Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dino Prizmic v Alexander Shevchenko

Kickoff: 2026-08-30 15:05 UTC

Final: Dino Prizmic 3–2 Alexander Shevchenko

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dino Prizmic (Local)

Prediction 70.17%1.43fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -1.78%
Kelly -6.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.56%70.19%70.19%71.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.351.361.3975.19%73.89%73.53%71.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alexander Shevchenko (Visit)

Prediction 29.83%3.35fair odd
EV +1.43%
Edge +0.421%
Kelly +0.596%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.12%29.81%29.81%31.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.173.153.4033.33%31.51%31.75%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dino Prizmic (Local): 70.17%; Alexander Shevchenko (Visit): 29.83%. For Alexander Shevchenko (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.35. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.43%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +1.43%E +0.421%K +0.596%G +0.009%4.6%2026-08-30 14:05
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.98%E -4.46%K -17.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -0.060%E -0.018%K -0.026%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 14:05
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.060%E -0.018%K -0.026%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 14:00
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.55%E -0.470%K -0.675%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 14:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.47%EV -3.87%E -2.83%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.53%EV -2.45%E -0.748%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-30 11:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.47%EV -3.87%E -2.83%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.53%EV -2.45%E -0.748%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-30 11:50
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.17%E -2.30%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -3.04%E -0.936%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 14:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.87%E -2.83%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -3.04%E -0.936%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 14:00
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.04%E -0.936%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 10:35
BetAnything🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.04%E -0.936%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 14:05
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.04%E -0.936%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 07:14
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.04%E -0.936%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 15:00
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.04%E -0.936%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 14:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.04%E -0.936%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 14:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.04%E -0.936%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 14:00
ReBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.43%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.57%EV -3.34%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 14:00
Pinnacle🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.85%EV -2.47%E -1.78%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.15%EV -3.94%E -1.22%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-30 15:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 14:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 15:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 14:00
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 14:03
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.27%E -3.91%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 14:01
BetMGM🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.98%E -4.46%K -17.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 12:10
TAB🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.98%E -4.46%K -17.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 14:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 14:00
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -4.83%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 14:50
GTbets🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -5.13%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 11:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.27%E -3.91%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -5.13%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 14:20
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 15:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 15:00
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 15:00
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 15:00
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 15:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 15:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 15:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 15:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 15:00
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 15:00
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 15:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 15:00
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 12:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 12:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.27%E -3.91%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 11:50
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.27%E -3.91%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 14:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.27%E -3.91%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 11:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 14:05
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 11:50
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 14:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 11:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 11:50
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 14:55
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 11:50
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.27%E -3.91%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 15:00
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.27%E -3.91%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 15:00
Fliff🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.98%E -4.46%K -17.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 12:10
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 12:10
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-28 14:26
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.17%E -2.30%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.01%E -2.95%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 11:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -9.01%E -2.95%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 15:00
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.56%EV -3.17%E -2.30%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.44%EV -10.20%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 11:45
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 15:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%0.3%2026-08-30 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-08-30 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-08-30 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-08-30 15:00
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-30 14:45
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-08-30 14:50
ProphetX1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-08-30 15:00
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%3.8%2026-08-30 15:00