Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Dino Prizmic v Alexander Shevchenko

Inicio: 2026-08-30 15:05 UTC

Final: Dino Prizmic 3–2 Alexander Shevchenko

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Dino Prizmic (Local)

Predicción 70.17%1.43momio equitativo
EV -2.47%
Ventaja -1.78%
Kelly -6.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.39

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.56%70.19%70.19%71.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.331.351.361.3975.19%73.89%73.53%71.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Alexander Shevchenko (Visitante)

Predicción 29.83%3.35momio equitativo
EV +1.43%
Ventaja +0.421%
Kelly +0.596%
Crecimiento +0.009%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.12%29.81%29.81%31.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.173.153.4033.33%31.51%31.75%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Dino Prizmic (Local): 70.17%; Alexander Shevchenko (Visitante): 29.83%. Para Alexander Shevchenko (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.35. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.40, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.43%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +1.43%E +0.421%K +0.596%G +0.009%4.6%2026-08-30 14:05
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.98%E -4.46%K -17.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -0.060%E -0.018%K -0.026%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 14:05
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.060%E -0.018%K -0.026%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 14:00
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.55%E -0.470%K -0.675%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 14:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.47%EV -3.87%E -2.83%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.53%EV -2.45%E -0.748%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-30 11:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.47%EV -3.87%E -2.83%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.53%EV -2.45%E -0.748%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-30 11:50
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.17%E -2.30%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -3.04%E -0.936%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 14:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.87%E -2.83%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -3.04%E -0.936%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 14:00
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.04%E -0.936%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 10:35
BetAnything🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.04%E -0.936%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 14:05
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.04%E -0.936%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 07:14
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.04%E -0.936%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 15:00
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.04%E -0.936%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 14:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.04%E -0.936%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 14:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.04%E -0.936%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 14:00
ReBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.43%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.57%EV -3.34%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 14:00
Pinnacle🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.85%EV -2.47%E -1.78%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.15%EV -3.94%E -1.22%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-30 15:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 14:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 15:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 14:00
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 14:03
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.27%E -3.91%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 14:01
BetMGM🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.98%E -4.46%K -17.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 12:10
TAB🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.98%E -4.46%K -17.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 14:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 14:00
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -4.83%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 14:50
GTbets🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -5.13%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 11:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.27%E -3.91%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -5.13%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 14:20
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 15:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 15:00
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 15:00
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 15:00
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 15:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 15:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 15:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 15:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 15:00
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 15:00
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 15:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 15:00
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 12:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 12:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.27%E -3.91%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 11:50
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.27%E -3.91%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 14:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.27%E -3.91%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 11:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 14:05
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 11:50
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 14:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 11:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 11:50
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 14:55
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 11:50
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.27%E -3.91%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 15:00
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.27%E -3.91%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 15:00
Fliff🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.98%E -4.46%K -17.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 12:10
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 12:10
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-28 14:26
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.17%E -2.30%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.01%E -2.95%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 11:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -9.01%E -2.95%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 15:00
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.56%EV -3.17%E -2.30%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.44%EV -10.20%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 11:45
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 15:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%0.3%2026-08-30 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-08-30 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-08-30 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-08-30 15:00
Kalshi◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-30 14:45
Novig◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-08-30 14:50
ProphetX◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-08-30 15:00
Smarkets◎1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%3.8%2026-08-30 15:00