StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Mattia Bellucci v Zsombor Piros

Matchstart: 2026-09-01 18:46 UTC

Slutresultat: Mattia Bellucci 3–0 Zsombor Piros

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

57 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Mattia Bellucci (Hemma)

Prognos 65.64%1.52rättvist odds
EV -2.85%
Fördel -1.93%
Kelly -5.94%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.48

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
63.45%65.58%65.63%66.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.411.451.441.4870.92%69.14%69.44%67.57%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Zsombor Piros (Borta)

Prognos 34.36%2.91rättvist odds
EV -0.014%
Fördel -0.005%
Kelly -0.007%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.91

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
33.33%34.42%34.37%36.55%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.502.752.752.9140.00%36.34%36.36%34.36%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Mattia Bellucci (Hemma): 65.64%; Zsombor Piros (Borta): 34.36%. För Zsombor Piros (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.9104. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 2.9100, med väntevärdet -0.014%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (57 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.85%E -1.93%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 15:10
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.85%E -1.93%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.95%E -3.38%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.85%E -1.93%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.95%E -3.38%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 16:10
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.08%E -0.728%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-01 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.08%E -0.728%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-01 16:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.08%E -0.728%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-01 16:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 15:10
BetAnything🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 18:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.23%E -2.68%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 15:10
Pinnacle🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.59%EV -4.16%E -2.85%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.41%EV -0.014%E -0.005%K -0.007%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-01 15:10
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.16%E -2.85%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -4.82%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-01 18:30
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -4.82%E -3.33%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -1.04%E -0.363%K -0.556%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-29 12:29
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.82%E -3.33%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.79%E -1.35%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 17:30
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.82%E -3.33%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 11:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.82%E -3.33%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.82%E -3.33%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 18:30
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.82%E -3.33%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 18:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.82%E -3.33%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 18:30
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -4.82%E -3.33%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -5.85%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 17:30
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.82%E -3.33%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.23%E -2.68%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 03:04
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.82%E -3.33%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.23%E -2.68%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 20:00
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -1.04%E -0.363%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 04:35
FanDuel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -2.42%E -0.852%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 15:05
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -3.11%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 03:04
GTbets🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -3.45%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 16:25
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.79%E -1.35%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 15:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -5.17%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 16:45
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 03:05
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 11:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 11:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 11:55
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 21:00
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 12:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 18:40
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 11:55
TAB🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 11:40
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:30
Casumo🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:30
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:30
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 19:20
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 12:55
Bally Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:30
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 23:50
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.23%E -2.68%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.98%E -3.81%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 16:10
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.98%E -3.81%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 16:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -14.10%E -5.64%K -9.40%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-01 18:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.13%E -4.29%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 16:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.79%E -4.78%K -16.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 16:55
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.79%E -4.78%K -16.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 11:03
PMU (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -7.45%E -5.28%K -18.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -7.23%E -2.68%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 18:30
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (8)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-09-01 18:05
Novig◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.74%2.99I 33.44%NM 33.26%0.6%2026-09-01 17:56
ProphetX◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-09-01 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-09-01 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-09-01 18:35
Kalshi◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-09-01 18:40
Smarkets◎1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%2.1%2026-09-01 17:50