Langue:Français
Dalibor Svrcina v Valentin Royer
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Dalibor Svrcina (Local)
Prévision 48.44%2.06cote équitable
EV +1.73%
Avantage +0.822%
Kelly +1.57%
Croissance +0.027%
avec la cote maximale 2.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.31%48.38%48.41%50.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.872.002.002.1053.48%50.11%50.00%47.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Valentin Royer (Visiteur)
Prévision 51.56%1.94cote équitable
EV +1.06%
Avantage +0.539%
Kelly +1.10%
Croissance +0.012%
avec la cote maximale 1.96
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.60%51.62%51.59%54.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.701.811.831.9658.82%55.13%54.64%51.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Dalibor Svrcina (Local) : 48.44% ; Valentin Royer (Visiteur) : 51.56%. Pour Dalibor Svrcina (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.06. 16 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.10, soit une espérance positive de +1.73%.
Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV +1.73%E +0.822%K +1.57%G +0.027% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -8.22%E -4.62%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-31 15:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +1.73%E +0.822%K +1.57%G +0.027% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -10.29%E -5.91%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.757%E +0.364%K +0.701%G +0.005% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.29%E -5.91%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.757%E +0.364%K +0.701%G +0.005% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.29%E -5.91%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.757%E +0.364%K +0.701%G +0.005% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.29%E -5.91%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.757%E +0.364%K +0.701%G +0.005% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.29%E -5.91%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.757%E +0.364%K +0.701%G +0.005% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.29%E -5.91%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.757%E +0.364%K +0.701%G +0.005% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.29%E -5.91%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.757%E +0.364%K +0.701%G +0.005% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.29%E -5.91%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.757%E +0.364%K +0.701%G +0.005% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.29%E -5.91%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.757%E +0.364%K +0.701%G +0.005% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.29%E -5.91%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.757%E +0.364%K +0.701%G +0.005% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.29%E -5.91%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.757%E +0.364%K +0.701%G +0.005% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.29%E -5.91%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.757%E +0.364%K +0.701%G +0.005% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.29%E -5.91%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.757%E +0.364%K +0.701%G +0.005% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.29%E -5.91%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.757%E +0.364%K +0.701%G +0.005% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.29%E -5.91%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -0.697%E -0.340%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -6.68%E -3.69%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-31 18:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -1.18%E -0.579%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%EV -12.35%E -7.26%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.81%EV -1.67%E -0.820%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19%EV -4.10%E -2.20%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -2.63%E -1.31%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -6.68%E -3.69%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.07%E -1.63%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.62%E -2.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-31 15:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.62%E -2.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.65%E -3.09%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 15:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.65%E -3.09%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 15:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.68%E -3.69%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.19%E -4.00%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.19%E -4.00%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 18:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.19%E -4.00%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 18:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.74%E -4.94%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 18:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.77%E -5.58%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.77%E -5.58%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 18:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.62%EV -3.60%E -1.81%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.38%EV +1.06%E +0.539%K +1.10%G +0.012% | 1.3% | 2026-08-31 11:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -3.60%E -1.81%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -4.10%E -2.20%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -3.60%E -1.81%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -5.13%E -2.79%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -3.60%E -1.81%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -5.13%E -2.79%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 18:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.09%E -2.06%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.62%E -2.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 15:11 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.57%E -2.32%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.13%E -2.79%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.57%E -2.32%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.13%E -2.79%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 17:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.57%E -2.32%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.19%E -4.00%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.54%E -2.84%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.58%E -1.92%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.54%E -2.84%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.58%E -1.92%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.54%E -2.84%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.62%E -2.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.54%E -2.84%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.62%E -2.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.54%E -2.84%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.62%E -2.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.54%E -2.84%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.62%E -2.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.54%E -2.84%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.62%E -2.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 15:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.54%E -2.84%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.65%E -3.09%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.54%E -2.84%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.65%E -3.09%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.54%E -2.84%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.16%E -3.39%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.54%E -2.84%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.16%E -3.39%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -6.03%E -3.11%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.07%E -1.63%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.03%E -3.11%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.65%E -3.09%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.48%E -3.92%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.52%E -0.797%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 18:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -7.48%E -3.92%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -3.07%E -1.63%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -7.48%E -3.92%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -3.07%E -1.63%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 11:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.48%E -3.92%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.65%E -3.09%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.48%E -3.92%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.65%E -3.09%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 15:11 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.96%E -4.19%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.04%E -1.07%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 18:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -7.96%E -4.19%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -5.13%E -2.79%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -8.93%E -4.75%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.52%E -0.797%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.42%E -5.04%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.58%E -1.92%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 12:22 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.03I 49.26%NM 49.12% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.88% | 0.3% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13% | 0.3% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13% | 0.3% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64% | 2.3% | 2026-08-31 18:10 |