Lingua:Italiano
Mattia Bellucci v Zsombor Piros
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Mattia Bellucci (Casa)
Previsione 65.64%1.52quota equa
EV -2.85%
Vantaggio -1.93%
Kelly -5.94%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.48
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
63.45%65.58%65.63%66.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.411.451.441.4870.92%69.14%69.44%67.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Zsombor Piros (Trasferta)
Previsione 34.36%2.91quota equa
EV -0.014%
Vantaggio -0.005%
Kelly -0.007%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.91
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.33%34.42%34.37%36.55%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.752.752.9140.00%36.34%36.36%34.36%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Mattia Bellucci (Casa): 65.64%; Zsombor Piros (Trasferta): 34.36%. Per Zsombor Piros (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.9104. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.9100, con un valore atteso del -0.014%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.
Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.85%E -1.93%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-01 15:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.85%E -1.93%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.95%E -3.38%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.85%E -1.93%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.95%E -3.38%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.08%E -0.728%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.08%E -0.728%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 16:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.08%E -0.728%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 16:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 15:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 18:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.51%E -2.39%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.23%E -2.68%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 15:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.59%EV -4.16%E -2.85%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.41%EV -0.014%E -0.005%K -0.007%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-01 15:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.16%E -2.85%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -4.82%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -4.82%E -3.33%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -1.04%E -0.363%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-29 12:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.82%E -3.33%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.79%E -1.35%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 17:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.82%E -3.33%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 11:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.82%E -3.33%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.82%E -3.33%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.82%E -3.33%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.82%E -3.33%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -4.82%E -3.33%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -5.85%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 17:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.82%E -3.33%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.23%E -2.68%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 03:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.82%E -3.33%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.23%E -2.68%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 20:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -1.04%E -0.363%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 04:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -2.42%E -0.852%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -3.11%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 03:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -3.45%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 16:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.79%E -1.35%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -5.17%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 16:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 03:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 11:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 11:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 11:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 21:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 12:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 11:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 11:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 19:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 12:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 23:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.23%E -2.68%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.98%E -3.81%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.98%E -3.81%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -5.48%E -3.80%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -14.10%E -5.64%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.13%E -4.29%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 16:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.79%E -4.78%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 16:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.79%E -4.78%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 11:03 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -7.45%E -5.28%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -7.23%E -2.68%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (8)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 18:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.74% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 33.26% | 0.6% | 2026-09-01 17:56 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24% | 0.7% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 2.1% | 2026-09-01 17:50 |