StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Filip Misolic v Francisco Cerundolo

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-01 18:47 UTC

Endstand: Filip Misolic 0–3 Francisco Cerundolo

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

62 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Filip Misolic (Heim)

Prognose 9.11%10.97faire Quote
EV +23.02%
Vorteil +1.71%
Kelly +1.84%
Wachstum +0.424%

bei einer Höchstquote von 13.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
7.15%9.12%9.42%10.99%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
8.5010.1010.0013.5011.76%9.90%10.00%7.41%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Francisco Cerundolo (Auswärts)

Prognose 90.89%1.10faire Quote
EV -3.66%
Vorteil -3.45%
Kelly -60.99%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.06

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
89.01%90.88%90.58%92.85%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.031.051.051.0697.09%95.21%95.24%94.34%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Filip Misolic (Heim): 9.11%; Francisco Cerundolo (Auswärts): 90.89%. Für Filip Misolic (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 10.97. 14 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 13.50 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +23.02%.

Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Winamax (DE)🎯13.50I 7.41%NM 7.15%EV +23.02%E +1.71%K +1.84%G +0.424%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.85%EV -5.48%E -5.27%K -136.93%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-01 18:45
betano_uk🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +9.35%E +0.779%K +0.850%G +0.079%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.57%E -4.35%K -91.36%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-01 18:45
Bovada🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +9.35%E +0.779%K +0.850%G +0.079%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.48%E -5.27%K -136.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 17:53
Winamax (FR)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +9.35%E +0.779%K +0.850%G +0.079%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.48%E -5.27%K -136.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 18:45
Pinnacle🎯11.85I 8.44%NM 8.14%EV +7.98%E +0.674%K +0.736%G +0.059%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.86%EV -4.57%E -4.35%K -91.36%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-01 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯11.75I 8.51%NM 8.06%EV +7.07%E +0.602%K +0.658%G +0.047%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.94%EV -6.39%E -6.20%K -212.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 18:45
DraftKings🎯11.60I 8.62%NM 8.16%EV +5.71%E +0.492%K +0.538%G +0.031%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.84%EV -6.39%E -6.20%K -212.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 18:20
Coolbet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +4.79%E +0.417%K +0.457%G +0.022%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-01 18:40
MyBookie.ag🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +4.79%E +0.417%K +0.457%G +0.022%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.48%E -5.27%K -136.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 18:44
Unibet (UK)🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +4.79%E +0.417%K +0.457%G +0.022%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.48%E -5.27%K -136.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 18:45
GTbets🎯11.04I 9.06%NM 8.68%EV +0.603%E +0.055%K +0.060%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.32%EV -4.57%E -4.35%K -91.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 18:01
BoyleSports🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +0.239%E +0.022%K +0.024%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-31 04:35
Fanatics🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +0.239%E +0.022%K +0.024%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.48%E -5.27%K -136.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 18:45
Tipico (DE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +0.239%E +0.022%K +0.024%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.39%E -6.20%K -212.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 04:45
SportsBet🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -4.32%E -0.411%K -0.454%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.57%E -4.35%K -91.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 15:00
Betsson🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -4.32%E -0.411%K -0.454%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.48%E -5.27%K -136.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 18:20
NordicBet🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -4.32%E -0.411%K -0.454%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.48%E -5.27%K -136.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 18:19
Betr (AU)🎯10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -6.60%E -0.643%K -0.713%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.48%E -5.27%K -136.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 18:25
BetOnline.ag🎯10.06I 9.94%NM 9.53%EV -8.33%E -0.828%K -0.919%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.47%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯10.06I 9.94%NM 9.53%EV -8.33%E -0.828%K -0.919%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.47%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 18:40
Paddy Power🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.87%E -0.887%K -0.986%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-31 14:30
Sky Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.87%E -0.887%K -0.986%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 03:00
PlayUp🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.87%E -0.887%K -0.986%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 13:05
theScore Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.87%E -0.887%K -0.986%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.57%E -4.35%K -91.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 15:00
Betway🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.87%E -0.887%K -0.986%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.57%E -4.35%K -91.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.87%E -0.887%K -0.986%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.48%E -5.27%K -136.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 18:25
888sport🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.87%E -0.887%K -0.986%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.48%E -5.27%K -136.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.87%E -0.887%K -0.986%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.48%E -5.27%K -136.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.87%E -0.887%K -0.986%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.48%E -5.27%K -136.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 18:40
William Hill🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.87%E -0.887%K -0.986%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.48%E -5.27%K -136.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 18:39
betfred_uk🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.87%E -0.887%K -0.986%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.48%E -5.27%K -136.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 18:26
Betclic (FR)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.87%E -0.887%K -0.986%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.48%E -5.27%K -136.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 15:05
1xBet🎯9.95I 10.05%NM 9.63%EV -9.33%E -0.938%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.37%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 18:40
BetAnything🎯9.95I 10.05%NM 9.55%EV -9.33%E -0.938%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.45%EV -4.57%E -4.35%K -91.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 12:34
FanDuel🎯9.90I 10.10%NM 9.67%EV -9.79%E -0.988%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.33%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 03:04
NetBet (FR)🎯9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -11.15%E -1.14%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -5.48%E -5.27%K -136.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 16:40
Fliff🎯9.55I 10.47%NM 9.82%EV -12.97%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.18%EV -5.48%E -5.27%K -136.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-01 18:44
Unibet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -13.43%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 09:15
LiveScore Bet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -13.43%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 09:15
TABtouch🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -13.43%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 09:15
Casumo🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -13.43%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 09:15
Grosvenor🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -13.43%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 09:15
Unibet (NL)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -13.43%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 09:15
Virgin Bet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -13.43%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 09:15
Svenska Spel🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -13.43%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 09:15
Bally Bet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -13.43%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 09:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -13.43%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 09:15
ATG (SE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -13.43%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 09:15
betPARX🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -13.43%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 09:15
BetRivers🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -13.43%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 09:14
Unibet (SE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -13.43%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 09:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -13.43%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 09:15
LeoVegas🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -13.43%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -6.39%E -6.20%K -212.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -17.99%E -2.00%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 10:20
Coral🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -17.99%E -2.00%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 10:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -17.99%E -2.00%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 10:20
Neds🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -17.99%E -2.00%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 10:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -17.99%E -2.00%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 02:20
Caesars🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -17.99%E -2.00%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.57%E -4.35%K -91.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 21:57
PMU (FR)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -17.99%E -2.00%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -6.39%E -6.20%K -212.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-01 09:15
BetMGM🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -20.26%E -2.32%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -3.66%E -3.45%K -60.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 10:20
TAB🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -22.54%E -2.65%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.57%E -4.35%K -91.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 01:40
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (8)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎14.50I 6.90%NM 6.87%1.07I 93.46%NM 93.13%0.4%2026-09-01 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎14.50I 6.90%NM 6.87%1.07I 93.46%NM 93.13%0.4%2026-09-01 18:45
Matchbook◎14.50I 6.90%NM 6.87%1.07I 93.46%NM 93.13%0.4%2026-09-01 18:45
Kalshi◎12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%0.6%2026-09-01 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90%0.6%2026-09-01 18:30
Novig◎11.76I 8.50%NM 8.41%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.59%1.1%2026-09-01 18:45
ProphetX◎13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40%1.2%2026-09-01 18:00
Smarkets◎14.01I 7.14%NM 6.97%1.05I 95.24%NM 93.03%2.4%2026-09-01 18:45