Idioma:Español
Quentin Halys v Facundo Diaz Acosta
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Quentin Halys (Local)
Predicción 72.39%1.38momio equitativo
EV +0.618%
Ventaja +0.445%
Kelly +1.58%
Crecimiento +0.010%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.39
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.62%72.28%72.49%74.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.271.311.301.3978.74%76.32%76.92%71.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Facundo Diaz Acosta (Visitante)
Predicción 27.61%3.62momio equitativo
EV +3.55%
Ventaja +0.946%
Kelly +1.29%
Crecimiento +0.046%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.89%27.72%27.51%31.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.043.433.453.7532.89%29.19%28.99%26.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Quentin Halys (Local): 72.39%; Facundo Diaz Acosta (Visitante): 27.61%. Para Facundo Diaz Acosta (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.62. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.75, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.55%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -5.17%E -3.95%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV +3.55%E +0.946%K +1.29%G +0.046% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 21:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.13%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.87%EV -0.041%E -0.011%K -0.016%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.45%E -3.37%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -0.593%E -0.165%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-31 20:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.45%E -3.37%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -0.593%E -0.165%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-31 20:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -1.42%E -0.398%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 21:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.17%E -3.95%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -1.97%E -0.556%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.17%E -3.95%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.35%E -0.958%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.35%E -0.958%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 20:11 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.35%E -0.958%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 20:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.35%E -0.958%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 20:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.35%E -0.958%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 20:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.35%E -0.958%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 20:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.35%E -0.958%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 20:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.35%E -0.958%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 20:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.35%E -0.958%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 20:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.35%E -0.958%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 17:41 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.35%E -0.958%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 20:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.35%E -0.958%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 20:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.35%E -0.958%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 20:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.35%E -0.958%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 20:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.35%E -0.958%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 20:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.35%E -0.958%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 20:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.35%E -0.958%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 20:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.35%E -0.958%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 20:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.35%E -0.958%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.35%E -0.958%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 21:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.35%E -0.958%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 20:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.35%E -0.958%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 20:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.35%E -0.958%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 20:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.62%E -5.13%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.35%E -0.958%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 17:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.23%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.77%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-31 21:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.62%E -5.13%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -8.07%E -6.35%K -29.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 20:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.30%EV -5.17%E -3.95%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.70%EV -5.56%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -2.28%E -1.69%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-31 16:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 19:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 22:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.45%E -3.37%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 19:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.17%E -3.95%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 17:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 17:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 17:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 21:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.62%E -5.13%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-28 14:26 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.00%E -2.24%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.45%E -3.37%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 17:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.45%E -3.37%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 17:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.34%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.66%EV -8.60%E -2.60%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.28%E -1.69%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 22:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.00%E -2.24%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.18%EV -4.45%E -3.37%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.82%EV -9.98%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.18%EV -4.45%E -3.37%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.82%EV -9.98%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -1.55%E -1.14%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 22:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.11%EV -7.34%E -5.74%K -26.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -13.02%E -4.13%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-31 22:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -14.40%E -4.65%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-31 22:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV +0.618%E +0.445%K +1.58%G +0.010% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -16.06%E -5.28%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 22:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-08-31 22:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-08-31 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-08-31 22:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.3% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 2.4% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |