Language:English
Aleksandar Vukic v Rei Sakamoto
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Aleksandar Vukic (Local)
Prediction 41.73%2.40fair odd
EV -0.689%
Edge -0.290%
Kelly -0.500%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.75%41.60%41.71%43.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.292.302.3845.45%43.66%43.48%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rei Sakamoto (Visit)
Prediction 58.27%1.72fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -0.899%
Kelly -2.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.70%58.40%58.29%60.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.621.621.6964.10%61.61%61.73%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aleksandar Vukic (Local): 41.73%; Rei Sakamoto (Visit): 58.27%. For Aleksandar Vukic (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.40. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.38, with an expected value of -0.689%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.689%E -0.290%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.51%E -5.42%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 22:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.689%E -0.290%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.51%E -5.42%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 22:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.689%E -0.290%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.51%E -5.42%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 22:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.689%E -0.290%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.51%E -5.42%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 22:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.63%EV -1.11%E -0.467%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.37%EV -1.52%E -0.899%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-08-30 20:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.94%E -0.826%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.94%E -0.826%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.51%E -5.42%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 06:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.78%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.76%E -4.23%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.78%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.76%E -4.23%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.78%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.76%E -4.23%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.78%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.76%E -4.23%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.78%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.76%E -4.23%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.78%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.76%E -4.23%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.78%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.76%E -4.23%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.78%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.76%E -4.23%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.78%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.76%E -4.23%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.78%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.76%E -4.23%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.78%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.76%E -4.23%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.78%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.76%E -4.23%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.78%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.76%E -4.23%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -3.19%E -1.38%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -3.27%E -1.97%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-30 16:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -3.19%E -1.38%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -3.27%E -1.97%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -3.61%E -1.56%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.68%E -1.61%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 17:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 15:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 15:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 00:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 17:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.44%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.02%E -3.08%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -4.86%E -2.13%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -1.52%E -0.899%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.86%E -2.13%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.02%E -3.08%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 16:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.86%E -2.13%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 15:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -4.86%E -2.13%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -9.09%E -5.83%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -5.70%E -2.52%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -3.27%E -1.97%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 17:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.68%E -1.61%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 17:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.27%E -1.97%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 20:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 17:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 15:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 15:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 15:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.02%E -3.08%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 19:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 19:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 15:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 15:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 15:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 11:03 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 17:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 19:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 19:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 15:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.19%EV -7.37%E -3.32%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.81%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 19:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.10%E -1.25%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 15:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.68%E -1.61%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.76%E -4.23%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 15:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.76%E -4.23%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 15:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.75% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.25% | 0.4% | 2026-08-30 20:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 20:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 20:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14% | 2.3% | 2026-08-30 20:35 |