Language:English
Ben Shelton v Tallon Griekspoor
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ben Shelton (Local)
Prediction 84.63%1.18fair odd
EV -3.52%
Edge -3.09%
Kelly -25.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.83%84.62%84.39%86.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.121.121.1492.59%89.03%89.29%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tallon Griekspoor (Visit)
Prediction 15.37%6.51fair odd
EV +7.59%
Edge +1.08%
Kelly +1.27%
Growth +0.096%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.58%15.38%15.61%17.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.166.007.0018.18%16.24%16.67%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ben Shelton (Local): 84.63%; Tallon Griekspoor (Visit): 15.37%. For Tallon Griekspoor (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.51. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.59%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.10%EV -4.37%E -3.87%K -33.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%EV +7.59%E +1.08%K +1.27%G +0.096% | 2.8% | 2026-08-31 23:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.10%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +7.59%E +1.08%K +1.27%G +0.096% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 23:03 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.91%E -6.28%K -69.07%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.59%E +1.08%K +1.27%G +0.096% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 23:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.91%E -6.28%K -69.07%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.59%E +1.08%K +1.27%G +0.096% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 23:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.91%E -6.28%K -69.07%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.59%E +1.08%K +1.27%G +0.096% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 23:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.10%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV +6.06%E +0.878%K +1.03%G +0.062% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.66%EV -4.37%E -3.87%K -33.60%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.34%EV +3.75%E +0.556%K +0.652%G +0.024% | 3.3% | 2026-08-31 23:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.10%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +3.75%E +0.556%K +0.652%G +0.024% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 23:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -5.21%E -4.66%K -43.46%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV +2.98%E +0.445%K +0.523%G +0.016% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 22:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.10%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +2.98%E +0.445%K +0.523%G +0.016% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 23:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.38%EV -4.37%E -3.87%K -33.60%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.62%EV +1.44%E +0.219%K +0.258%G +0.004% | 3.6% | 2026-08-31 23:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.23%EV -3.52%E -3.09%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 6.58I 15.20%NM 14.77%EV +1.14%E +0.173%K +0.204%G +0.002% | 2.9% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.21%EV -4.37%E -3.87%K -33.60%G +0.000% | 6.51I 15.36%NM 14.79%EV +0.061%E +0.009%K +0.011%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.21%E -4.66%K -43.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -0.092%E -0.014%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.21%E -4.66%K -43.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -0.092%E -0.014%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 23:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.21%E -4.66%K -43.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -0.092%E -0.014%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 22:58 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.91%E -6.28%K -69.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -0.092%E -0.014%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.15%EV -4.37%E -3.87%K -33.60%G +0.000% | 6.48I 15.43%NM 14.85%EV -0.400%E -0.062%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.21%E -4.66%K -43.46%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.63%E -0.255%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 22:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.89%EV -4.37%E -3.87%K -33.60%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 15.11%EV -2.40%E -0.378%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 23:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.46%EV -8.60%E -7.96%K -107.50%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.54%EV -2.40%E -0.378%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-31 23:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.21%E -4.66%K -43.46%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.93%E -0.630%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 23:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.21%E -4.66%K -43.46%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.93%E -0.630%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 23:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.21%E -4.66%K -43.46%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -4.70%E -0.759%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 23:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -6.91%E -6.28%K -69.07%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -4.70%E -0.759%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.37%E -3.87%K -33.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.78%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 22:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.37%E -3.87%K -33.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.78%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 22:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.21%E -4.66%K -43.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.78%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.21%E -4.66%K -43.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.78%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 22:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.21%E -4.66%K -43.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.78%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 23:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.21%E -4.66%K -43.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.78%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 22:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.21%E -4.66%K -43.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.78%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 22:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.21%E -4.66%K -43.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.78%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-28 16:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.21%E -4.66%K -43.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.78%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 22:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.21%E -4.66%K -43.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.78%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 23:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.21%E -4.66%K -43.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.78%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 18:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.21%E -4.66%K -43.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.78%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.21%E -4.66%K -43.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.78%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-28 16:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.78%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 23:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.78%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 23:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.78%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 15:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.18%EV -5.21%E -4.66%K -43.46%G +0.000% | 5.96I 16.78%NM 15.82%EV -8.39%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 23:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.18%EV -5.21%E -4.66%K -43.46%G +0.000% | 5.96I 16.78%NM 15.82%EV -8.39%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 23:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -4.37%E -3.87%K -33.60%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -9.31%E -1.58%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 21:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.52%E -3.09%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -10.85%E -1.87%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 17:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.52%E -3.09%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -10.85%E -1.87%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 17:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.52%E -3.09%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -10.85%E -1.87%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 17:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.52%E -3.09%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -10.85%E -1.87%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 17:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.52%E -3.09%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -10.85%E -1.87%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 17:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.52%E -3.09%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -10.85%E -1.87%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 17:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.52%E -3.09%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -10.85%E -1.87%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 17:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.52%E -3.09%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -10.85%E -1.87%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 17:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.52%E -3.09%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -10.85%E -1.87%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 17:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.52%E -3.09%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -10.85%E -1.87%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 17:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.52%E -3.09%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -10.85%E -1.87%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 17:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.52%E -3.09%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -10.85%E -1.87%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 17:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.52%E -3.09%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -10.85%E -1.87%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 17:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.52%E -3.09%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -10.85%E -1.87%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 17:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.37%E -3.87%K -33.60%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.62%E -2.02%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 22:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.10%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -13.93%E -2.49%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-30 17:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.52%E -3.09%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -15.46%E -2.81%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 20:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.37%E -3.87%K -33.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -15.46%E -2.81%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 00:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -15.46%E -2.81%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-31 23:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 23:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 23:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91% | 0.7% | 2026-08-31 21:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91% | 0.7% | 2026-08-31 23:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 23:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.43% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.57% | 2.4% | 2026-08-31 23:05 |