Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aleksandar Vukic v Rei Sakamoto

2026-08-30 17:50 UTC — ATP US Open

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aleksandar Vukic (Local)

Prediction 41.46%2.41fair odd
EV -0.085%
Edge -0.035%
Kelly -0.061%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.13%41.42%41.44%42.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.282.302.4146.51%43.77%43.48%41.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rei Sakamoto (Visit)

Prediction 58.54%1.71fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -4.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.89%58.58%58.56%60.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.601.611.6665.36%62.50%62.11%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Aleksandar Vukic (Local): 41.46%; Rei Sakamoto (Visit): 58.54%. For Aleksandar Vukic (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.412. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.410, with an expected value of -0.085%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.79%EV -0.085%E -0.035%K -0.061%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.21%EV -2.82%E -1.70%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-29 01:05
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -1.33%E -0.558%K -0.963%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.75%E -3.57%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 00:00
SportsBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -1.33%E -0.558%K -0.963%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -10.43%E -6.82%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-28 23:00
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.57%E -1.09%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.75%E -3.57%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 23:21
GTbets🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.65%E -2.02%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.16%E -3.19%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 00:00
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.65%E -2.02%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.16%E -3.19%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 23:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.65%E -2.02%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.16%E -3.19%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 23:55
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.65%E -2.02%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.16%E -3.19%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 00:09
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.65%E -2.02%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.75%E -3.57%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-28 23:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.65%E -2.02%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.75%E -3.57%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-28 23:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.65%E -2.02%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.75%E -3.57%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-28 23:00
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.65%E -2.02%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.92%E -4.35%K -11.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 23:00
MyBookie.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.48%E -2.40%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.75%E -3.57%K -9.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 23:04
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.48%E -2.40%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.33%E -3.96%K -10.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 22:59
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.48%E -2.40%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.33%E -3.96%K -10.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 23:00
DraftKings🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -6.30%E -2.79%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -5.16%E -3.19%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 23:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.72%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.33%E -3.96%K -10.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-28 23:00
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.79%E -4.00%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.33%E -3.96%K -10.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 01:00
ReBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -9.62%E -4.41%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.29%EV -8.67%E -5.56%K -15.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-28 23:01
Betclic (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -9.62%E -4.41%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.29%EV -8.67%E -5.56%K -15.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-28 23:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -10.86%E -5.05%K -9.45%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.27%EV -9.85%E -6.39%K -18.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-28 23:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.61%11.3%2026-08-29 00:55
Novig2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.27%11.4%2026-08-29 01:00