StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jesper De Jong v Francesco Passaro

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-01 21:02 UTC

Endstand: Jesper De Jong 3–2 Francesco Passaro

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

65 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jesper De Jong (Heim)

Prognose 56.73%1.76faire Quote
EV -1.86%
Vorteil -1.08%
Kelly -2.55%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.73

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
54.83%56.61%56.81%58.08%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.641.681.681.7360.98%59.50%59.52%57.80%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Francesco Passaro (Auswärts)

Prognose 43.27%2.31faire Quote
EV -0.471%
Vorteil -0.205%
Kelly -0.363%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.30

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
41.92%43.39%43.19%45.17%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.102.192.182.3047.62%45.74%45.87%43.48%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Jesper De Jong (Heim): 56.73%; Francesco Passaro (Auswärts): 43.27%. Für Francesco Passaro (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.31. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 2.30, bei einem Erwartungswert von -0.471%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (65 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
ReBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -1.86%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -5.66%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-01 20:03
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.86%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.13%E -4.35%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 12:55
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.86%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.13%E -4.35%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 12:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.86%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.13%E -4.35%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 12:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.86%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.13%E -4.35%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 12:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -3.00%E -1.75%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-01 20:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.00%E -1.75%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 19:40
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.00%E -1.75%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 19:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.00%E -1.75%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 19:51
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.00%E -1.75%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 19:40
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.00%E -1.75%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 21:40
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -3.56%E -2.10%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -1.77%E -0.780%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-01 19:44
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.56%E -2.10%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.63%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-01 20:46
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.56%E -2.10%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 09:50
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.56%E -2.10%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 19:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.56%E -2.10%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 19:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.07%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 20:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-01 16:50
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.64%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.36%EV -8.26%E -3.90%K -7.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 19:40
Betsson🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.64%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.36%EV -8.26%E -3.90%K -7.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 19:40
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -0.471%E -0.205%K -0.363%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-01 19:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.63%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-01 20:40
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.50%E -1.57%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 20:44
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -3.93%E -1.77%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-01 15:49
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.66%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 16:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.66%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.66%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 16:50
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.66%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 16:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.66%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 16:50
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.66%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.66%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.66%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 16:50
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.66%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 16:50
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.66%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 16:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.66%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 16:50
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.66%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 16:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.66%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 16:50
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.66%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 16:50
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.63%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 19:44
SportsBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 16:20
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 16:50
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 19:45
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 19:45
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 19:44
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 19:45
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 15:45
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 15:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 16:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.74%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.26%EV -5.23%E -2.39%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 20:45
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.74%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.26%EV -5.23%E -2.39%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 20:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 06:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -5.83%E -3.51%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -0.471%E -0.205%K -0.363%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-01 20:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.83%E -3.51%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.63%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 20:05
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.63%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 19:43
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -3.93%E -1.77%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 19:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 19:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 19:45
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 19:40
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 19:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -6.10%E -2.81%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 19:45
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 19:45
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 19:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -7.40%E -3.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 16:50
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (8)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
ProphetX◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-09-01 20:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-09-01 20:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-09-01 20:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-09-01 20:45
Matchbook◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-09-01 20:45
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-09-01 20:10
Smarkets◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.9%2026-09-01 20:10
Novig◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%2.4%2026-09-01 20:45