Idioma:Español
Mattia Bellucci v Zsombor Piros
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Mattia Bellucci (Local)
Predicción 65.64%1.52momio equitativo
EV -2.85%
Ventaja -1.93%
Kelly -5.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.45%65.58%65.63%66.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.411.451.441.4870.92%69.14%69.44%67.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Zsombor Piros (Visitante)
Predicción 34.36%2.91momio equitativo
EV -0.014%
Ventaja -0.005%
Kelly -0.007%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.91
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.33%34.42%34.37%36.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.752.752.9140.00%36.34%36.36%34.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Mattia Bellucci (Local): 65.64%; Zsombor Piros (Visitante): 34.36%. Para Zsombor Piros (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.9104. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.9100, con un valor esperado de -0.014%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.85%E -1.93%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-01 15:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.85%E -1.93%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.95%E -3.38%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.85%E -1.93%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.95%E -3.38%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.08%E -0.728%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.08%E -0.728%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 16:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.08%E -0.728%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 16:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 15:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 18:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.23%E -2.68%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 15:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.59%EV -4.16%E -2.85%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.41%EV -0.014%E -0.005%K -0.007%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-01 15:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.16%E -2.85%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -4.82%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -4.82%E -3.33%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -1.04%E -0.363%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-29 12:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.82%E -3.33%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.79%E -1.35%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 17:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.82%E -3.33%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 11:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.82%E -3.33%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.82%E -3.33%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.82%E -3.33%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.82%E -3.33%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -4.82%E -3.33%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -5.85%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 17:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.82%E -3.33%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.23%E -2.68%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 03:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.82%E -3.33%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.23%E -2.68%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 20:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -1.04%E -0.363%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 04:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -2.42%E -0.852%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -3.11%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 03:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -3.45%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 16:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.79%E -1.35%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -5.17%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 16:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 03:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 11:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 11:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 11:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 21:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 12:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 11:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 11:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 19:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 12:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 23:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.23%E -2.68%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.98%E -3.81%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.98%E -3.81%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -14.10%E -5.64%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.13%E -4.29%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 16:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.79%E -4.78%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 16:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.79%E -4.78%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 11:03 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -7.45%E -5.28%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -7.23%E -2.68%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 18:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.74% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 33.26% | 0.6% | 2026-09-01 17:56 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24% | 0.7% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 2.1% | 2026-09-01 17:50 |