0.715%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -7.34%E -5.17%K -17.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 10:29
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.34%E -5.17%K -17.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 11:10
ReBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%EV -11.39%E -4.47%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.39%EV -8.00%E -5.67%K -19.50%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-04 10:40
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -2.70%E -0.966%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.65%E -6.18%K -21.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 10:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -13.13%E -5.25%K -8.75%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -8.65%E -6.18%K -21.62%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 10:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-09-04 14:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-09-04 14:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-09-04 14:05
Matchbook2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-09-04 14:05
ProphetX2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%0.9%2026-09-04 14:05
Novig2.86I 34.97%NM 34.40%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.60%1.6%2026-09-04 13:55
Smarkets2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28%2.1%2026-09-04 14:35