Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Dalibor Svrcina v Valentin Royer

Inizio: 2026-08-31 18:20 UTC

Finale: Dalibor Svrcina 3–2 Valentin Royer

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

62 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Dalibor Svrcina (Casa)

Previsione 48.44%2.06quota equa
EV +1.73%
Vantaggio +0.822%
Kelly +1.57%
Crescita +0.027%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.31%48.38%48.41%50.40%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.872.002.002.1053.48%50.11%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Valentin Royer (Trasferta)

Previsione 51.56%1.94quota equa
EV +1.06%
Vantaggio +0.539%
Kelly +1.10%
Crescita +0.012%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.96

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.60%51.62%51.59%54.69%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.701.811.831.9658.82%55.13%54.64%51.02%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Dalibor Svrcina (Casa): 48.44%; Valentin Royer (Trasferta): 51.56%. Per Dalibor Svrcina (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.06. 16 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.10, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.73%.

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV +1.73%E +0.822%K +1.57%G +0.027%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -8.22%E -4.62%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-31 15:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +1.73%E +0.822%K +1.57%G +0.027%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -10.29%E -5.91%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 18:00
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.757%E +0.364%K +0.701%G +0.005%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.29%E -5.91%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 18:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.757%E +0.364%K +0.701%G +0.005%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.29%E -5.91%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 18:00
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.757%E +0.364%K +0.701%G +0.005%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.29%E -5.91%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 18:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.757%E +0.364%K +0.701%G +0.005%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.29%E -5.91%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.757%E +0.364%K +0.701%G +0.005%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.29%E -5.91%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 18:00
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.757%E +0.364%K +0.701%G +0.005%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.29%E -5.91%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 18:00
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.757%E +0.364%K +0.701%G +0.005%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.29%E -5.91%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 18:00
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.757%E +0.364%K +0.701%G +0.005%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.29%E -5.91%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 18:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.757%E +0.364%K +0.701%G +0.005%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.29%E -5.91%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 18:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.757%E +0.364%K +0.701%G +0.005%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.29%E -5.91%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 18:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.757%E +0.364%K +0.701%G +0.005%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.29%E -5.91%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 18:00
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.757%E +0.364%K +0.701%G +0.005%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.29%E -5.91%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 18:00
Bally Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.757%E +0.364%K +0.701%G +0.005%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.29%E -5.91%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 18:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.757%E +0.364%K +0.701%G +0.005%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.29%E -5.91%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 18:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -0.697%E -0.340%K -0.663%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -6.68%E -3.69%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-31 18:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -1.18%E -0.579%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%EV -12.35%E -7.26%K -17.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-31 18:00
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.81%EV -1.67%E -0.820%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19%EV -4.10%E -2.20%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-31 17:20
GTbets🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -2.63%E -1.31%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -6.68%E -3.69%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 18:00
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.07%E -1.63%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-31 18:10
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.62%E -2.49%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 15:15
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.62%E -2.49%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 18:00
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.65%E -3.09%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 15:15
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.65%E -3.09%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 15:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.68%E -3.69%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 18:10
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.19%E -4.00%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.19%E -4.00%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 18:05
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.19%E -4.00%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 18:05
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.74%E -4.94%K -11.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 18:05
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.77%E -5.58%K -13.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.12%E -1.56%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.77%E -5.58%K -13.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 18:05
1xBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.62%EV -3.60%E -1.81%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.38%EV +1.06%E +0.539%K +1.10%G +0.012%1.3%2026-08-31 11:25
ReBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -3.60%E -1.81%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -4.10%E -2.20%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-31 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -3.60%E -1.81%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -5.13%E -2.79%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 18:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -3.60%E -1.81%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -5.13%E -2.79%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 18:05
FanDuel🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.09%E -2.06%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.62%E -2.49%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 15:11
Unibet (UK)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.57%E -2.32%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.13%E -2.79%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 17:01
MyBookie.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.57%E -2.32%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.13%E -2.79%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 17:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.57%E -2.32%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.19%E -4.00%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 17:20
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.54%E -2.84%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.58%E -1.92%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 17:01
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.54%E -2.84%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.58%E -1.92%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 17:00
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.54%E -2.84%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.62%E -2.49%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 17:00
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.54%E -2.84%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.62%E -2.49%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 17:01
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.54%E -2.84%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.62%E -2.49%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 17:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.54%E -2.84%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.62%E -2.49%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 17:00
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.54%E -2.84%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.62%E -2.49%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 15:10
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.54%E -2.84%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.65%E -3.09%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 17:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.54%E -2.84%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.65%E -3.09%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 17:00
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.54%E -2.84%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.16%E -3.39%K -7.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 17:00
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.54%E -2.84%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.16%E -3.39%K -7.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 17:01
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -6.03%E -3.11%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.07%E -1.63%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 18:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.03%E -3.11%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.65%E -3.09%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 18:10
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.48%E -3.92%K -8.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.52%E -0.797%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 18:09
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -7.48%E -3.92%K -8.22%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -3.07%E -1.63%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 18:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -7.48%E -3.92%K -8.22%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -3.07%E -1.63%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 11:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.48%E -3.92%K -8.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.65%E -3.09%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 18:10
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.48%E -3.92%K -8.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.65%E -3.09%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 15:11
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.96%E -4.19%K -8.85%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.04%E -1.07%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 18:09
BetAnything🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -7.96%E -4.19%K -8.85%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -5.13%E -2.79%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 18:10
DraftKings🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -8.93%E -4.75%K -10.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.52%E -0.797%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 18:10
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.42%E -5.04%K -10.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.58%E -1.92%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 12:22
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX◎2.03I 49.26%NM 49.12%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.88%0.3%2026-08-31 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-08-31 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-08-31 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-08-31 18:10
Matchbook◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-08-31 18:10
Novig◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-08-31 18:10
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-08-31 18:10
Smarkets◎1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%2.3%2026-08-31 18:10