預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Frances Tiafoe v Alex Michelsen

開賽時間: 2026-09-08 18:22 UTC

最終賽果: Frances Tiafoe 3–2 Alex Michelsen

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

65 家博彩公司 (21 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Frances Tiafoe (主隊)

預測 58.22%1.72公平賠率
EV -0.451%
優勢 -0.263%
Kelly -0.635%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.71

博彩公司預測分布
56.82%58.28%58.14%60.25%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.571.631.641.7163.69%61.18%60.98%58.48%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Alex Michelsen (客隊)

預測 41.78%2.39公平賠率
EV -0.136%
優勢 -0.057%
Kelly -0.098%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.39

博彩公司預測分布
39.75%41.72%41.86%43.18%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.202.272.252.3945.45%44.03%44.44%41.84%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Frances Tiafoe (主隊):58.22%;Alex Michelsen (客隊):41.78%。 對於「Alex Michelsen (客隊)」,該估計相當於2.393的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率:最佳賠率為2.390,期望值為-0.136%,未產生正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (65 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -0.451%E -0.263%K -0.635%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-08 18:00
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.78%E -1.66%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.39%E -0.589%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-08 17:55
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.78%E -1.66%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 18:09
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.78%E -1.66%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 13:25
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.78%E -1.66%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 16:55
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.78%E -1.66%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 17:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.78%E -1.66%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.78%E -1.66%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 16:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.36%E -2.02%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-08 16:45
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -3.36%E -2.02%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -5.15%E -2.27%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 18:10
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-08 11:55
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-08 13:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -4.31%E -1.88%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 18:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -5.57%E -2.46%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-08 18:10
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 06:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 16:15
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 16:15
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 16:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 16:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 16:15
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 16:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 16:15
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 16:15
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 16:15
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 16:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 16:15
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 16:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 16:15
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-08 05:25
ReBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.53%E -2.76%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -2.64%E -1.13%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-08 16:45
GTbets🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.53%E -2.76%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.73%E -2.08%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 01:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.53%E -2.76%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 18:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.45%EV -5.11%E -3.13%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.55%EV -0.136%E -0.057%K -0.098%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-08 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.45%EV -5.11%E -3.13%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.55%EV -0.136%E -0.057%K -0.098%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-08 18:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.11%E -3.13%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.81%E -0.769%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-08 12:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.11%E -3.13%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 17:55
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -5.11%E -3.13%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -7.24%E -3.26%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 18:10
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -5.11%E -3.13%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -7.24%E -3.26%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 18:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 16:54
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 16:15
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 17:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 17:55
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 17:00
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 18:10
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 17:55
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 16:15
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 03:52
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 14:50
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -6.27%E -3.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -1.39%E -0.589%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-08 17:45
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.27%E -3.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.81%E -0.769%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 18:05
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -6.27%E -3.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -2.23%E -0.951%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-08 18:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.27%E -3.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -5.15%E -2.27%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 18:05
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.27%E -3.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 11:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.27%E -3.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-08 16:15
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -6.85%E -4.28%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -1.39%E -0.589%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-08 17:46
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.85%E -4.28%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.85%E -4.28%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 16:15
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.85%E -4.28%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 16:15
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -7.44%E -4.68%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 17:55
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.60%E -5.48%K -15.09%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.554%E -0.233%K -0.402%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-08 17:46
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.60%E -5.48%K -15.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.81%E -0.769%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 16:45
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.60%E -5.48%K -15.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 17:46
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Novig◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66%2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34%0.4%2026-09-08 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-09-08 18:11
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-09-08 18:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-09-08 18:10
Matchbook◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-09-08 18:10
ProphetX◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-09-08 18:11
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-09-08 18:11