Lingua:Italiano
Jesper De Jong v Francesco Passaro
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Jesper De Jong (Casa)
Previsione 56.73%1.76quota equa
EV -1.86%
Vantaggio -1.08%
Kelly -2.55%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.73
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.83%56.61%56.81%58.08%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.641.681.681.7360.98%59.50%59.52%57.80%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Francesco Passaro (Trasferta)
Previsione 43.27%2.31quota equa
EV -0.471%
Vantaggio -0.205%
Kelly -0.363%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.92%43.39%43.19%45.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.192.182.3047.62%45.74%45.87%43.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Jesper De Jong (Casa): 56.73%; Francesco Passaro (Trasferta): 43.27%. Per Francesco Passaro (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.31. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.30, con un valore atteso del -0.471%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.
Quote dei bookmaker (65 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ReBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -1.86%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -5.66%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-01 20:03 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.86%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.13%E -4.35%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 12:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.86%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.13%E -4.35%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 12:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.86%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.13%E -4.35%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 12:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.86%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.13%E -4.35%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 12:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -3.00%E -1.75%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.00%E -1.75%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 19:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.00%E -1.75%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 19:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.00%E -1.75%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 19:51 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.00%E -1.75%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 19:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.00%E -1.75%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -3.56%E -2.10%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -1.77%E -0.780%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-01 19:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.56%E -2.10%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.63%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-01 20:46 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.56%E -2.10%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 09:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.56%E -2.10%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 19:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.56%E -2.10%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 19:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.07%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 20:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-01 16:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.64%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.36%EV -8.26%E -3.90%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 19:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.64%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.36%EV -8.26%E -3.90%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 19:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -0.471%E -0.205%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 19:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.63%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-01 20:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.50%E -1.57%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 20:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -3.93%E -1.77%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-01 15:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.66%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 16:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.66%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.66%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 16:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.66%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 16:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.66%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 16:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.66%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 16:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.66%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 16:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.66%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 16:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.66%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 16:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.66%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 16:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.66%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 16:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.66%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 16:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.66%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 16:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.66%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 16:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.63%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 19:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 16:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 16:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 19:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 19:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 19:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 19:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 15:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 15:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 16:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.74%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.26%EV -5.23%E -2.39%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 20:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.74%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.26%EV -5.23%E -2.39%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 20:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 06:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -5.83%E -3.51%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -0.471%E -0.205%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-01 20:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.83%E -3.51%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.63%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 20:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.63%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:43 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -3.93%E -1.77%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 19:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 19:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 19:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 19:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 19:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -6.10%E -2.81%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 19:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 19:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 19:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -7.40%E -3.46%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-01 16:50 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (8)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 20:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 20:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 20:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 20:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 20:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94% | 1.9% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54% | 2.4% | 2026-09-01 20:45 |