Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ben Shelton v Hubert Hurkacz

2026-09-02 15:00 UTC — ATP US Open

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ben Shelton (Local)

Prévision 63.64%1.57cote équitable
EV -2.63%
Avantage -1.72%
Kelly -4.96%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.03%64.02%63.73%67.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.491.501.5371.43%67.17%66.67%65.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Hubert Hurkacz (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.36%2.75cote équitable
EV +5.44%
Avantage +1.88%
Kelly +2.86%
Croissance +0.156%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.56%35.98%36.27%37.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.592.552.9041.67%38.67%39.14%34.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Ben Shelton (Local) : 63.64% ; Hubert Hurkacz (Visiteur) : 36.36%. Pour Hubert Hurkacz (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.75. 5 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.90, pour une espérance positive de +5.44%.

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -10.90%E -7.79%K -27.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +5.44%E +1.88%K +2.86%G +0.156%5.9%2026-09-01 06:30
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -8.36%E -5.80%K -18.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV +4.71%E +1.64%K +2.51%G +0.118%4.2%2026-09-01 05:34
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -9.63%E -6.78%K -22.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +3.62%E +1.27%K +1.96%G +0.071%5.5%2026-09-01 06:34
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -7.72%E -5.32%K -17.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +1.80%E +0.644%K +1.00%G +0.018%4.7%2026-09-01 06:40
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -8.36%E -5.80%K -18.99%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV +0.349%E +0.126%K +0.198%G +0.001%5.7%2026-09-01 06:35
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.54%E -3.02%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.015%E -0.005%K -0.008%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-01 06:40
GTbets🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.39%EV -3.90%E -2.58%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.61%EV -0.742%E -0.272%K -0.429%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-01 06:40
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.54%E -3.02%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.83%E -0.679%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-01 06:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.45%E -4.39%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.65%E -1.38%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 06:40
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -4.54%E -3.02%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -4.01%E -1.52%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 06:40
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.54%E -3.02%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.38%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 06:40
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.36%E -5.80%K -18.99%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -4.38%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-01 06:39
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.54%E -3.02%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.74%E -1.81%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 06:30
1xBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.26%E -2.15%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.47%E -2.10%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 06:30
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.54%E -3.02%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.47%E -2.10%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 05:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.81%E -3.93%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.47%E -2.10%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 06:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.81%E -3.93%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.47%E -2.10%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 06:55
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.81%E -3.93%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.47%E -2.10%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 05:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.45%E -4.39%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.47%E -2.10%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 06:55
Fliff🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.45%E -4.39%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.47%E -2.10%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 06:40
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.72%E -5.32%K -17.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.47%E -2.10%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-01 06:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.14%EV -4.54%E -3.02%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.86%EV -6.56%E -2.55%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 06:26
MyBookie.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.05%EV -4.54%E -3.02%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.95%EV -6.92%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 06:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.54%E -3.02%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 06:25
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.81%E -3.93%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 06:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.63%E -1.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 05:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.63%E -1.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 05:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.63%E -1.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 05:55
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.63%E -1.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 05:55
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.63%E -1.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 05:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.63%E -1.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 05:55
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.63%E -1.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 05:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.63%E -1.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 05:55
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.63%E -1.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 05:55
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.63%E -1.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 05:55
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.63%E -1.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 05:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.63%E -1.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 05:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.63%E -1.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 05:55
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.63%E -1.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 05:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.63%E -1.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 06:50
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.45%E -4.39%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 06:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.88%EV -6.45%E -4.39%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.12%EV -9.47%E -3.80%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-01 06:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -5.17%E -3.47%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -10.92%E -4.46%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 05:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.98%EV -8.36%E -5.80%K -18.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -10.92%E -4.46%K -7.53%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-01 06:55
ReBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.47%EV -7.08%E -4.85%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -11.65%E -4.79%K -8.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-01 06:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -8.36%E -5.80%K -18.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -14.56%E -6.19%K -10.78%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-01 06:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 65.63%2.94I 34.01%NM 34.38%-1.1%2026-09-01 06:50
Novig1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%4.9%2026-09-01 06:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%6.5%2026-09-01 06:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%7.0%2026-09-01 06:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%7.0%2026-09-01 06:45
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 62.47%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.53%11.9%2026-09-01 06:51
Matchbook1.40I 71.43%NM 63.54%2.44I 40.98%NM 36.46%12.4%2026-09-01 06:45
Arbitrage (15 combinaisons) +0.16%Unibet (SE) 1.53 (65.5%) / 888sport 2.90 (34.5%)Afficher les 15 combinaisons
Ben Shelton (Local)Hubert Hurkacz (Visiteur)Marge
Unibet (SE)🎯 1.53 (65.5%)888sport🎯 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
Virgin Bet🎯 1.53 (65.5%)888sport🎯 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
LiveScore Bet🎯 1.53 (65.5%)888sport🎯 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
Casumo🎯 1.53 (65.5%)888sport🎯 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
Grosvenor🎯 1.53 (65.5%)888sport🎯 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
LeoVegas (SE)🎯 1.53 (65.5%)888sport🎯 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
BetRivers🎯 1.53 (65.5%)888sport🎯 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
Unibet (NL)🎯 1.53 (65.5%)888sport🎯 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
TABtouch🎯 1.53 (65.5%)888sport🎯 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
Unibet🎯 1.53 (65.5%)888sport🎯 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
betPARX🎯 1.53 (65.5%)888sport🎯 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
Svenska Spel🎯 1.53 (65.5%)888sport🎯 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
ATG (SE)🎯 1.53 (65.5%)888sport🎯 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
Bally Bet🎯 1.53 (65.5%)888sport🎯 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
Hard Rock Bet🎯 1.53 (65.5%)888sport🎯 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%