Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Quentin Halys v Facundo Diaz Acosta

2026-08-30 15:00 UTC — ATP US Open

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Quentin Halys (Local)

Prediction 76.14%1.31fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -6.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.62%75.97%75.94%79.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.251.281.2984.75%79.83%78.13%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Facundo Diaz Acosta (Visit)

Prediction 23.86%4.19fair odd
EV +13.56%
Edge +2.85%
Kelly +3.61%
Growth +0.489%

assuming max odds 4.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.67%24.03%24.06%26.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.853.654.7628.99%25.97%27.40%21.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Quentin Halys (Local): 76.14%; Facundo Diaz Acosta (Visit): 23.86%. For Facundo Diaz Acosta (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.19. 7 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.76, producing a positive expected value of +13.56%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 79.33%EV -5.58%E -4.50%K -23.26%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.67%EV +13.56%E +2.85%K +3.61%G +0.489%1.7%2026-08-27 22:55
SportsBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -10.15%E -8.60%K -56.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +7.35%E +1.63%K +2.10%G +0.155%7.0%2026-08-28 00:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.10%E -5.82%K -32.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.39%E +0.327%K +0.428%G +0.006%5.5%2026-08-27 22:50
BetMGM🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -7.87%E -6.50%K -37.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV +1.39%E +0.327%K +0.428%G +0.006%6.2%2026-08-27 22:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.10%E -5.82%K -32.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.197%E +0.047%K +0.062%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 00:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.63%E -7.19%K -43.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +0.197%E +0.047%K +0.062%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-27 22:45
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.63%E -7.19%K -43.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +0.197%E +0.047%K +0.062%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-27 22:45
theScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -7.87%E -6.50%K -37.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.19%E -0.534%K -0.706%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-27 22:55
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.82%E -3.86%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.57%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-27 22:45
GTbets🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.72%EV -4.06%E -3.22%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.28%EV -6.24%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-27 22:00
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.10%E -5.82%K -32.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.96%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-27 22:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -7.87%E -6.50%K -37.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -6.96%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-27 22:59
DraftKings🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.68%EV -4.82%E -3.86%K -19.28%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.32%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-27 22:01
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.82%E -3.86%K -19.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.15%E -2.12%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-27 22:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.82%E -3.86%K -19.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.15%E -2.12%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 00:00
Unibet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -2.54%E -1.98%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -12.92%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-27 22:01
LiveScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -2.54%E -1.98%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -12.92%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-27 22:00
TABtouch🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -2.54%E -1.98%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -12.92%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-27 22:00
Casumo🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -2.54%E -1.98%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -12.92%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-27 22:01
PMU (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -2.54%E -1.98%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -12.92%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-27 22:01
Grosvenor🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -2.54%E -1.98%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -12.92%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-27 22:01
Unibet (NL)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -2.54%E -1.98%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -12.92%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-27 22:01
Virgin Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -2.54%E -1.98%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -12.92%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-27 22:01
Svenska Spel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -2.54%E -1.98%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -12.92%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-27 22:00
Bally Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -2.54%E -1.98%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -12.92%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-27 22:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -2.54%E -1.98%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -12.92%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-27 22:01
betPARX🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -2.54%E -1.98%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -12.92%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-27 22:01
BetRivers🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -2.54%E -1.98%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -12.92%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-27 23:14
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.77%E -1.38%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.12%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 22:01
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.77%E -1.38%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.12%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 22:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.77%E -1.38%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.12%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 00:00
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.54%E -1.98%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -14.12%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-27 23:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 74.51%EV -10.15%E -8.60%K -56.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.49%EV -17.70%E -5.13%K -7.22%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-27 22:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.19I 84.03%NM 75.16%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%11.8%2026-08-27 22:55
Arbitrage (20 combinations) +1.49%888sport 1.29 (78.7%) / 1xBet 4.76 (21.3%)Show all 20 combinations
Quentin Halys (Local)Facundo Diaz Acosta (Visit)Margin
888sport🎯 1.29 (78.7%)1xBet🎯 4.76 (21.3%)+1.49%
Hard Rock Bet🎯 1.29 (78.7%)1xBet🎯 4.76 (21.3%)+1.49%
Mr Green (SE)🎯 1.29 (78.7%)1xBet🎯 4.76 (21.3%)+1.49%
Unibet🎯 1.28 (78.8%)1xBet🎯 4.76 (21.2%)+0.874%
LiveScore Bet🎯 1.28 (78.8%)1xBet🎯 4.76 (21.2%)+0.874%
TABtouch🎯 1.28 (78.8%)1xBet🎯 4.76 (21.2%)+0.874%
Casumo🎯 1.28 (78.8%)1xBet🎯 4.76 (21.2%)+0.874%
PMU (FR)🎯 1.28 (78.8%)1xBet🎯 4.76 (21.2%)+0.874%
Grosvenor🎯 1.28 (78.8%)1xBet🎯 4.76 (21.2%)+0.874%
Unibet (NL)🎯 1.28 (78.8%)1xBet🎯 4.76 (21.2%)+0.874%
Virgin Bet🎯 1.28 (78.8%)1xBet🎯 4.76 (21.2%)+0.874%
Svenska Spel🎯 1.28 (78.8%)1xBet🎯 4.76 (21.2%)+0.874%
Bally Bet🎯 1.28 (78.8%)1xBet🎯 4.76 (21.2%)+0.874%
ATG (SE)🎯 1.28 (78.8%)1xBet🎯 4.76 (21.2%)+0.874%
betPARX🎯 1.28 (78.8%)1xBet🎯 4.76 (21.2%)+0.874%
BetRivers🎯 1.28 (78.8%)1xBet🎯 4.76 (21.2%)+0.874%
PlayUp🎯 1.28 (78.8%)1xBet🎯 4.76 (21.2%)+0.874%
888sport🎯 1.29 (77.7%)SportsBet🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.259%
Hard Rock Bet🎯 1.29 (77.7%)SportsBet🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.259%
Mr Green (SE)🎯 1.29 (77.7%)SportsBet🎯 4.50 (22.3%)+0.259%