Language:English
Filip Misolic v Francisco Cerundolo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Filip Misolic (Local)
Prediction 9.11%10.97fair odd
EV +23.02%
Edge +1.71%
Kelly +1.84%
Growth +0.424%
assuming max odds 13.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.15%9.12%9.42%10.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.5010.1010.0013.5011.76%9.90%10.00%7.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Francisco Cerundolo (Visit)
Prediction 90.89%1.10fair odd
EV -3.66%
Edge -3.45%
Kelly -60.99%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
89.01%90.88%90.58%92.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.051.051.0697.09%95.21%95.24%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Filip Misolic (Local): 9.11%; Francisco Cerundolo (Visit): 90.89%. For Filip Misolic (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.97. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +23.02%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.15%EV +23.02%E +1.71%K +1.84%G +0.424% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.85%EV -5.48%E -5.27%K -136.93%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-01 18:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +9.35%E +0.779%K +0.850%G +0.079% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.57%E -4.35%K -91.36%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-01 18:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +9.35%E +0.779%K +0.850%G +0.079% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.48%E -5.27%K -136.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-01 17:53 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +9.35%E +0.779%K +0.850%G +0.079% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.48%E -5.27%K -136.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-01 18:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 11.85I 8.44%NM 8.14%EV +7.98%E +0.674%K +0.736%G +0.059% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.86%EV -4.57%E -4.35%K -91.36%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 11.75I 8.51%NM 8.06%EV +7.07%E +0.602%K +0.658%G +0.047% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.94%EV -6.39%E -6.20%K -212.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 18:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 11.60I 8.62%NM 8.16%EV +5.71%E +0.492%K +0.538%G +0.031% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.84%EV -6.39%E -6.20%K -212.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +4.79%E +0.417%K +0.457%G +0.022% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +4.79%E +0.417%K +0.457%G +0.022% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.48%E -5.27%K -136.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 18:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +4.79%E +0.417%K +0.457%G +0.022% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.48%E -5.27%K -136.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 18:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 11.04I 9.06%NM 8.68%EV +0.603%E +0.055%K +0.060%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.32%EV -4.57%E -4.35%K -91.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 18:01 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +0.239%E +0.022%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-31 04:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +0.239%E +0.022%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.48%E -5.27%K -136.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 18:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +0.239%E +0.022%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.39%E -6.20%K -212.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 04:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -4.32%E -0.411%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.57%E -4.35%K -91.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -4.32%E -0.411%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.48%E -5.27%K -136.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -4.32%E -0.411%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.48%E -5.27%K -136.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 18:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -6.60%E -0.643%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.48%E -5.27%K -136.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 10.06I 9.94%NM 9.53%EV -8.33%E -0.828%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.47%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 10.06I 9.94%NM 9.53%EV -8.33%E -0.828%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.47%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.87%E -0.887%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 14:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.87%E -0.887%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 03:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.87%E -0.887%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 13:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.87%E -0.887%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.57%E -4.35%K -91.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.87%E -0.887%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.57%E -4.35%K -91.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.87%E -0.887%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.48%E -5.27%K -136.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.87%E -0.887%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.48%E -5.27%K -136.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.87%E -0.887%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.48%E -5.27%K -136.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.87%E -0.887%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.48%E -5.27%K -136.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.87%E -0.887%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.48%E -5.27%K -136.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 18:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.87%E -0.887%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.48%E -5.27%K -136.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 18:26 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.87%E -0.887%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.48%E -5.27%K -136.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 15:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 9.95I 10.05%NM 9.63%EV -9.33%E -0.938%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.37%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 9.95I 10.05%NM 9.55%EV -9.33%E -0.938%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.45%EV -4.57%E -4.35%K -91.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 12:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 9.90I 10.10%NM 9.67%EV -9.79%E -0.988%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.33%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 03:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -11.15%E -1.14%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -5.48%E -5.27%K -136.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 16:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 9.55I 10.47%NM 9.82%EV -12.97%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.18%EV -5.48%E -5.27%K -136.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-01 18:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -13.43%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 09:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -13.43%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 09:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -13.43%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 09:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -13.43%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 09:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -13.43%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 09:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -13.43%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 09:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -13.43%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 09:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -13.43%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 09:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -13.43%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 09:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -13.43%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 09:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -13.43%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 09:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -13.43%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 09:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -13.43%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 09:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -13.43%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 09:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -13.43%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 09:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -13.43%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -6.39%E -6.20%K -212.87%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -17.99%E -2.00%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 10:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -17.99%E -2.00%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 10:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -17.99%E -2.00%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 10:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -17.99%E -2.00%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 10:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -17.99%E -2.00%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 02:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -17.99%E -2.00%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.57%E -4.35%K -91.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 21:57 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -17.99%E -2.00%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -6.39%E -6.20%K -212.87%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-01 09:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -20.26%E -2.32%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 10:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -22.54%E -2.65%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.57%E -4.35%K -91.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 01:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.87% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 93.13% | 0.4% | 2026-09-01 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.87% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 93.13% | 0.4% | 2026-09-01 18:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.87% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 93.13% | 0.4% | 2026-09-01 18:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05% | 0.6% | 2026-09-01 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90% | 0.6% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Novig◎ | 11.76I 8.50%NM 8.41% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.59% | 1.1% | 2026-09-01 18:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40% | 1.2% | 2026-09-01 18:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 14.01I 7.14%NM 6.97% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.03% | 2.4% | 2026-09-01 18:45 |