Language:English
Karen Khachanov v Learner Tien
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Karen Khachanov (Local)
Prediction 38.51%2.60fair odd
EV +2.06%
Edge +0.778%
Kelly +1.25%
Growth +0.026%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.30%38.57%38.44%40.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.482.482.6542.55%40.36%40.32%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Learner Tien (Visit)
Prediction 61.49%1.63fair odd
EV -1.01%
Edge -0.626%
Kelly -1.65%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.34%61.43%61.56%63.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.541.551.6166.67%64.84%64.52%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Karen Khachanov (Local): 38.51%; Learner Tien (Visit): 61.49%. For Karen Khachanov (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.60. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.06%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV +2.06%E +0.778%K +1.25%G +0.026% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -7.16%E -4.74%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-07 21:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV +0.137%E +0.053%K +0.085%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -4.08%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-07 21:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV +0.137%E +0.053%K +0.085%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -4.08%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-07 21:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV +0.137%E +0.053%K +0.085%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -6.54%E -4.30%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-07 21:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -0.634%E -0.246%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -4.08%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-07 15:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -0.634%E -0.246%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -7.16%E -4.74%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 21:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV -1.40%E -0.548%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -2.85%E -1.81%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-07 21:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -1.79%E -0.702%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-07 19:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.79%E -0.702%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.31%E -3.45%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-07 21:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.79%E -0.702%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.31%E -3.45%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-07 21:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.71%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.08%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-07 21:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.71%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.08%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-07 21:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.71%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.08%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-07 21:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.71%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.31%E -3.45%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-07 21:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.71%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.93%E -3.87%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-07 07:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.71%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.93%E -3.87%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-07 14:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.71%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.93%E -3.87%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-07 14:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.71%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.93%E -3.87%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-07 14:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.71%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.93%E -3.87%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-07 14:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.71%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.93%E -3.87%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-07 21:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -3.71%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.54%E -4.30%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-07 21:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -3.71%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.54%E -4.30%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-07 21:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.71%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.77%E -5.18%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-07 21:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.71%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.77%E -5.18%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-07 21:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.71%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.77%E -5.18%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-07 21:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.71%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.77%E -5.18%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 09:02 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -4.10%E -1.65%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.24%E -1.41%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-07 21:33 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.48%E -1.81%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.08%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-07 21:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.48%E -1.81%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 21:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.48%E -1.81%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 21:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.48%E -1.81%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.48%E -1.81%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 21:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.48%E -1.81%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 21:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.48%E -1.81%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 18:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.48%E -1.81%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 21:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.48%E -1.81%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 21:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.48%E -1.81%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 21:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.48%E -1.81%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 21:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.48%E -1.81%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 21:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.48%E -1.81%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 21:36 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.48%E -1.81%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 18:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.48%E -1.81%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 21:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -4.48%E -1.81%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -5.93%E -3.87%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-07 21:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.94%EV -4.87%E -1.97%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.06%EV -7.16%E -4.74%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-07 20:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.08%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-07 21:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-07 21:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-07 08:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-07 08:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.93%E -3.87%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 21:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.93%E -3.87%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 21:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.93%E -3.87%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 20:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.93%E -3.87%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 08:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -1.62%E -1.01%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-07 21:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.08%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-07 21:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 21:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 21:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 21:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.93%E -3.87%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 08:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.93%E -3.87%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 08:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.77%E -5.18%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-07 21:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.34%E -3.50%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.47%E -2.21%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 10:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -9.49%E -4.04%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -1.01%E -0.626%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 21:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.49%E -4.04%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.47%E -2.21%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 17:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -9.49%E -4.04%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.31%E -3.45%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-07 21:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.49%E -4.04%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -7.77%E -5.18%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-07 21:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 0.5% | 2026-09-07 21:36 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 0.5% | 2026-09-07 21:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 0.5% | 2026-09-07 21:30 |
| Novig◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 0.6% | 2026-09-07 21:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 0.6% | 2026-09-07 21:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23% | 1.1% | 2026-09-07 21:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18% | 2.1% | 2026-09-07 21:40 |