Język:Polski
Dalibor Svrcina v Valentin Royer
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Dalibor Svrcina (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 48.44%2.06kurs godziwy
EV +1.73%
Przewaga +0.822%
Kelly +1.57%
Wzrost +0.027%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.10
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
45.31%48.38%48.41%50.40%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.872.002.002.1053.48%50.11%50.00%47.62%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Valentin Royer (Goście)
Prognoza 51.56%1.94kurs godziwy
EV +1.06%
Przewaga +0.539%
Kelly +1.10%
Wzrost +0.012%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.96
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
49.60%51.62%51.59%54.69%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.701.811.831.9658.82%55.13%54.64%51.02%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Dalibor Svrcina (Gospodarze): 48.44%; Valentin Royer (Goście): 51.56%. Dla wyniku Dalibor Svrcina (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.06. 16 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.10, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.73%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (62 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV +1.73%E +0.822%K +1.57%G +0.027% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -8.22%E -4.62%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-31 15:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +1.73%E +0.822%K +1.57%G +0.027% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -10.29%E -5.91%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.757%E +0.364%K +0.701%G +0.005% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.29%E -5.91%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.757%E +0.364%K +0.701%G +0.005% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.29%E -5.91%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.757%E +0.364%K +0.701%G +0.005% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.29%E -5.91%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.757%E +0.364%K +0.701%G +0.005% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.29%E -5.91%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.757%E +0.364%K +0.701%G +0.005% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.29%E -5.91%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.757%E +0.364%K +0.701%G +0.005% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.29%E -5.91%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.757%E +0.364%K +0.701%G +0.005% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.29%E -5.91%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.757%E +0.364%K +0.701%G +0.005% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.29%E -5.91%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.757%E +0.364%K +0.701%G +0.005% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.29%E -5.91%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.757%E +0.364%K +0.701%G +0.005% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.29%E -5.91%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.757%E +0.364%K +0.701%G +0.005% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.29%E -5.91%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.757%E +0.364%K +0.701%G +0.005% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.29%E -5.91%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.757%E +0.364%K +0.701%G +0.005% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.29%E -5.91%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.757%E +0.364%K +0.701%G +0.005% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.29%E -5.91%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -0.697%E -0.340%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -6.68%E -3.69%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-31 18:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -1.18%E -0.579%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%EV -12.35%E -7.26%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.81%EV -1.67%E -0.820%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19%EV -4.10%E -2.20%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -2.63%E -1.31%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -6.68%E -3.69%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.07%E -1.63%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.62%E -2.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-31 15:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.62%E -2.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.65%E -3.09%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 15:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.65%E -3.09%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 15:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.68%E -3.69%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.19%E -4.00%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.19%E -4.00%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 18:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.19%E -4.00%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 18:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.74%E -4.94%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 18:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.77%E -5.58%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.77%E -5.58%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 18:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.62%EV -3.60%E -1.81%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.38%EV +1.06%E +0.539%K +1.10%G +0.012% | 1.3% | 2026-08-31 11:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -3.60%E -1.81%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -4.10%E -2.20%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -3.60%E -1.81%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -5.13%E -2.79%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -3.60%E -1.81%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -5.13%E -2.79%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 18:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.09%E -2.06%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.62%E -2.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 15:11 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.57%E -2.32%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.13%E -2.79%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.57%E -2.32%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.13%E -2.79%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 17:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.57%E -2.32%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.19%E -4.00%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.54%E -2.84%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.58%E -1.92%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.54%E -2.84%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.58%E -1.92%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.54%E -2.84%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.62%E -2.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.54%E -2.84%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.62%E -2.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.54%E -2.84%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.62%E -2.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.54%E -2.84%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.62%E -2.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.54%E -2.84%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.62%E -2.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 15:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.54%E -2.84%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.65%E -3.09%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.54%E -2.84%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.65%E -3.09%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.54%E -2.84%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.16%E -3.39%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.54%E -2.84%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.16%E -3.39%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -6.03%E -3.11%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.07%E -1.63%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.03%E -3.11%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.65%E -3.09%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.48%E -3.92%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.52%E -0.797%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 18:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -7.48%E -3.92%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -3.07%E -1.63%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -7.48%E -3.92%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -3.07%E -1.63%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 11:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.48%E -3.92%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.65%E -3.09%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.48%E -3.92%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.65%E -3.09%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 15:11 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.96%E -4.19%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.04%E -1.07%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 18:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -7.96%E -4.19%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -5.13%E -2.79%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -8.93%E -4.75%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.52%E -0.797%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.42%E -5.04%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.58%E -1.92%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 12:22 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (8)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.03I 49.26%NM 49.12% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.88% | 0.3% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13% | 0.3% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13% | 0.3% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64% | 2.3% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |