Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Ben Shelton v Tallon Griekspoor

Início: 2026-08-31 23:12 UTC

Final: Ben Shelton 3–1 Tallon Griekspoor

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Ben Shelton (Local)

Previsão 84.63%1.18odd justa
EV -3.52%
Vantagem -3.09%
Kelly -25.16%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.14

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
82.83%84.62%84.39%86.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.081.121.121.1492.59%89.03%89.29%87.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tallon Griekspoor (Visitante)

Previsão 15.37%6.51odd justa
EV +7.59%
Vantagem +1.08%
Kelly +1.27%
Crescimento +0.096%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.58%15.38%15.61%17.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.506.166.007.0018.18%16.24%16.67%14.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Ben Shelton (Local): 84.63%; Tallon Griekspoor (Visitante): 15.37%. Para Tallon Griekspoor (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.51. 13 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 7.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +7.59%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 86.10%EV -4.37%E -3.87%K -33.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%EV +7.59%E +1.08%K +1.27%G +0.096%2.8%2026-08-31 23:05
Bovada🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +7.59%E +1.08%K +1.27%G +0.096%4.4%2026-08-31 23:03
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.91%E -6.28%K -69.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.59%E +1.08%K +1.27%G +0.096%5.2%2026-08-31 23:00
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.91%E -6.28%K -69.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.59%E +1.08%K +1.27%G +0.096%5.2%2026-08-31 23:05
Sky Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.91%E -6.28%K -69.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +7.59%E +1.08%K +1.27%G +0.096%5.2%2026-08-31 23:00
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.10%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV +6.06%E +0.878%K +1.03%G +0.062%4.6%2026-08-31 23:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.66%EV -4.37%E -3.87%K -33.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.34%EV +3.75%E +0.556%K +0.652%G +0.024%3.3%2026-08-31 23:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.10%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +3.75%E +0.556%K +0.652%G +0.024%4.9%2026-08-31 23:05
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -5.21%E -4.66%K -43.46%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV +2.98%E +0.445%K +0.523%G +0.016%4.2%2026-08-31 22:50
1xBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.10%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +2.98%E +0.445%K +0.523%G +0.016%5.0%2026-08-31 23:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.38%EV -4.37%E -3.87%K -33.60%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.62%EV +1.44%E +0.219%K +0.258%G +0.004%3.6%2026-08-31 23:10
Pinnacle🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 85.23%EV -3.52%E -3.09%K -25.16%G +0.000%6.58I 15.20%NM 14.77%EV +1.14%E +0.173%K +0.204%G +0.002%2.9%2026-08-31 22:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.21%EV -4.37%E -3.87%K -33.60%G +0.000%6.51I 15.36%NM 14.79%EV +0.061%E +0.009%K +0.011%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-31 22:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.21%E -4.66%K -43.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -0.092%E -0.014%K -0.017%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 22:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.21%E -4.66%K -43.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -0.092%E -0.014%K -0.017%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 23:09
betano_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.21%E -4.66%K -43.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -0.092%E -0.014%K -0.017%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 22:58
Tipico (DE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.91%E -6.28%K -69.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -0.092%E -0.014%K -0.017%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 22:10
GTbets🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.15%EV -4.37%E -3.87%K -33.60%G +0.000%6.48I 15.43%NM 14.85%EV -0.400%E -0.062%K -0.073%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-31 22:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.21%E -4.66%K -43.46%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.63%E -0.255%K -0.302%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 22:50
DraftKings🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.89%EV -4.37%E -3.87%K -33.60%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 15.11%EV -2.40%E -0.378%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 23:10
Fliff🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.46%EV -8.60%E -7.96%K -107.50%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.54%EV -2.40%E -0.378%K -0.448%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-31 23:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.21%E -4.66%K -43.46%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.93%E -0.630%K -0.750%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 23:10
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.21%E -4.66%K -43.46%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.93%E -0.630%K -0.750%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 23:10
BetAnything🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.21%E -4.66%K -43.46%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -4.70%E -0.759%K -0.905%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 23:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -6.91%E -6.28%K -69.07%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -4.70%E -0.759%K -0.905%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.37%E -3.87%K -33.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.78%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 22:20
Neds🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.37%E -3.87%K -33.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.78%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 22:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.21%E -4.66%K -43.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.78%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 22:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.21%E -4.66%K -43.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.78%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 22:15
LeoVegas🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.21%E -4.66%K -43.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.78%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 23:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.21%E -4.66%K -43.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.78%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 22:35
BetMGM🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.21%E -4.66%K -43.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.78%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 22:15
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.21%E -4.66%K -43.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.78%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 16:25
Coral🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.21%E -4.66%K -43.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.78%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 22:20
theScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.21%E -4.66%K -43.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.78%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 23:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.21%E -4.66%K -43.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.78%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 18:49
William Hill🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.21%E -4.66%K -43.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.78%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 19:00
betfred_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.21%E -4.66%K -43.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.78%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 16:25
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.78%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 23:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.78%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 23:10
Caesars🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.78%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 15:20
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.18%EV -5.21%E -4.66%K -43.46%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 15.82%EV -8.39%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 23:10
NordicBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.18%EV -5.21%E -4.66%K -43.46%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 15.82%EV -8.39%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 23:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -4.37%E -3.87%K -33.60%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -9.31%E -1.58%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 21:35
Unibet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.52%E -3.09%K -25.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -10.85%E -1.87%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 17:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.52%E -3.09%K -25.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -10.85%E -1.87%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 17:20
TABtouch🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.52%E -3.09%K -25.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -10.85%E -1.87%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 17:20
Casumo🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.52%E -3.09%K -25.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -10.85%E -1.87%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 17:20
Grosvenor🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.52%E -3.09%K -25.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -10.85%E -1.87%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 17:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.52%E -3.09%K -25.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -10.85%E -1.87%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 17:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.52%E -3.09%K -25.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -10.85%E -1.87%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 17:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.52%E -3.09%K -25.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -10.85%E -1.87%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 17:20
Bally Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.52%E -3.09%K -25.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -10.85%E -1.87%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 17:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.52%E -3.09%K -25.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -10.85%E -1.87%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 17:20
betPARX🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.52%E -3.09%K -25.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -10.85%E -1.87%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 17:20
BetRivers🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.52%E -3.09%K -25.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -10.85%E -1.87%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 17:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.52%E -3.09%K -25.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -10.85%E -1.87%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.52%E -3.09%K -25.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -10.85%E -1.87%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 17:20
PlayUp🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.37%E -3.87%K -33.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.62%E -2.02%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 22:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.10%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -13.93%E -2.49%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 17:20
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.52%E -3.09%K -25.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -15.46%E -2.81%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 20:20
TAB🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.37%E -3.87%K -33.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -15.46%E -2.81%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 00:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.06%E -5.46%K -55.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -15.46%E -2.81%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-31 23:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%0.5%2026-08-31 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%0.5%2026-08-31 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%0.5%2026-08-31 23:10
Matchbook◎1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%0.5%2026-08-31 23:05
Kalshi◎1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-08-31 21:25
Novig◎1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-08-31 23:10
ProphetX◎1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-08-31 23:05
Smarkets◎1.13I 88.50%NM 86.43%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.57%2.4%2026-08-31 23:05