语言:简体中文
Frances Tiafoe v Alex Michelsen
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Frances Tiafoe (主队)
预测 58.22%1.72公平赔率
EV -0.451%
优势 -0.263%
Kelly -0.635%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.71
博彩公司预测分布
56.82%58.28%58.14%60.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.571.631.641.7163.69%61.18%60.98%58.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
Alex Michelsen (客队)
预测 41.78%2.39公平赔率
EV -0.136%
优势 -0.057%
Kelly -0.098%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.39
博彩公司预测分布
39.75%41.72%41.86%43.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.272.252.3945.45%44.03%44.44%41.84%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Frances Tiafoe (主队)：58.22%；Alex Michelsen (客队)：41.78%。 对于“Alex Michelsen (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.393。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.390，期望值为-0.136%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -0.451%E -0.263%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-08 18:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.78%E -1.66%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.39%E -0.589%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-08 17:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.78%E -1.66%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-08 18:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.78%E -1.66%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-07 13:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.78%E -1.66%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 16:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.78%E -1.66%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.78%E -1.66%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.78%E -1.66%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 16:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.36%E -2.02%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-08 16:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -3.36%E -2.02%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -5.15%E -2.27%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-08 11:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-08 13:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -4.31%E -1.88%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -5.57%E -2.46%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 06:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 16:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 16:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 16:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 16:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 16:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 16:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 16:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 16:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 16:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 16:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 16:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 16:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 16:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 16:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-08 05:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.53%E -2.76%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -2.64%E -1.13%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-08 16:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.53%E -2.76%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.73%E -2.08%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 01:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.53%E -2.76%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.45%EV -5.11%E -3.13%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.55%EV -0.136%E -0.057%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.45%EV -5.11%E -3.13%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.55%EV -0.136%E -0.057%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.11%E -3.13%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.81%E -0.769%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-08 12:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.11%E -3.13%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-08 17:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -5.11%E -3.13%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -7.24%E -3.26%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -5.11%E -3.13%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -7.24%E -3.26%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-08 16:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-08 16:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-08 17:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 17:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 17:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 17:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 16:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 03:52 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 14:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -6.27%E -3.90%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -1.39%E -0.589%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-08 17:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.27%E -3.90%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.81%E -0.769%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 18:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -6.27%E -3.90%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -2.23%E -0.951%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.27%E -3.90%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -5.15%E -2.27%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 18:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.27%E -3.90%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 11:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.27%E -3.90%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-08 16:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -6.85%E -4.28%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -1.39%E -0.589%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-08 17:46 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.85%E -4.28%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.85%E -4.28%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-08 16:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.85%E -4.28%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-08 16:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -7.44%E -4.68%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 17:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.60%E -5.48%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.554%E -0.233%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-08 17:46 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.60%E -5.48%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.81%E -0.769%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 16:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.60%E -5.48%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 17:46 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34% | 0.4% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-09-08 18:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-09-08 18:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 0.8% | 2026-09-08 18:11 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89% | 1.9% | 2026-09-08 18:11 |