Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Karen Khachanov v Learner Tien

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-07 21:41 UTC

Score final : Karen Khachanov 3–2 Learner Tien

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Karen Khachanov (Local)

Prévision 38.51%2.60cote équitable
EV +2.06%
Avantage +0.778%
Kelly +1.25%
Croissance +0.026%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.30%38.57%38.44%40.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.352.482.482.6542.55%40.36%40.32%37.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Learner Tien (Visiteur)

Prévision 61.49%1.63cote équitable
EV -1.01%
Avantage -0.626%
Kelly -1.65%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.34%61.43%61.56%63.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.541.551.6166.67%64.84%64.52%62.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Karen Khachanov (Local) : 38.51% ; Learner Tien (Visiteur) : 61.49%. Pour Karen Khachanov (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.60. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.65, soit une espérance positive de +2.06%.

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetAnything🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV +2.06%E +0.778%K +1.25%G +0.026%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -7.16%E -4.74%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-07 21:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV +0.137%E +0.053%K +0.085%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -4.08%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-07 21:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV +0.137%E +0.053%K +0.085%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -4.08%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-07 21:40
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV +0.137%E +0.053%K +0.085%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -6.54%E -4.30%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 21:30
GTbets🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -0.634%E -0.246%K -0.401%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -4.08%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-07 15:05
SportsBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -0.634%E -0.246%K -0.401%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -7.16%E -4.74%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 21:29
Pinnacle🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV -1.40%E -0.548%K -0.900%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -2.85%E -1.81%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-07 21:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -1.79%E -0.702%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-07 19:55
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.79%E -0.702%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.31%E -3.45%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 21:35
BetUS🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.79%E -0.702%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.31%E -3.45%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 21:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.71%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.08%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-07 21:29
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.71%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.08%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-07 21:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.71%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.08%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-07 21:30
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.71%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.31%E -3.45%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 21:40
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.71%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.93%E -3.87%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 07:45
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.71%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.93%E -3.87%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 14:20
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.71%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.93%E -3.87%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 14:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.71%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.93%E -3.87%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 14:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.71%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.93%E -3.87%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.71%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.93%E -3.87%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 21:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -3.71%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.54%E -4.30%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 21:40
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -3.71%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.54%E -4.30%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 21:40
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.71%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.77%E -5.18%K -15.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 21:19
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.71%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.77%E -5.18%K -15.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 21:30
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.71%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.77%E -5.18%K -15.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 21:29
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.71%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.77%E -5.18%K -15.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 09:02
Coolbet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -4.10%E -1.65%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.24%E -1.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-07 21:33
Unibet (UK)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.48%E -1.81%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.08%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-07 21:29
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.48%E -1.81%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 21:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.48%E -1.81%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 21:35
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.48%E -1.81%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 18:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.48%E -1.81%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 21:35
Casumo🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.48%E -1.81%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 21:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.48%E -1.81%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 18:55
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.48%E -1.81%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 21:35
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.48%E -1.81%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 21:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.48%E -1.81%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 21:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.48%E -1.81%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 21:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.48%E -1.81%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 21:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.48%E -1.81%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 21:36
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.48%E -1.81%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 18:55
Bally Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.48%E -1.81%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 21:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -4.48%E -1.81%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -5.93%E -3.87%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 21:34
NetBet (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 37.94%EV -4.87%E -1.97%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.06%EV -7.16%E -4.74%K -14.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 20:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.08%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 21:29
MyBookie.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 21:35
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 08:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 08:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.93%E -3.87%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 21:35
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.93%E -3.87%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 21:40
TAB🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.93%E -3.87%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 20:15
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.93%E -3.87%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 08:14
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -1.62%E -1.01%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 21:30
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.08%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 21:29
Betsson🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 21:29
NordicBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 21:30
ReBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 21:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.93%E -3.87%K -11.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 08:15
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.93%E -3.87%K -11.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 08:14
PMU (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.77%E -5.18%K -15.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-07 21:35
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.34%E -3.50%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.47%E -2.21%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 10:40
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -9.49%E -4.04%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -1.01%E -0.626%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-07 21:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.49%E -4.04%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.47%E -2.21%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 17:55
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -9.49%E -4.04%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.31%E -3.45%K -9.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-07 21:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.49%E -4.04%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -7.77%E -5.18%K -15.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-07 21:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-09-07 21:36
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-09-07 21:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-09-07 21:30
Novig◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-09-07 21:40
Matchbook◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-09-07 21:40
Smarkets◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%1.1%2026-09-07 21:35
ProphetX◎2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18%2.1%2026-09-07 21:40