StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Frances Tiafoe v Alex Michelsen

Matchstart: 2026-09-08 18:22 UTC

Slutresultat: Frances Tiafoe 3–2 Alex Michelsen

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

65 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Frances Tiafoe (Hemma)

Prognos 58.22%1.72rättvist odds
EV -0.451%
Fördel -0.263%
Kelly -0.635%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.71

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
56.82%58.28%58.14%60.25%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.571.631.641.7163.69%61.18%60.98%58.48%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Alex Michelsen (Borta)

Prognos 41.78%2.39rättvist odds
EV -0.136%
Fördel -0.057%
Kelly -0.098%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.39

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
39.75%41.72%41.86%43.18%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.202.272.252.3945.45%44.03%44.44%41.84%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Frances Tiafoe (Hemma): 58.22%; Alex Michelsen (Borta): 41.78%. För Alex Michelsen (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.393. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 2.390, med väntevärdet -0.136%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (65 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -0.451%E -0.263%K -0.635%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-08 18:00
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.78%E -1.66%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.39%E -0.589%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-08 17:55
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.78%E -1.66%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 18:09
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.78%E -1.66%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 13:25
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.78%E -1.66%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 16:55
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.78%E -1.66%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 17:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.78%E -1.66%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.78%E -1.66%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 16:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.36%E -2.02%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-08 16:45
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -3.36%E -2.02%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -5.15%E -2.27%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 18:10
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-08 11:55
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-08 13:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -4.31%E -1.88%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 18:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -5.57%E -2.46%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-08 18:10
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 06:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 16:15
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 16:15
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 16:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 16:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 16:15
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 16:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 16:15
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 16:15
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 16:15
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 16:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 16:15
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 16:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 16:15
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-08 05:25
ReBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.53%E -2.76%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -2.64%E -1.13%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-08 16:45
GTbets🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.53%E -2.76%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.73%E -2.08%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 01:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.53%E -2.76%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 18:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.45%EV -5.11%E -3.13%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.55%EV -0.136%E -0.057%K -0.098%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-08 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.45%EV -5.11%E -3.13%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.55%EV -0.136%E -0.057%K -0.098%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-08 18:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.11%E -3.13%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.81%E -0.769%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-08 12:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.11%E -3.13%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 17:55
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -5.11%E -3.13%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -7.24%E -3.26%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 18:10
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -5.11%E -3.13%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -7.24%E -3.26%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 18:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 16:54
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 16:15
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 17:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 17:55
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 17:00
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 18:10
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 17:55
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 16:15
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 03:52
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 14:50
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -6.27%E -3.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -1.39%E -0.589%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-08 17:45
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.27%E -3.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.81%E -0.769%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 18:05
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -6.27%E -3.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -2.23%E -0.951%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-08 18:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.27%E -3.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -5.15%E -2.27%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 18:05
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.27%E -3.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 11:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.27%E -3.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-08 16:15
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -6.85%E -4.28%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -1.39%E -0.589%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-08 17:46
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.85%E -4.28%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.85%E -4.28%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 16:15
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.85%E -4.28%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 16:15
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -7.44%E -4.68%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 17:55
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.60%E -5.48%K -15.09%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.554%E -0.233%K -0.402%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-08 17:46
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.60%E -5.48%K -15.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.81%E -0.769%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 16:45
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.60%E -5.48%K -15.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 17:46
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Novig◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66%2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34%0.4%2026-09-08 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-09-08 18:11
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-09-08 18:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-09-08 18:10
Matchbook◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-09-08 18:10
ProphetX◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-09-08 18:11
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-09-08 18:11