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Zizou Bergs v Botic van de Zandschulp
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Zizou Bergs (Local)
Predicción 34.75%2.88momio equitativo
EV -0.968%
Ventaja -0.339%
Kelly -0.523%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.33%35.10%34.78%41.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.702.702.8544.44%37.07%37.04%35.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Botic van de Zandschulp (Visitante)
Predicción 65.25%1.53momio equitativo
EV +5.71%
Ventaja +3.52%
Kelly +9.21%
Crecimiento +0.525%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.14%64.90%65.22%66.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.401.451.451.6271.43%68.83%68.97%61.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Zizou Bergs (Local): 34.75%; Botic van de Zandschulp (Visitante): 65.25%. Para Botic van de Zandschulp (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.53. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.62, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.71%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -21.82%E -9.70%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV +5.71%E +3.52%K +9.21%G +0.525% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 11:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.39%E -4.47%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.12%E -1.41%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 08:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.39%E -4.47%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.12%E -1.41%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 08:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -3.40%E -1.22%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -2.77%E -1.86%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-04 10:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -4.44%E -1.62%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -2.77%E -1.86%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-04 13:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -4.44%E -1.62%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -2.77%E -1.86%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-04 13:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.34%EV -1.66%E -0.587%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.66%EV -3.43%E -2.32%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.43%E -2.32%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 08:53 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.43%E -2.32%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 08:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.43%E -2.32%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 08:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -0.968%E -0.339%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -4.08%E -2.78%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-04 11:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.67%EV -3.75%E -1.35%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.33%EV -4.08%E -2.78%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -3.75%E -1.35%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.73%E -3.24%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.73%E -3.24%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 10:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.73%E -3.24%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.73%E -3.24%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.73%E -3.24%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.70%E -0.966%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.38%E -3.71%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 10:47 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.70%E -0.966%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.38%E -3.71%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 10:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.69%EV -5.14%E -1.88%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.31%EV -5.38%E -3.71%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.38%E -3.71%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 13:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.38%E -3.71%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 10:43 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.38%E -3.71%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 10:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.38%E -3.71%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 10:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.38%E -3.71%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.38%E -3.71%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.38%E -3.71%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.38%E -3.71%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.38%E -3.71%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.38%E -3.71%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.38%E -3.71%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.38%E -3.71%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.38%E -3.71%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.38%E -3.71%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.38%E -3.71%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.38%E -3.71%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02%EV -6.53%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -5.38%E -3.71%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 10:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.92%E -2.99%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.38%E -3.71%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 13:53 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.44%E -1.62%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.04%E -4.19%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 10:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.44%E -1.62%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.04%E -4.19%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 10:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.44%E -1.62%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.04%E -4.19%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 10:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.44%E -1.62%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.04%E -4.19%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 10:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.44%E -1.62%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.04%E -4.19%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.44%E -1.62%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.04%E -4.19%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 10:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.44%E -1.62%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.04%E -4.19%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.44%E -1.62%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.04%E -4.19%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 10:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.44%E -1.62%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.04%E -4.19%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 10:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.04%E -4.19%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 10:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.04%E -4.19%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.04%E -4.19%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 10:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.92%E -2.99%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.04%E -4.19%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.04%E -4.19%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.44%E -1.62%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.69%E -4.68%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 13:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.69%E -4.68%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 10:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -7.92%E -2.99%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.69%E -4.68%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -8.61%E -3.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -6.69%E -4.68%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV -1.32%E -0.463%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -7.34%E -5.17%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 10:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.34%E -5.17%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 11:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%EV -11.39%E -4.47%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.39%EV -8.00%E -5.67%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -2.70%E -0.966%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.65%E -6.18%K -21.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 10:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -13.13%E -5.25%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -8.65%E -6.18%K -21.62%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.40% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.60% | 1.6% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28% | 2.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |