Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Ben Shelton v Hubert Hurkacz

Início: 2026-09-02 17:08 UTC

Final: Ben Shelton 3–1 Hubert Hurkacz

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Ben Shelton (Local)

Previsão 67.77%1.48odd justa
EV -3.09%
Vantagem -2.16%
Kelly -7.20%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.43

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
66.27%67.76%67.76%68.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.361.411.401.4373.53%71.08%71.43%69.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Hubert Hurkacz (Visitante)

Previsão 32.23%3.10odd justa
EV -0.075%
Vantagem -0.024%
Kelly -0.035%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.19%32.24%32.24%33.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.752.912.903.1036.36%34.38%34.48%32.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Ben Shelton (Local): 67.77%; Hubert Hurkacz (Visitante): 32.23%. Para Hubert Hurkacz (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.102. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.100, com valor esperado de -0.075%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%EV -3.09%E -2.16%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%EV -0.075%E -0.024%K -0.035%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-02 17:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.09%E -2.16%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.91%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 15:50
Coolbet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.77%E -2.66%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -1.69%E -0.553%K -0.823%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-02 17:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.77%E -2.66%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.30%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 16:42
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.77%E -2.66%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.30%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 06:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.77%E -2.66%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.30%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.77%E -2.66%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.30%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 16:50
BetAnything🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.77%E -2.66%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.30%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 15:45
ReBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.80%EV -3.77%E -2.66%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.20%EV -3.62%E -1.21%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 14:40
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.77%E -2.66%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.91%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 15:49
GTbets🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.77%E -2.66%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 10:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.77%E -2.66%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.13%E -2.85%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 16:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.77%E -2.66%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.13%E -2.85%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 16:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.77%E -2.66%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.13%E -2.85%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 16:00
Casumo🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.77%E -2.66%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.13%E -2.85%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 16:00
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.77%E -2.66%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.13%E -2.85%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.77%E -2.66%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.13%E -2.85%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 16:00
BetRivers🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.77%E -2.66%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.13%E -2.85%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 16:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.77%E -2.66%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.13%E -2.85%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 16:00
TABtouch🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.77%E -2.66%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.13%E -2.85%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 16:00
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.77%E -2.66%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.13%E -2.85%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 16:00
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.77%E -2.66%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.13%E -2.85%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 16:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.77%E -2.66%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.13%E -2.85%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 16:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.77%E -2.66%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.13%E -2.85%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 16:00
Bally Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.77%E -2.66%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.13%E -2.85%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 16:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.77%E -2.66%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.13%E -2.85%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 16:00
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.77%E -2.66%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.13%E -2.85%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.77%E -2.66%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.13%E -2.85%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 14:00
BetUS🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -4.45%E -3.16%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -2.01%E -0.661%K -0.985%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 17:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.45%E -3.16%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.91%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 06:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.45%E -3.16%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.91%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 06:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -4.45%E -3.16%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -7.17%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 16:59
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.30%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 10:15
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.30%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 16:55
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.30%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 10:40
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.30%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 06:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.91%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 09:40
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 15:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 16:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 15:05
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 16:55
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 15:45
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 16:55
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 06:35
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 16:55
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 14:00
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.17%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 10:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.17%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 16:55
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.49%E -2.61%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.49%E -2.61%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 14:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.74%E -3.48%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 16:00
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 16:55
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 16:55
FanDuel🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.81%E -4.18%K -14.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -1.69%E -0.553%K -0.823%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 06:40
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -5.81%E -4.18%K -14.89%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -2.33%E -0.769%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 10:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -5.81%E -4.18%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 15:45
NordicBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -5.81%E -4.18%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 06:35
Betsson🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -5.81%E -4.18%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 06:40
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.42%EV -6.48%E -4.70%K -17.06%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.58%EV -3.62%E -1.21%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 04:15
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.48%E -4.70%K -17.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 08:00
Fliff🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.48%E -4.70%K -17.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.13%E -2.85%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 17:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.16%E -5.23%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -3.30%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 16:45
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.84%E -5.76%K -21.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.30%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 06:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-09-02 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-09-02 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-09-02 17:05
Matchbook◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-09-02 17:05
Kalshi◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-09-02 17:05
ProphetX◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-09-02 17:05
Novig◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.9%2026-09-02 17:05
Smarkets◎1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%2.7%2026-09-02 17:00